Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, October 16, 2009
Stock Market Rally, Doing the Maths / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
The early part of the rally in the US began with a "Hope" that things will get better as days progress. In the subsequent days/months, almost all of the media, news channels and websites were inundated with news such as "Better than expected" which drove and is still driving the market higher. What is this "better than expected" and the math beyond this is what we intend to analyze here. You will be really surprised to see "The Math".
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Reflation Supported By Stocks, Commodities, and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Last week in Gold, Recessions, Bonds, and 1987, we stated the following:
- A major objective of all the money printing, government intervention, and low interest rates is to create positive inflation, which includes asset price inflation.
- Asset inflation helps heal sick balance sheets and repairs a portion of the lost "wealth effect".
- When gold lies dormant, it means reflation is not working all that well in the minds of market participants. Gold’s recent breakout may indicate that in the minds of market particiapants reflation of assets is working. That mind set results from the fear of future inflation caused by money printing, intervention, etc.
Friday, October 16, 2009
Stock Market Breakout Holds.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The bears tried this morning to take things lower after yesterday's clean breakout over S&P 1080. The futures were down pre-market but worsened once the earnings came out from Goldman Sachs Group (GS) and Citigroup, Inc. (C). The numbers from GS were solid but it had been straight up and needed a pause in the action. It certainly got that refresher pre-market as it was down about 5$. Citigroup, Inc. (C) was awful. Less of a loss than expected but they're still bleeding out badly and this hit the market even harder.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Wither the U.S. Dollar, Gold and Dow in Transition Mode / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Now that the credit/bank crisis is two years old, and the Dow around 10,000, gold is at highs over $1000. One would think that with $3 trillion of direct US Fed bailout cash, plus $17 trillion of various guarantees and singlehanded support for the US mortgage/financial markets would do something.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Preserve Your Wealth / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
New Edition of Conquer the Crash to Be Released in Late October
Bob Prechter first released Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression during a stock-market high in 2002, and it quickly became a New York Times–bestseller. Now he has updated the book with 188 new pages for a second edition, and it looks like it, too, will be published near a stock-market high. John Wiley & Sons plans to publish the new edition in late October. Visit Elliott Wave International for information on how to pre-order the new edition from major online retailers.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
Deepening Financial Crisis As Stock Market Heads for a Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Our view is that the elitists are currently buying time for the dollar, and stalling the rally in precious metals, by weakening other currencies until they are ready for the big stock takedown/correction. This process of supporting the dollar is becoming extremely expensive and difficult, so they had to take the Dow down 200 points on Thursday to start some stock contagion in Asia and Europe to flush some money into dollars and treasuries.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
Two Reasons the Dow’s Rally to 10,000 Will Keep Moving Higher / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Jason Simpkins writes: The last time Dow Jones Industrial Average hit the 10,000 mark, it was plummeting from an all-time high of 14,163.53 as shell-shocked investors sought shelter from the worst financial crisis since The Great Depression. But this time around the blue chip index was on the upswing, surging 1.4% yesterday (Wednesday) to a close of 10,015.86.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
Dow 10,000 Not a Bubble, Time to Abandon Old Stock Market Valuation Ideas? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
One of my favorite comments on an article I posted on Seeking Alpha was on something I wrote in May earlier this year, it went like this:
"Wow...the more I look at this the more I think this is the worst piece of work I have seen in a long time…..big mistake, my friend…The baseline is just so wrong it screams! Ouch!”
