Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, September 30, 2007
UK FTSE 100 and Germany's DAX Index - Elliott Wave Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD
Both major stock markets are completing tops , and are about to start multi-week declines.
The London FTSE topped in July, 2007, and since has been tracing out the first two legs of an a- down, b -up, c- down Intermediate degree wave 2 decline. Wave b- up has retraced about 73.6 percent of the decline from July into August. That wave should complete soon. Then a strong decline, wave c- down should begin. A Fibonacci .786 retrace of wave a- down would take the FTSE up as high as 6,554.
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Sunday, September 30, 2007
Stock Market Update: Eyes of the Beholder / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
Last week's update warned that “big moves are still out there, building just below the surface”, but they didn't really materialize in this mostly sideways week as Wall Street looked to dress up its balance books at the close of the quarter. Financials, for example, were untouchable on Friday after trading higher earlier in the week on a spurious rumor about Warren Buffet and Bear Sterns. Oh jeez, it's enough to make someone forget about the news and just trade the charts!Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 29, 2007
Stocks Bull Market With a Recession? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
Inflation is Not a Problem - Until It Is
The House of Pain
A Bull Market and a Recession?
The Return of Muddle Through
King Dollar and the Guillotine, Part Two
Birthdays and the Ground Rush Effect
The dollar reaches new lows. The housing market shows no sign of a bottom. Oil almost touches $84 before backing off. Interest rates go up after the Fed cuts. So naturally the stock market keeps climbing. But then, consumer spending came in strong, employment looks like it may be ok, inflation (at least by one measure) came in below 2%. This week we look at the question of whether you could have a continued bull market and a recession. (Maybe.) We look at the bigger picture for the dollar and interest rates and examine the ugly data from the housing sector. Inflation or deflation?
Saturday, September 29, 2007
Weekly Financial Markets Analysis - A Credit Crisis Is Looming / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
FedWatch: The discount window has moved.
The original $2 billion borrowed at the Fed discount window has been repaid. Two weeks ago, yet another $7.2 billion borrowed by other banks was outstanding. This week, there are no outstanding loans at the Federal Reserve Discount window. End of story…or is it?
The Federal Reserve has another tool called the Federal Temporary Open Market Operations (FOMO), which is used to influence the Federal Funds market. The purpose of FOMO is, “To implement monetary policy, short-term repurchase and reverse repurchase agreements are used to temporarily affect the size of the Federal Reserve System's portfolio and influence day-to-day trading in the federal funds market.”
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Wednesday, September 26, 2007
Crouching Dollar, Golden Investment Opportunity! / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: The U.S. dollar is on a slippery slope — down more than 8% from its highs earlier this year and down 54% from its all-time highs.
Make no mistake: The fundamentals have not changed, and the buck probably has lower to go — perhaps much lower. Here's a quick summary of what's driving the greenback lower …
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Wednesday, September 26, 2007
Macro Musings: Northern Rock Exposure / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: Justice_Litle
BY NOW YOU HAVE probably heard about Northern Rock—the UK mortgage bank that got, er, rocked.
"It was a very British bank run," portfolio manager Tim Price reports. "The queues were orderly, but the emotional impact will scar people for generations."
What's remarkable is how long it's been since the last one. Northern Rock was Britain's first bank run since 1866.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2007
Upside Breakout Expected for Semiconductor Tek Stocks / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Time for a look at the Semiconductor HOLDRs ETF (AMEX: SMH), which looks to me like it is heading for an upside breakout that will be precipitated by strength in Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Applied Materials (Nasdaq: AMAT), Analog Devices (NYSE: ADI)...in the upcoming hours/days...Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 25, 2007
What Foreign Investors Will Do Next As Falling Dollar Makes US Assets Cheaper / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: Did you jump for joy when the Federal Reserve Bank lowered interest rates by half a percentage point? If you own a significant stake in the U.S. stock market, you probably did.
I say that because the Dow Jones added 417 points from last Tuesday (the day of the Fed announcement) through last Friday. For all of last week, the Dow gained 2.8% and the Nasdaq tacked on 2.7%.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2007
Adam Hamilton on Options, LEAPS and Warrants / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: Dudley_Baker
In the July issue of Zeal Intelligence , Adam Hamilton focused on alternative methods for investing in the mining shares. His subscribers were presented with more trading tools in building their portfolios in addition to purchasing the common shares. He discussed the long awaited Market Vector Gold Miners ETF (GDX) which launched in May 2006 and additionally, he discussed in depth, options, LEAPS and warrants.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 25, 2007
Stock Market Returns After Interest Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
By: Hans_Wagner
On September 18, 2007 the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered the Federal Funds rate and the Discount rate by 0.50% and the stock market leapt up by 2.9% for the day. Many investors were surprised by the Fed's move and wished they had been fully invested in the market. So, will the market continue up as a result of the move by the Fed? It turns out that there are a couple of studies that we might use to give us some guidance. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 24, 2007
Investment Flash: Hyper-Bearish / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Paul_Lamont
What we think of as ‘money' has been tremendously expanded by the use of debt. Now that fear has entered the credit market, money has become scarce putting pressure on leveraged asset prices. Margin calls are becoming more numerous throughout the system. Central banks, through various schemes, will attempt to reflate the credit bubble. But they will fail because they cannot create confidence.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 24, 2007
Urgent Financial Self-Defense and Massive Profit Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: We are on the verge of some of the greatest market convulsions of a lifetime.
