Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, April 25, 2019

Dow Transportation Stocks Sector Is Testing Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The DOW Transportation Index continues to test resistance near $10,050 as earnings drive the NQ well past historical all-time highs.  Our interest in the Transportation Index is because it acts as a fundamental indicator for the US and global economies in terms of future transportation/shipping expectations.  When the Transportation Index rises, it is a good sign that business and consumers have faith in the future economy and the continued demand for goods to be supplied to retailers and distribution centers.

The fact that the TRAN is back to near December 2018 highs means we have reached an expected economic expansion level that equals that level just before Christmas 2018.  A continued rally would push expectations even higher going into the Summer months.  With earnings hitting the market hard today driving a strong rally in almost all the major US stock indexes, we are surprised that the TRAN did not move a bit higher on the news.

Thursday, April 25, 2019

Next Potential Targets for Saudi Stock Market (Tadawul) / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia

By: MarketsToday

Several weeks ago, the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) went right through the 61.2% Fibonacci retracement (potential resistance) of the long-term downtrend that started off the September 2014 peak of 11,159.50 and kept going. Year-to-date the index is up 17.5%.

Tuesday, April 23, 2019

Prepare For Unknown Stock Market Price Action As New Highs Are Reached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The ES and NQ are very close to breaking out to new all-time highs this week and possibly over the next few weeks.  The NQ is very close to these new high levels already.  Traders must not take this move for granted as increased volatility and a very real chance for a price correction become even greater once we break into “new high territory”.

This upside move has taken almost 5 months to climb back from the December 2018 lows.  It has been a very dramatic rally to say the least.  We’ve seen dozens of professional analysts suggest the markets would rotate lower all the way up this rally.  It seems as though everyone wanted to be right that the market top in October 2018 was going to be the start of something big.  We were one of the few analysts that called the market accurately.  Our September 17, 2018 analysis called for almost every leg of this price swing over the past 7+ months.  We stuck by our research while others were skeptical and doubting our research.  We stuck to it because we believe in our work and modeling tools.

Sunday, April 21, 2019

Stock Market Pause Should Extend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Final long-term phase on the way?  How much longer is the question.

Intermediate trend –  The trend which started at 2346 is ready for another pull-back which should be followed by a final high before a significant correction begins.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Friday, April 19, 2019

While You Were Distracted By Stocks, the Fed Made Its Move… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

This move in the markets is effectively finished… and the Fed’s secret plan is complete

The S&P 500 is right at the very tip of the rising bearish wedge formation I’ve been tracking since early January 2019.

Thursday, April 18, 2019

S&P 500’s Downward Reversal or Just Profit-Taking Action? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Paul_Rejczak

Wednesday’s trading session was mixed, as investors hesitated following the recent rally. However, the S&P 500 was the highest since the early October yesterday, following last week’s breakout above the 2,900 level. Will the uptrend continue despite some technical overbought conditions?

The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.2% and 0.0% on Wednesday, as investors took short-term profits off the table following the recent rally. The S&P 500 index retraced more of its October-December downward correction of 20.2% yesterday before reversing its intraday upward course. Last Friday it broke above the 2,900 level. The broad stock market's gauge is now just 1.4% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was unchanged and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.1% on Wednesday.

The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index remains at 2,920-2,940, marked by the mentioned record high, among others. On the other hand, the support level is at 2,900, marked by the recent resistance level. The support level is also at 2,860-2,865, marked by the recent local lows.

Thursday, April 18, 2019

US Stock Markets Setting Up For Increased Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US stock markets took a nosedive early in the regular trading session after the QQQ briefly advanced to new All-Time Highs this morning.  With the QQQ and other symbols nearing fresh new highs, traders should expect volatility to increase as trading systems and traders to look for any signs of a top to set up.  As we start to cross into “new high territory”, some fear starts to come back into the markets and volatility is sure to increase.

The Russell 2000 took a pretty big hit today as you can see from the chart below.  This move lower is still well within our proprietary Fibonacci modeling system’s bullish parameters and we’ve highlighted a “Support Zone” for our followers to understand where real price support is located.  Any downside move below $152 would cause us to reconsider our bullish trend position, but right now this is nothing more than price rotation.  Wait it out and look for opportunities when it bottoms.

