Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, October 05, 2013
Stock Market Ready to Breakdown - Ready for Fireworks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
After an 82.4% retracement, SPX appears ready to break down. Part of the motivation for the big ramp today appears to be the fear of a negative week in equities going into the weekend. We’ll see if the subsequent decline puts a dent in this goal or not.
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Friday, October 04, 2013
The Ultimate Layer of Financial Protection / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Don_Miller
Recently I spoke with the always-insightful Dennis Miller about the critical importance of internationalizing your retirement savings. It's an uncomfortable fact of life that governments that are desperate for cash inevitably find ways to siphon off the purchasing power of their citizen's retirement savings. Poland, which recently partially nationalized private retirement savings, is just the latest example of this disturbing trend, one that will likely spread to other countries that are in fiscal trouble.
Friday, October 04, 2013
The Big Reason Why 2013 Stock Prices Are in the Stratosphere / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: EWI
Margin debt is up 100 times in the last 39 years
A famous quote attributed to Archimedes, the ancient Greek mathematician, is: "Give me a place to stand and with a lever I will move the whole world." And, as you probably know, leverage can also move the stock market.
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Friday, October 04, 2013
Stock Market 2013 an Exact Repeat of 1954? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes:
Wow!
In the first nine months of this year, the S&P 500 has run up 18%—that’s about two percent per month. Other key stock indices have provided similar returns. At this pace, by the end of 2013, the S&P 500 will be up 24% for the year.
As my doubts about the performance of key stock indices continue to mount, some in the mainstream are saying the market will only go higher.
Friday, October 04, 2013
Stock Market Support Lost at 50 Day Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The 50-day moving average has lost its ability to support the SPX and it may be possible that the Intermediate-term support is also ineffective. The cash equivalent in the overnight futures is already at 1674.60. We may see a gap down beneath that level in the morning.
A larger Broadening Wedge trendline show up at 1670.00, but it is too large to show on the already busy hourly chart. I may be switching to a daily chart to follow the goings-on in the SPX.
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Friday, October 04, 2013
Stock Market Ninth Decline in Eleven Sessions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Today the S&P 500 marked the third day of government shutdown with its most volatile session since its all-time closing high on September 18th. My volatility metric is the percent change from intraday low to intraday high. That September 18 record close had an intraday range of 1.71%, largely reflecting the market’s reaction to the FOMC no-taper decision. The index then declined for nine of the following eleven sessions. Today’s intraday range of 1.32% ranks at the 88th percentile of the 191 market days of 2013. The 500 opened at its -0.09% intraday high and sold off to its -1.39% noon-hour low. During the afternoon the index cut its loss approximately in half and traded in a narrow range, save for brief dip around 2:20 PM when shots were fired at the capitol. A slight fade in the final minutes logged a 0.90% loss for the day.
Thursday, October 03, 2013
Bad News and the October Stock Market Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Clif_Droke
In recent commentaries we’ve discussed the likelihood of a broad market correction due to a series of divergences among the major averages. The divergence between the Dow and the NASDAQ, for instance, suggests insider distribution. Not surprisingly, insider transactions show that corporate insiders have done more selling of their company’s stock than at any time in several months. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 03, 2013
Forecast Psychology & Rebuttal to Gary North / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Jim_Willie_CB
A rebuttal is warranted. The entire analytic discussion, defense of viewpoints, exposure of corrupted markets, and intriguing human psychology regarding forecasts is covered. It might be enlightening to many folks. It might be entertaining to some. It might be tawdry to a few. Gary North sounds more like a mainstream financial apologist than a sound money advocate. His days at the Lew Rockwell Institute are over. He seems a confused man with a limited comprehension of either the financial system or market developments, who has offered a shallow dispute of the Jackass recent perspective on the USTreasury Bond market. Given his extremely unimpressive analytic ability and dim vision, with a certain blindness extended from a certain perceptual inversion, he will be referred to henceforth as Mr South. Nothing personal, just hard to respect incredibly shallow attacks with no solicitation, surely without recognition of my past correct forecast trail. South is surely a good man, just not a good analyst. His recent essay featuring the Flash Trading and other USTreasury Bond factors was an unsolicited disgraceful assault with hardly a single point of valid substance. It was an extremely unimpressive display.
Thursday, October 03, 2013
Stock Physics: How Newton’s Third Law of Motion Applies to the Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Don_Miller
From a ball bouncing up off the floor to an earthquake triggering a tsunami, Newton's third law of motion tells us a lot about how the world works. Most of us can recite the abridged version of the law by heart: Every action has an equal and opposite reaction.
Thursday, October 03, 2013
Washington Awful... Stock Market Sending Bigger Message?... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
I'm personally wondering if the market is sending a bigger message than just Washington these days. Why? Because the weekly S&P 500 chart has a triple-negative divergence, and the deeper message may be that it's time for a prolonged nasty period here. My thinking is this. If you study a stock like American Express Company (AXP) you get some insight. This stock found itself with a hollow candle three days back right on the 50-day exponential moving average. It followed the way it should with an up day yesterday. MACD was turning up, which is appropriate. Today, no follow through. In fact, a hard nasty fall with a full candle below the 50's. Not bull-market behavior. It doesn't mean a bear market either.
