Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

A Good Day for a Major stock Market Down Turn? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Yesterday I had suggested a “hope rally” that would figure in a bounce back to mid-Cycle resistance at 1690.00, but it appears to have taken place in the overnight futures.

The Pre-Market is only nominally higher after going to 1691.00 (cash) overnight, so the bounce may have already come and gone.

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

Too Much Stock Market Complacency / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

The breakaway gap followed by the runaway gap in the first chart of the Volatility (fear) Index implies that the 17.5 level on the second chart will be broken to the upside. If that does happen, we will very likely see fireworks. The financial markets seem to be taking the government shutdown with far too much complacency. The lines between Republicans (responsible management of government finances) and Democrats (altruistic aspirations paid for with other people’s money) have been drawn so deep in the sand that one might think of them as having been cast in concrete. Compromise seems a distant possibility.

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

The Real "Pin" That Could Pop the Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Nothing goes up forever. Not the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, not global debt levels, and not stock markets... even when governments don't shut down.

Precisely because the Fed's balance sheet ballooned from $869 billion in August 2007 to over $3.6 trillion (and counting) today, and in spite of ballooning U.S. and global debt levels, U.S. equity benchmarks have been inflated to precarious heights.

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

Stock Market Volatility Gains as Congress Showboats / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Daniel Sckolnik writes: “It’s more fun to talk with someone who doesn’t use long difficult words but rather short easy words like What about lunch?” — Winnie the Pooh

Washington is back doing what it seems to be best at these days, which is ramping up the national angst while it plays a Congressional game of “chicken.”

Monday, September 30, 2013

Stock Market Hope Trade Lingers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Afternoon!

The “hope trade” lingers for yet awhile. Any rumor of a settlement could boost the SPX back up to the H&S neckline. If so, I will re-label this spike as Wave [c] of 2. It may even go back to 1700.00 briefly. Everything is tentative, yet, so I may post another look at the SPX later. What I do know is that tomorrow is a double pivot day, so it makes te most sense that we get a spike from this low before the market turns down hard.

Monday, September 30, 2013

Republican Baby Budget Battle Breaks the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Told you so!

As we expected, the Futures are off about 1% this morning and down about 3.5% on the Dow, S&P and NYSE since Thursday, the 19th, when we told you to ignore the Fed rally and the painted charts and focus on the FUNDAMENTAL ISSUES that were going to drive the market lower. I also had some opinion about what to do with the new oil contract, saying right in the morning post (where even the free readers could see it):

Monday, September 30, 2013

October Stock Market Correction and the Secret Ruler of The Federal Reserve / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

In recent commentaries we've looked at the possible scenario for an October stock market correction. This scenario is based on Kress cycle "echo" considerations as well as a number of technical and market psychology indicators which suggest a market top may be forming. A number of individual stocks are still bullish, but intermediate-term indicators suggest that distribution has been underway in various sectors and industry groups for some time. Accordingly, traders should remain wary of the possibility for an "October surprise."

Saturday, September 28, 2013

Are the Bells Ringing At the Stock Market Top This Time Around? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

It’s often argued that they don’t a bell at the top.

I would argue that we numerous bells ringing in the financial markets today.

Carl Icahn wants Apple to leverage up to boost returns to shareholders. Apple has maintained next to no debt for the better part of ten years.

Saturday, September 28, 2013

Stock Market Still Looks Bullish – In the Rear-View Mirror / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Sy_Harding

In his 1999 warning that the stock market over the next 17 years “will not perform anything like it performed in the past 17 years”, Warren Buffett made several other interesting observations.

Friday, September 27, 2013

U.S. Fed QE UNTAPER and Ponzi Finance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Ty_Andros

Eyes wide shut!

Friday, September 27, 2013

A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to New Stock Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: The financial crisis of 2008 was the biggest panic America had witnessed since the Great Depression. Dubbed the “Great Recession,” its after-effects linger. In fact, this is the worst post-bust recovery on record.
Today, for investors, especially stock market investors, there are two camps: those who believe we are in recovery, and those (like me) who believe something is wrong with this recovery…it doesn’t feel or smell right.