Wednesday, April 17, 2019

Watch The Financial Sector For The Next Stock Market Topping Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

A very interesting price pattern is setting up in the financial sector that could lead to a very big move in the US & Global markets.  Remember how in 2008-09, the Financial sector and Insurance sector were some of the biggest hit stock sectors to prompt a global market crisis?  Well, the next few weeks and months for the financial sector are setting up to be critical for our future expectations of the US stock market and global economy.

Right now, many of the financial sector stocks are poised near an upper price channel that must be breached/broken before any further upside price advance can take place.  The current trend has been bullish as prices have rallied off the December 2018 lows.  Yet, we are acutely aware of the bigger price channels that could become critical to our future decision making.  If there is any price weakness near these upper price channel levels and any downside price rotation, the downside potential for the price is massive and could lead to bigger concerns.

Tuesday, April 16, 2019

Stock Market Melt-Up or Roll Over?…A Look At Two Scenarios / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Plunger

Having trouble making sense of the market?  Do you feel like you are living in some sort of a parallel universe where almost everything happening in the market seems to be the opposite of what you have learned should happen?  You are not alone so let’s try to make some sense of it.  This weekend I will present two possible outcomes for the stock market and the rational behind them.  We will also look at some out of favorite stocks in a bull market.

I see myself more of a market strategist than anything else.  What I have learned after actively watching the ebb and flow of markets for almost 40 years is that the simplest approach is typically the best approach for us mere mortals.  Sure we may be able to score a few short term trades here and there, but the amount of effort and focus it takes makes it unrealistic to make it ones primary investment approach.  It takes an investment professional to consistently make money as a trader.  Those of us who work for a living are best served trying to ride a bull market and not get too wrapped up in the day to day motion of the market. But to ride a bull one must know an awful lot of things, because it takes an independent critical thinker to buy a bottom and sell somewhere near the top after a market fully expresses itself to the upside.  He must be able to divorce himself from the crowd and believe in himself.  He must be able to be comfortable being alone from time to time.  To me the most important thing is to understand where the market is in the greater scheme of things.  I say this because it is my personal approach to investment to find and be in a bull market and to avoid bear markets at all costs.  My observation is that those who listen to Wall Street’s advice to be in the market at all times is suicide.   Bear markets destroy investors and they ruin ones ability to ride the next bull market upward due to the psychological damage they incur.

Tuesday, April 16, 2019

Is the Stock Market Making a Head and Shoulders Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market’s relentless rally continues. The S&P 500 (excluding dividends) is just 1% from a new all-time high, while the S&P 500 Total Return Index (including dividends) is already at an all-time high. While the chart may “look like” a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern, these patterns are only clear with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight. Too many potential head-and-shoulders patterns don’t work out in real-time (i.e. false bearish signals). And by the time you wait for a “bearish confirmation” break of the neckline, the S&P is already down -20%.

Monday, April 15, 2019

If History Is Any Indication, Stocks Should Rally Until the Fall of 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Robert_Foss

Something unusual happened in the stock market recently.

A few weeks ago, a closely watched indicator, called the “yield curve,” inverted for the first time since the last recession.

This is a concrete sign the economy is slowing.

In fact, the yield curve has inverted before every recession over the past 50 years… but not immediately before, as I’ll explain in a moment.

Good news is, the yield curve inversion also means stocks should continue to rise for the next 12–18 months or so.

Monday, April 15, 2019

Stocks Get Closer to Last Year’s Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Paul_Rejczak

Friday’s trading session was bullish, as stocks broke above their short-term consolidation following the first quarterly earnings releases, among other factors. The S&P 500 index broke above the 2,900 level. Will the uptrend extend despite some technical overbought conditions?

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.5-1.0% on Friday, breaking above the recent trading range, as investors’ sentiment improved following the first quarterly earnings releases, among other factors. The S&P 500 index retraced more of its October-December downward correction of 20.2% on Friday. It broke above the 2,900 level. The broad stock market's gauge is now just 1.1% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.0% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.5% on Friday.