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
U.S. Stock Markets Disconnected from Reality / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Earlier this year, I predicted that the 2009 rally in U.S. stocks could bring the Dow Jones Index as high as 10,000. It looks like that level has been achieved. If, at this point, the index reverses course, I would have made a fairly good prediction.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
Stock Market Breakout! / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
So we finally said goodbye to 1080 S&P 500 after trading in between the gap for a month or so. One break down below along the way that was quickly recovered. You had to figure it would take time to get through since the gap down from 1080 to 1060 in October 2008 was on massive volume and started another strong leg lower. Lots of willing sellers at that magical 1080 level.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Financial and Economic Collapse, The Crime of Our Time / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Reviewing Danny Schechter's The Crime of Our Time - Danny Schechter is a media activist, critic, independent filmmaker, and TV producer as well as an author of 10 books and lecturer on media issues. Some call him "The News Dissector," and that's the name of his popular blog on media issues. He's also the co-founder of Media Channel.org that covers the "political, cultural and social impacts of the media," and provides information unavailable in the mainstream.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Preserve Your Wealth / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
New Edition of Conquer the Crash to Be Released in Late OctoberBob Prechter first released Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression during a stock-market high in 2002, and it quickly became a New York Times–bestseller. Now he has updated the book with 188 new pages for a second edition, and it looks like it, too, will be published near a stock-market high. John Wiley & Sons plans to publish the new edition in late October. Visit Elliott Wave International for information on how to pre-order the new edition from major online retailers.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Global Financial Crisis Polarising Market Perspectives- Credit and Credibility Chapter3 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Chapter 3: “May you live in interesting times”
The global financial crisis has wrought such extensive damage that it has polarized market perspectives like nothing in our experience. The two prevailing camps may be categorized as those subscribing to variations on either the ‘green shoots’ or the ‘Dawning of the Asian Century’ themes and those believing the lull that has existed since early March is but the calm during the eye of the storm and global markets are in for a fresh, possibly more severe battering.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Stock Market Rally Technically Irrelevant / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
If any further evidence was needed of the “all markets versus the dollar” ponzi trade, it’s the new highs for 2009 that we’re now seeing across the financial markets.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Stock Market Crash, Banking on a Repeat of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
It’s happened before, it can happen again. - In mid 2008 I accurately predicted the collapse of major US and European bank stocks, based in part on the analysis of my long term hand drawn Point & Figure charts. These same charts are now indicating a bull trap in the making and a probable return of the bear some time over the next six months. The V-shaped patterns on the higher performing banks together with the predominance of upward wedge patterns throughout the broader US market also indicate that we are entering an extremely high risk time even now.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash New 2009 Second Edition, Survive Deflation / Stock-Markets / Deflation
Today's financial and economic tribulations were a long time in the making. Many people ask, "Why didn't someone see it coming?"
But a New York Times best selling book did see it coming. More than 100,000 people read it in time to protect their wealth.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Early Signals of a Maturing Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In my last posting I mentioned that some important bellwether charts peaked on or prior to the first week of August, 2009.
A survey of daily price charts of 199 Global Fortune 500 non finance companies showed that 59% actually peaked on or prior to the first week of August. For Banks, Finance and Insurance stocks (74) this percentage actually increased to 64% This means a clear majority of these large companies, almost 2/3, refused to follow the main US indexes to new market highs up on average about 13% +.
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Are Institutional Investors Selling or Buying Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Are Institutional Investors taking profits?
Today's study shows the "net" daily amount of daily Buying and Selling for Institutional Investors. The green bars show the daily net calculation by subtracting the amount of Selling from the amount of Buying.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Earnings to Impact Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
Tis the season folks. Will we have Santa or the Grinch. As we sit in this annoying 1060 to 1080 S&P 500 gap we are wondering if it will ever break out or will it simply fail and ultimately break down. We are going to get our answer very soon. Tonight the real earnings season begins. No more Alcoa's (AA) but the real deal economy stocks are here for review. There's a lot of good news built in thus these stocks better say some real good things or they will get hit. They need to beat on earnings and revenues and do it with real sales and not cost cutting. That will no longer work with their stock prices up 100% or more in many cases.
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Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Conquer the Crash, The Next Down leg of the Great Depression, New 2009 Second Edition / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Today's financial and economic tribulations were a long time in the making. Many people ask, "Why didn't someone see it coming?"
But a New York Times best selling book did see it coming. More than 100,000 people read it in time to protect their wealth.
Read full article... Read full article...