Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, May 22, 2009
S&P 500 Stock Market Internals Then and Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The S&P 500 index (proxy SPY and IVV) is in much better shape now than on March 6 (the low so far, and maybe the low). However, not all lights are flashing green yet.
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Friday, May 22, 2009
Solid Down-Day for Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices had a solid down-day today, falling from the get-go and stair-stepping their way lower all session, except for a late-morning consolidation. In the last hour they came back sharply, paring back the losses, but still ended down.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
Why Warren Buffett Could Be Back on the Money / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Has Warren Buffett lost the plot?
The Sage of Omaha’s recent track record hasn’t been too hot. And he’s had a fair amount of flak for getting some things wrong.
Now, reports Bloomberg, his Berkshire Hathaway holding company is cutting back on buying shares, after the firm’s cash levels have fallen to their lowest in more than five years. Will this prove to be another mis-step? Or is Buffett back on form?
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Stock Market Traders Fear That The Rally Is All Bull / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
A cautious set of Federal Reserve minutes gave the market pause for thought yesterday evening as they downgraded their growth forecast and warned in sober tones of a slow recovery on the jobs front. These factors point to a longer period of ZIRP and more QE. Other headwinds for the market came in the form of crude oil, which popped back above $62 a barrel on an unexpected decline in inventories as gold chugs ever higher ($900).
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
Stock Market Indices Finally Roll Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The stock market indices finally rolled over and had a negative session, but the day started out with a very strong surge to the upside. They went to new rally highs on both indices, which fell short of the early May rally highs. With the retest of the highs falling short, they rolled over in a strong 3-wave decline and got not far off the lows for the day. Only a last 10-minute slight bounce brought them off the exact lows for the session.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
India: The Easiest Investment You Will Ever Make / Stock-Markets / India
What if I told you I found an investment opportunity so simple that even a two-year-old could make a fortune?
Would you believe it?
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
The Sleepwalkers Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Although well off their all-time highs, American stocks are now marginally up for the current year. In the past two months, the markets have recovered over 30 percent from last year's lows. But something just does not add up. In the first quarter of 2009, average U.S. corporate earnings were down over 30 percent. There is once again a serious disconnect between stock prices and economic reality. Perhaps these sleepwalking investors think that the 50 percent sell-off in 2008 was overdone and great bargains are now available. To believe this is to misunderstand the economic hurricane of last October, and the gaping holes in America's hull that it exposed.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
How to Move the Stock Market Using Hacks and Morons / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media
I just ran across a news headline by CNBC so I knew it would provide a learning point. As the VIX Continues to Drop, Is S&P at 1,000 Far Behind?
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Get Out of the Stocks Bear Market Rally Now! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Claus Vogt writes: Long-term, financial markets are driven by fundamentals. And in the medium term, they’re driven by the business cycle. That’s why your analysis should always start with both of these.
Right now, the stock market’s fundamentals are undeniably dire …
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rallies and V Bottoms / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
A tospy-turvy day saw the Dow end modestly lower by 29 points. The glass half-full bull argument of the day focused on the the VIX index (which is in layman’s terms, a measure or gauge of fear in the market) fell below 30 for the first time since last September. Bears would counter by highlighting the weak full year guidance from bellwether tech stock HP after the bell.
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Will the Stock Market S&P Index Fall to 450, P/E 7 or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Professor Shiller's numbers are persuasive; since anyone can remember, whenever the stock markets and/or the economy got into a train wreak, the bottom in the stock market that followed coincided when P/E ratios went down to about 7.
By that logic, plus the awful economic news (a little bit better is still awful), the S&P 500 is going down to 450, and the issue is not IF it's WHEN?
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Timing of the Next Stocks Bear Market Primary Down Leg / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In summary, it looks like the current upward technical reaction in the Primary Bear Market can be expected to suck more investors into the markets for another couple of months. Within 3 to 6 months from now the equity markets seem likely to resume their Primary Bear Trend.
This morning, when I was scrolling through the charts trying to get a feel for the mood of the market, I constructed the chart below (courtesy stockcharts.com):
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Strock Market Indices End Mixed as Blue Chips Slip into Loss Column / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The markets were up in the morning, and flattened out by mid-day on the S&P 500, although the Nasdaq 100 kept making higher highs. In the last hour that negative divergence finally affected the indices, as they both rolled over, closing with losses in the Dow and S&P 500, still managing to hang on to gains on the NDX and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX). So, it was a mixed close.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Overbought Stock Market is Not a Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
In the face of some deeper selling last week, we saw some strong positive divergences on the 60-minute charts set up on the MACD from well below the zero line on Friday. That was a signal that said it was time to go long into the teeth of the down side.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Dow Jones Stocks Bear Market 2,000 Target By Elliott Wave Disciple Prechter / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Martin Hutchinson writes: In February 1995, the U.S. economy was in great shape. The 1990-92 recession had been over for a couple of years, the Federal Reserve was beginning to ease interest rates, the Clinton administration was beginning to make progress on sorting out the United States' modest long-term budget problem and there was this new thing called the Internet that looked as though it might bring some exciting new possibilities.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
The Sum of the Stock Market Bull is Larger than its Parts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Ask enough smart money and you’ll get plenty of well reasoned arguments for why risk bounced, but most of them require a leap of faith that their sum is bigger than the individual parts. The list includes: stronger global economic data (Japan consumer confidence, Eurozone exports -16% from -23% the previous month; NAHB builders index off the bottom); home improvements chain Lowe’s earnings which supported the homebuilders and real estate stocks; Geithner’s comments that the US economy has stabilised, a fall in the VIX to 30; Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan apply to repay TARP money and a 17.3% surge in the Indian Sensex.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
Stock Market is 50% Over Valued, Bear Market is Not Over! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Sharon A. Daniels writes: The stock market has managed to claw its way higher since early March, despite some of the worst headlines since this financial crisis began.
Suddenly, “green shoots” are springing up everywhere, but they can just as easily turn into wilting weeds again this summer, as I’ll show you in just a moment.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
Profit From Small Cap Stocks After the Recession / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Mike Caggeso writes: Right now many investors probably don’t want to shoot for the moon. The global financial crisis gave their portfolios one the fiercest beat downs since the Great Depression, draining investors’ resources and mood for anything but safe investments.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
The Deceptive Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The old adage ‘appearances can be deceiving’ can apply to many different situations, but for today, in our financial mania centric world, there is likely no better use of the term than as it applies to the various markets that characterize the landscape these days. In this respect, right now stocks appear to be discounting better times ahead with their more recent rebound, however even those who do not understand the real reasons why, know this to be a falsehood.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
Stock Markets Expensive on Falling Corporate Earnings Basis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Nothing to see here…just move along was the phrase du jour, as investors seem to look past still higher unemployment claims (due to Chrysler plant/dealer closings) and lower retail sales. While the markets declined, it seemed to be due to a lack of interest as volume declined than “hard-core” selling. This week will bring more data on the housing sector, which should set the tone for the remainder of the month, as little in the way of earnings or significant economic data will be released on the holiday shortened following week.
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