Friday, September 27, 2013

Stock Market Sideways Consolidation Camouflages Danger Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Today’s action was basically a sideways consolidation, buying time but little else as overhead resistance and low volume grind down the attempts at a rally. Sideways consolidations are generally signs of a continuation of the existing trend.

Several commentators have wondered why the current bottom has held so long. Others have pointed out the obvious Head & Shoulders formation with a minimum target of 1653.90. No one has recognized the Broadening Wedge which has a much more significant meaning.

Friday, September 27, 2013

Fed, Central Banks Trapped Into Continuing Money Printing / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Both stock and blond valuations today are actually explicitly a matter of government policy.” Brett Arends, Wall Street Journal, 09/23/2013

 “This looks to me like 2007 all over again, but even worse. All the previous imbalances are still there. Total public and private debt levels are 30% higher as a share of GDP in the advanced economies than they were then, and we have added a whole new problem with bubbles in emerging markets.”William White, former BIS chief economist, 09/20/2013

Thursday, September 26, 2013

California Hikes Wages 25%, Saves US Economy! / Stock-Markets / Wages

By: PhilStockWorld

California is raising the Minimum Wage to $10 an hour!

Unfortunately, not until 2016 but this is exactly what we need to really move the economy forward so first break in the dam, thank goodness.  Still, it's a 25% increase over 2 years, not bad and not a bad reason to buy gold and silver (yesterday's play on SLW is a good start) as California, no matter how wacky you think they are, usually leads the nation in necessary reforms and this is one that's been a long time coming.  

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

The Smell of Financial and Economic Collapse is in the Air / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: DeviantInvestor

This is a continuation from part 1 - read it here.

CAUTION! Before you continue...

• If you believe that total government debt can grow FOREVER and more rapidly than the underlying economy, this article is NOT for you.

• If you believe that governmental deficit spending, QE, and bond monetization can continue FOREVER without major consequences, this article is NOT for you.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

New Dow Components Enter Index on a Whimper / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Welcome GS ($165), V ($196) and NKE ($69) - Goodbye to AA ($8), BAC ($14) and HPQ ($21).

The changing of the Dow replaced $43 worth of stocks with $430 worth of stocks and, in the price-weighted index, this is a major shift of balance. Rather than over-analyze it, let's just say that it shifts the Dow to a far more consumer-spending orientation and GS pumps up the sensitivity to the banking sector. What we're taking away from, once again is the "Industrials" which, much like America, are barely a part of the Dow Jones Industrial Average anymore.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Responding to Financial Crisis Risk With intelligent Analytics / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis

By: Submissions

Joe Budden writes: Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, many veteran traders were faced with a totally different financial landscape in which to operate. The ‘New Normal’, a term first coined by Pimco trader, Mohammed El-Erian, became the finance community’s go-to word for a new world order which bore more similarities with the post Depression era than anything investors had previously experienced.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

If the U.S. Economy Is Improving, Why Is This Happening? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: While the media and politicians tell us we’re in an economic recovery…I keep writing about the slowdown we’re heading towards. How can I say that?

First, take out the stock buyback programs, and you’ll see that U.S. companies are seeing their earnings and revenues grow this year at their slowest pace since 2009. (More on that in today’s “Michael’s Personal Notes” column below.)

Monday, September 23, 2013

Stock Market Tangling With 13 Year Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Afternoon!

BKX has lost all Model supports and appears to be capable of declining to its daily mid-Cycle support at 59.36. Should it stop there and bounce, we may have the setup for our first Head & Shoulders formation in this decline.

Monday, September 23, 2013

DJIA Futures Elliott Waves Suggests Temporary Top Is In Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Gregor_Horvat

US stocks futures extended weakness in the last few hours and now we have five waves down on DJIA futures from the top which means that temporary high is in place. Therefore, market will make minimum three wave retracement to the downside because that’s the minimum structure of a contra-trend price action. With that in mind, be aware of more weakness in days ahead, but after a bounce in wave (b). This wave (b) could occur soon if we consider that price is already in fifth wave now of wave (a) down.