Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, September 30, 2013

October Stock Market Correction and the Secret Ruler of The Federal Reserve / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

In recent commentaries we've looked at the possible scenario for an October stock market correction. This scenario is based on Kress cycle "echo" considerations as well as a number of technical and market psychology indicators which suggest a market top may be forming. A number of individual stocks are still bullish, but intermediate-term indicators suggest that distribution has been underway in various sectors and industry groups for some time. Accordingly, traders should remain wary of the possibility for an "October surprise."

Saturday, September 28, 2013

Are the Bells Ringing At the Stock Market Top This Time Around? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

It’s often argued that they don’t a bell at the top.

I would argue that we numerous bells ringing in the financial markets today.

Carl Icahn wants Apple to leverage up to boost returns to shareholders. Apple has maintained next to no debt for the better part of ten years.

Saturday, September 28, 2013

Stock Market Still Looks Bullish – In the Rear-View Mirror / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Sy_Harding

In his 1999 warning that the stock market over the next 17 years “will not perform anything like it performed in the past 17 years”, Warren Buffett made several other interesting observations.

Friday, September 27, 2013

U.S. Fed QE UNTAPER and Ponzi Finance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Ty_Andros

Eyes wide shut!

Friday, September 27, 2013

A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to New Stock Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: The financial crisis of 2008 was the biggest panic America had witnessed since the Great Depression. Dubbed the “Great Recession,” its after-effects linger. In fact, this is the worst post-bust recovery on record.
Today, for investors, especially stock market investors, there are two camps: those who believe we are in recovery, and those (like me) who believe something is wrong with this recovery…it doesn’t feel or smell right.

Friday, September 27, 2013

Stock Market Sideways Consolidation Camouflages Danger Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Today’s action was basically a sideways consolidation, buying time but little else as overhead resistance and low volume grind down the attempts at a rally. Sideways consolidations are generally signs of a continuation of the existing trend.

Several commentators have wondered why the current bottom has held so long. Others have pointed out the obvious Head & Shoulders formation with a minimum target of 1653.90. No one has recognized the Broadening Wedge which has a much more significant meaning.

Friday, September 27, 2013

Fed, Central Banks Trapped Into Continuing Money Printing / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Both stock and blond valuations today are actually explicitly a matter of government policy.” Brett Arends, Wall Street Journal, 09/23/2013

 “This looks to me like 2007 all over again, but even worse. All the previous imbalances are still there. Total public and private debt levels are 30% higher as a share of GDP in the advanced economies than they were then, and we have added a whole new problem with bubbles in emerging markets.”William White, former BIS chief economist, 09/20/2013

Thursday, September 26, 2013

California Hikes Wages 25%, Saves US Economy! / Stock-Markets / Wages

By: PhilStockWorld

California is raising the Minimum Wage to $10 an hour!

Unfortunately, not until 2016 but this is exactly what we need to really move the economy forward so first break in the dam, thank goodness.  Still, it's a 25% increase over 2 years, not bad and not a bad reason to buy gold and silver (yesterday's play on SLW is a good start) as California, no matter how wacky you think they are, usually leads the nation in necessary reforms and this is one that's been a long time coming.  

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

The Smell of Financial and Economic Collapse is in the Air / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: DeviantInvestor

This is a continuation from part 1 - read it here.

CAUTION! Before you continue...

• If you believe that total government debt can grow FOREVER and more rapidly than the underlying economy, this article is NOT for you.

• If you believe that governmental deficit spending, QE, and bond monetization can continue FOREVER without major consequences, this article is NOT for you.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

New Dow Components Enter Index on a Whimper / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Welcome GS ($165), V ($196) and NKE ($69) - Goodbye to AA ($8), BAC ($14) and HPQ ($21).

The changing of the Dow replaced $43 worth of stocks with $430 worth of stocks and, in the price-weighted index, this is a major shift of balance. Rather than over-analyze it, let's just say that it shifts the Dow to a far more consumer-spending orientation and GS pumps up the sensitivity to the banking sector. What we're taking away from, once again is the "Industrials" which, much like America, are barely a part of the Dow Jones Industrial Average anymore.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Responding to Financial Crisis Risk With intelligent Analytics / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis

By: Submissions

Joe Budden writes: Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, many veteran traders were faced with a totally different financial landscape in which to operate. The ‘New Normal’, a term first coined by Pimco trader, Mohammed El-Erian, became the finance community’s go-to word for a new world order which bore more similarities with the post Depression era than anything investors had previously experienced.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

If the U.S. Economy Is Improving, Why Is This Happening? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: While the media and politicians tell us we’re in an economic recovery…I keep writing about the slowdown we’re heading towards. How can I say that?