The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index is now at 2,920-2,940, marked by the mentioned record high, among others. On the other hand, the support level is now at 2,900, marked by the recent resistance level. The support level is also at 2,860-2,865, marked by the recent local lows.

Monday, April 15, 2019

Stock Market Ready For A Pause! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Final long-term phase on the way?  How much longer is the question.

Intermediate trend –  The trend which started at 2722 is ready for a pause

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Sunday, April 14, 2019

Stocks Are Going to Stage a Truly VIOLENT Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

First and foremost, volume has slowed to a trickle. Two of the last four days saw trading volume at their absolute lowest since late September 2018: right before the last market meltdown started.

This is occurring right as the S&P 500 nears the completion of the bearish rising wedge formation that has been building since the December bottom.

Sunday, April 14, 2019

Stock Market Indexes Race For The New All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Without too much attention from traders, the SPY and QQQ are racing to attempt to establish new all-time highs in what may become the most exciting Spring/Summer breakout rally of the past 3 years.  While many other symbols are still flirting with November/December 2018 highs, the SPY and QQQ are both showing upside price gaps last week indicating a moderately strong price advancement is taking place.  Additionally, both the SPY and the QQQ are already well above early 2018 peak levels.

If you were not paying attention, it sure looks like these two symbols are racing to be the first to break into “new all-time high levels” and shock the doomsayers (again) as we may see this rally continue for at least another 30 to 60 days.

Sunday, April 14, 2019

Dow Jones Stock Index Gann Angle Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: readtheticker

The Dow Jones has its own manner, some stocks are fast, some stocks are slow and some are in between. No matter the powers behind the scenes Gann Angles will help the chartist with the 'Dow Jones Manner Watch'!

These charts provided by NorthmanTrader clearly showing the puppet master behind the scenes

Friday, April 12, 2019

The Fed Created an Economy of Zombies and Unicorns / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

Central bankers have a well-worn playbook for handling recessions.

Cut interest rates, increase liquidity, and otherwise shove capital into the private sector. This helps businesses hire more workers and raise wages. Then gradually remove all the stimulus as growth recovers.

This playbook truly fell apart in 2008. The system had so much debt that adding yet more of it didn’t have the desired effect.

Thursday, April 11, 2019

S&P 500 at 2,900 Mark, Will Stocks Break Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks retraced some of their Tuesday’s decline yesterday, as they continued to fluctuate following the recent rally. The S&P 500 index traded slightly below the 2,900 mark. Will the uptrend continue despite some technical overbought conditions?

The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between 0.0% and +0.7% on Wednesday, as investors hesitated following Tuesday’s decline. The S&P 500 index retraced more of its October-December downward correction of 20.2% on Monday. The broad stock market's gauge is now just 1.8% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was unchanged and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.7% on Wednesday.

The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index remains at 2,890-2,900, marked by some early October local highs. The next resistance level is at 2,920-2,940, marked by the mentioned record high, among others. On the other hand, the support level is at 2,860-2,865, marked by the recent local lows. The support level is also at 2,835-2,850, marked by the previous Monday’s daily gap up of 2,836.03-2,848.63.

Wednesday, April 10, 2019

Stock Market Intra-day Fibonacci Modeling Shows Volatility Is About To Spike / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team, at Technical Traders Ltd. alerted us to a Fibonacci technical pattern that is setting up in the US stock market right now.  This pattern suggests that volatility will increase dramatically over the next few days/weeks as intra-day price action suggests deeper sideways price action may continue.

One of the key benefits of our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is that it automatically learns and adjusts to price action on different intervals.  So, by watching the results of this adaptive learning model on various intervals shows different types of setups and expectations, we can develop a consensus among the result to assist us in determining a likely outcome.  These models are showing that volatility will increase by expanding out the Fibonacci Trigger Levels for Bullish and Bearish price action.  As price begins to consolidate, the proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system adjusts internal computational measures to determine where and when the opportunity exists for trends to form.  When these Fibonacci Trigger levels move away from price, it typically suggests bigger moves are about to happen and that volatility will increase.

Wednesday, April 10, 2019

Stock Market Trend Forecast 2019 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my final video in a series of 10 that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the stock market into September 2019.