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Thursday, October 03, 2013
Stock Market Easy Money Addiction Exit Plan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Doug_Wakefield
On September 13, 2012, the Federal Reserve announced its latest "QE", or "Quick and Easy" money plan for Wall Street banks. If we look at the price of US stocks since that time, we can see why investors were so optimistic about the PAST 5 years of "Quick and Easy" money that they poured their own money into equity mutual funds at record levels right before the latest Sept 18th announcement from "the addiction dealers".
Thursday, October 03, 2013
U.S. Government Shutdown Great for Stocks Bull Market, Bears Will be Crucified Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The U.S. Government has shutdown, some 700,000 workers told to stay at home and speculation rife that the U.S. is 2 weeks away from debt interest payment default, so it is not surprising that Doom and Gloom prevails as supposedly a new bear market has once more begun, right at the maximum point for seasonal weakness for the stock market. The perma bears and many other inexperienced but highly vocal market commentators can be found jumping up and down like demented rabbits proclaiming the likes of the "Top is In", just google the stock market and you will see an near infinite number of pages of commentary proclaiming that the bull market has ended, despite the fact that the same commentators never rode it on the way up!
Wednesday, October 02, 2013
The Shame of U.S. Government Shutdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Bloomberg
Hedge Fund Manager, David Einhorn sat down with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today and discussed the government shutdown, Green Mountain Coffee and Verizon/Vodafone deal.
Einhorn said it is unimaginable for U.S. to default, "Frankly not working this out so the government shuts down is bad enough...It does not seem that they tried to sit down to talk through their differences. That is the tone in Washington. It's a real shame."
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Tuesday, October 01, 2013
A Good Day for a Major stock Market Down Turn? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday I had suggested a “hope rally” that would figure in a bounce back to mid-Cycle resistance at 1690.00, but it appears to have taken place in the overnight futures.
The Pre-Market is only nominally higher after going to 1691.00 (cash) overnight, so the bounce may have already come and gone.
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Tuesday, October 01, 2013
Too Much Stock Market Complacency / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Brian_Bloom
The breakaway gap followed by the runaway gap in the first chart of the Volatility (fear) Index implies that the 17.5 level on the second chart will be broken to the upside. If that does happen, we will very likely see fireworks. The financial markets seem to be taking the government shutdown with far too much complacency. The lines between Republicans (responsible management of government finances) and Democrats (altruistic aspirations paid for with other people’s money) have been drawn so deep in the sand that one might think of them as having been cast in concrete. Compromise seems a distant possibility.
Tuesday, October 01, 2013
The Real "Pin" That Could Pop the Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Nothing goes up forever. Not the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, not global debt levels, and not stock markets... even when governments don't shut down.
Precisely because the Fed's balance sheet ballooned from $869 billion in August 2007 to over $3.6 trillion (and counting) today, and in spite of ballooning U.S. and global debt levels, U.S. equity benchmarks have been inflated to precarious heights.
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Tuesday, October 01, 2013
Stock Market Volatility Gains as Congress Showboats / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Daniel Sckolnik writes: “It’s more fun to talk with someone who doesn’t use long difficult words but rather short easy words like What about lunch?” — Winnie the Pooh
Washington is back doing what it seems to be best at these days, which is ramping up the national angst while it plays a Congressional game of “chicken.”
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Monday, September 30, 2013
Stock Market Hope Trade Lingers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Afternoon!
The “hope trade” lingers for yet awhile. Any rumor of a settlement could boost the SPX back up to the H&S neckline. If so, I will re-label this spike as Wave [c] of 2. It may even go back to 1700.00 briefly. Everything is tentative, yet, so I may post another look at the SPX later. What I do know is that tomorrow is a double pivot day, so it makes te most sense that we get a spike from this low before the market turns down hard.
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Monday, September 30, 2013
Republican Baby Budget Battle Breaks the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Told you so!
As we expected, the Futures are off about 1% this morning and down about 3.5% on the Dow, S&P and NYSE since Thursday, the 19th, when we told you to ignore the Fed rally and the painted charts and focus on the FUNDAMENTAL ISSUES that were going to drive the market lower. I also had some opinion about what to do with the new oil contract, saying right in the morning post (where even the free readers could see it):
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Monday, September 30, 2013
October Stock Market Correction and the Secret Ruler of The Federal Reserve / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Clif_Droke
In recent commentaries we've looked at the possible scenario for an October stock market correction. This scenario is based on Kress cycle "echo" considerations as well as a number of technical and market psychology indicators which suggest a market top may be forming. A number of individual stocks are still bullish, but intermediate-term indicators suggest that distribution has been underway in various sectors and industry groups for some time. Accordingly, traders should remain wary of the possibility for an "October surprise."