And we're already seeing the first symptoms: Oil surging to all-time highs … gold making a beeline for $800 per ounce … long-term bonds suffering their worst one-day decline since 2003 … and behind it all, the US dollar getting slammed day after day, now within just an inch of its lowest level in history.
That's why we just held our Emergency Video Summit. And that's why we created this 14-page gala issue of Money and Markets …
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Monday, September 24, 2007
Markets Rate Cut Enthusiasm Maybe Short lived / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Many traders will be breathing a heavy sigh of relief this week as the economic calendar lightens comparatively. The US interest rate decision weighed heavily on trading action last week. The FOMC announcement had top billing and it certainly didn't disappoint. Many analysts were expecting a 25 base point cut, with much speculation on when the next cut would be. The 50 base point cut took many by surprise and the market reacted with typical enthusiasm.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 23, 2007
Fed Acts to Head off Recession, Stock Market Investment Implications / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Roger_Conrad
You can throw out your economic models, quantitative analysis and research reports. It really just boils down to economics 101: The Federal Reserve is prepared to do whatever it takes to head off a credit collapse and potential recession.
This economy and market still have some bumps ahead. But the key to stanching any credit crunch is to provide more credit. And with the Fed apparently willing to do anything short of throwing bags of money out of airplanes, the odds of a global economic catastrophe are fading fast.
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Sunday, September 23, 2007
Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 23rd September 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market.
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-yr cycle is approaching its mid-point and some of its dominant
components which are topping should soon restrain the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr cycle which has
just made its low and is now in an uptrend. This could lead to another period of consolidation in
2008 with an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - With the 4.5-yr cycle making its low in August, the intermediate-term trend is now up.
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Sunday, September 23, 2007
Stock Market Update: Don't Fool with the Fed! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
Did someone order a breakout? Or a bear sandwich? The Feds went hunting for shorts again this week with a 50 basis point cut in their overnight target rate that sparked the biggest one day rally in years. And, just like after their surprise cut of the discount rate in August, short positions were forced to cover en masse as there was little if anything to suggest in advance such a dramatic policy shift was forthcoming.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 22, 2007
The $900 billion "Bin Laden" Options trade Expires / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
On August 29th , a news website picked up on the existence of a gargantuan option trade that had the internet abuzz for the last month. You see, a trade of that size suggests to many that something is afoot. One point of view was that whoever bought or sold that ($900 million) option was anticipating disaster in the markets. Today that option trade expired, worthless. But was it a total loss? Not according to www.moneymorning.com (See “The $900 million Conspiracy Trade That Wasn't.) In the options business, a “box spread trade” can be used to lend someone money that could not get it in other venues and allows the lender (most likely a large banking institution) to keep its money at work. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 22, 2007
Semiconductor Stocks Grind Higher / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The Semiconductor HOLDRs ETF (AMEX: SMH) continues to carve out a rounded base-like pattern since late July, which resembles an inverted head-and-shoulders. Today's upside continuation off of Monday's pivot low at 36.80 has pushed prices towards the neckline resistance plateau between 38.80-39.10, which if hurdled and sustained, should trigger acceleration towards 40.50-42.00. At this juncture, only a plunge that breaks 37.90 will begin to compromise the developing pattern.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 21, 2007
Why following Stock Market Liquidity Inflows or Outflows are Very Important ... / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
Liquidity levels and inflows are a critical element in the stock market, just as they are for Corporations and family finances.
Our Liquidity model is simple to understand. When in Expansion, the amount of liquidity flowing in is positive. When in Contraction, more liquidity is flowing out than in.
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Friday, September 21, 2007
Fed Panics! - Era of Global Financial Market Instability / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
By: Mike_Whitney
Wall Street loves cheap money. That's why traders were celebrating on Tuesday when Fed chief Ben Bernanke announced that he'd drop interest rates from 5.25% to 4.75%. The stock market immediately zoomed upward adding 336 points before the bell rang. The next day the giddiness continued. By mid-morning the Dow was up another 110 points and headed for the stratosphere. Everyone on Wall Street loves Bernanke. He brings them candy and sweets and lets the American worker pay the bill. Read full article... Read full article...