First, take out the stock buyback programs, and you’ll see that U.S. companies are seeing their earnings and revenues grow this year at their slowest pace since 2009. (More on that in today’s “Michael’s Personal Notes” column below.)

Monday, September 23, 2013

Stock Market Tangling With 13 Year Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Afternoon!

BKX has lost all Model supports and appears to be capable of declining to its daily mid-Cycle support at 59.36. Should it stop there and bounce, we may have the setup for our first Head & Shoulders formation in this decline.

Monday, September 23, 2013

DJIA Futures Elliott Waves Suggests Temporary Top Is In Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Gregor_Horvat

US stocks futures extended weakness in the last few hours and now we have five waves down on DJIA futures from the top which means that temporary high is in place. Therefore, market will make minimum three wave retracement to the downside because that’s the minimum structure of a contra-trend price action. With that in mind, be aware of more weakness in days ahead, but after a bounce in wave (b). This wave (b) could occur soon if we consider that price is already in fifth wave now of wave (a) down.

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shake-Up For The Dow Jones 30 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is getting another makeover this week. On Sept. 20, the Dow 30 stock industrial index will replace three of its older components - Alcoa, Bank of America, and Hewlett Packard - and will replace them with Goldman Sachs, Visa, and Nike. This makes the 52nd time since its inception in 1885 that the index has changed components.

Monday, September 23, 2013

Fed Decision Speeds Up Stock Market Topping Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX has made a new high after ending its correction at 1627. It still has a little way to go to reach its current intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Sunday, September 22, 2013

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

An expected volatile FOMC/Options expiration week did not disappoint. The market started the week with a gap up opening, held those highs on Tuesday, then spiked when FED chairman Bernanke did not taper QE 3 as was expected. Then the unwinding of that spike unfolded during Thursday and Friday’s expiration. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.45%, and the DJ World index was +2.0%. Economic reports for the week ended positive. On the uptick: industrial production, the CPI, existing home sales, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the monetary base and the WLEI. On the downtick: the NY FED, the NAHB, housing starts, building permits, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week: Q2 GDP (est. +2.5%), PCE prices and more housing reports.

Sunday, September 22, 2013

World Stock Markets September Bounce Continues / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. All seven of the eight indexes on my world watch list posted strong advances for the week. The exception was China’s Shanghai Composite, where the stock exchange was closed Thursday and Friday for Mid-Autumn Festival, and thus missed the “No-Fed-Taper Festival” celebrated by the other seven indexes.

Interestingly, the index most closely associated with Fed policy, the S&P 500, finished the week in sixth place with its 1.30% gain. Of the seven indexes open all week, only the UK’s FTSE fared worse with its fractional 0.19% advance. The big weekly winners were the three Asia-Pacific indexes (ex-Shanghai), with the 2.69% gain for India’s SENSEX besting Hong Kong’s Hang Seng by 0.13% and Japan’s Nikkei by 0.35%.

Saturday, September 21, 2013

Coming Soon – The Bubble Economy Tapers Down And Out / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Andrew_McKillop

IT CERTAINLY HAPPENED BEFORE
By the end of October 1929, the total value of stocks listed on the New York stock exchange had fallen by nearly 40% against early 1929 levels, but this was only the beginning. When the bottom was finally reached in March 1933, stocks had declined by more than 80%. Commodity prices fell by around 50%. World manufacturing output declined by 33% to 60% depending on country. World trade declined by about 67% or two thirds. In less than one year unemployment doubled in several countries, such as the UK, and quadrupled in most countries within 4 years. The International Labor Office in 1933 said that unemployment in the developed world had increased by 33 million since 1928. Corrected for today's population against the world's 2.2 billion in 1933, this would mean about 110 million people losing their jobs, today. The total US labor force as of 2013 is about 150 million.

Saturday, September 21, 2013

Stock Market Investors Have No Place to Hide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It now appears that SPX has broken its 3-week Ending Diagonal formation. The minimum retrace is 100%. There are only 3 waves evident here, so the move is as yet incomplete. The most likely immediate target is either the Broadening Wedge trendline at 1692.00 or short-term support at 1688.12.