Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, October 26, 2012
The Stock Market and U.S. Presidential Election 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Zeal_LLC
After a long contentious slog, the hyper-critical 2012 elections are almost here. Americans will finally have the opportunity to choose our great nation’s future course. Will we collectively vote for free-market prosperity or big-government dependency? One thing is certain, the fortunes of the US stock markets will play a major role in this all-important decision. Few things influence our national sentiment more.
Friday, October 26, 2012
Why Hedge Fund Managers Are Scared / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Bloomberg
Julian Robertson, founder of Tiger Management, appeared on "Bloomberg Surveillance" with Tom Keene and Sara Eisen this morning, saying that hedge funds that have positioned themselves for a "black swan event" are making a "mistake."
Robertson said, "I think right now they are all scared...They are really only going to be profitable in the event of a big disaster."
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Friday, October 26, 2012
Why You Shouldn’t Fear High-Frequency Trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: I occasionally hear from readers who say they are fleeing stocks because they fear a market crash due to the prevalence of high-frequency trading.
This is almost certainly a mistake. Here’s why…
Thursday, October 25, 2012
Stock Market Excitement Begins Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday I commented that the SPX may make one more attempt at the Head & Shoulders neckline at 1421.00 before resuming the decline. Well, here it is.
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Thursday, October 25, 2012
Based on Real Math The SP 500 Stock Market Index Is Fairly Valued / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Charles_Carnevale
As investors, we do not believe in forecasting stock markets or stock prices on individual stocks. Instead, we approach investing as the process of calculating intrinsic value based on fundamentals. To us, the most important fundamental to be considered when evaluating the True Worth™ of a market or a common stock is earnings. Therefore, it's important that the reader understands that this article is offered as a mathematical calculation of what the S&P 500 is actually worth based on earnings. The reason we believe this to be important is because we also believe that any deviations from fair value will ultimately self-correct.
Wednesday, October 24, 2012
Next Stock Market Crash Will Be Bigger Than 1987 "Black Monday" / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Friday was the 25th anniversary of Black Monday. On October 19, 1987 the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 508 points, or a mind-numbing 22.6%.
How bad was it?...
Let's put it this way, if it happened today the Dow would drop 2,965 points on the session to finish at roughly 10,158. You can imagine the depression.
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Wednesday, October 24, 2012
Protect Yourself from the U.S. Dollar Crisis With Land Investments / Stock-Markets / US Housing
By: DailyWealth
Porter Stansberry writes: In the last three years, precious metals have soared.
They're soaring in response to a prediction I've been making since 2008 – that the U.S. government will do everything in its power to prevent a deflation in asset prices. This includes the shameless printing of dollars in order to prop up our rotted banking system... which is the plan, according to the Fed's most recent statement, out last month.
Wednesday, October 24, 2012
Stock Market In The Belly Of The Beast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Toby_Connor
Asset markets should now be in the final 3-5 days of this intermediate degree profit-taking event. We are moving into the belly of the beast, so to speak. This is that period of time during an intermediate decline where things start to look really bad. The media always confirms the decline with multiple stories of gloom and doom. Don't be fooled though, this is just a normal profit-taking event and it happens like clockwork about every 20-22 weeks (although sometimes QE can stretch the cycle to over 30 weeks).
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
The World’s Largest, Most Toxic Banking System… / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Graham_Summers
As noted earlier in yesterday’s article, the entire European banking and corporate system is over-burdened with debt.
Germany sports a real Debt to GDP of over 200% (this from the former head of the Bundesbank), and the rest of Europe is in even worse shape.
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Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Mounting Fears of 'Cyber-Pearl-Harbor', Escalating Attacks on Banks / Stock-Markets / Cyber War
By: DK_Matai
From Bank of America to HSBC and from JPMorgan Chase to Wells Fargo bank a growing wave of cyber attacks has disrupted and crippled the customer-facing online presence of some of the biggest and most powerful high-profile Western financial institutions over the past several weeks. Ally Financial, BB&T, Capital One Financial, PNC Bank, Regions Financial, SunTrust Bank and US Bank have also been targeted. Customers trying to use the online systems of those banks after the latest digital attacks were denied access or faced long delays. Some of the digital attacks appear to have originated in Iran and Russia. Security experts now believe that multiple well-organised digital attackers rather than a single attacker are behind the events that caused day-long slowdowns and, at times, complete online outages at various top banks.
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Financial Crash, Econcomic Crash, We Have Been Warned Part2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: DeviantInvestor
Voltaire said in 1729: “All paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value – ZERO.” WE were warned – almost 3 centuries ago. Bernanke announced QE3 on September 13, 2012 – the next step in the process of pushing the dollar down toward its intrinsic value. Not only is the Fed making a commitment to purchase $40 Billion per month of MBS (mortgage backed securities) from large banks with “newly printed money,” it is also making an open ended commitment – there is no end date. Ultimately this is highly inflationary for the American public and very beneficial for the banks holding what is often referred to as “toxic waste” (MBS) that can be dumped onto the Fed at full face value. Hopefully the bailouts to the banks will allow them to loan that newly created money into the economy so it benefits real people and “Main Street.” Regardless, we have been warned about the consequences of printing money and the resulting consumer price inflation.
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Why 71% of the Big Money Fears the Next Lehman Black Swan / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes:
Five years have passed since the financial crisis brought the world to its knees.
Gone are likes of Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns among others who were driven into ruin by the epic collapse of the housing bubble.
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Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Is Financial Crime A Systemic Risk? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012
By: Ron_Hera
Famed Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises wrote in his seminal work, Human Action (originally published by the Yale University Press in 1949), that “There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.” The collapse of a historic credit bubble occurred in 2008. However, despite years of further credit expansion, “a final and total catastrophe” of the U.S. dollar system has yet to occur.
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Lessons From Stock Market Crash Black Monday / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Peter_Schiff
25 years ago, on another Monday in late October, the financial world seemed to disintegrate in a heartbeat. Though the 205 point drop in the Dow last Friday (the technical anniversary of the '87 Crash) was somewhat reminiscent of its 108-point drop on Friday, October 16, 1987, the real action in '87 was on the Monday that followed. And while this Monday is not nearly as black, it is important that we use the opportunity to recall the circumstances that nearly sent the stock market into cardiac arrest.
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Stock Market Bulls vs. Bears At The 50's................. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Oversold. That's the word on the short-term charts, yet the market was threatening to break decently, or let's call it forcefully, below the 50-day exponential moving average, which sits basically right on 1430. The S&P 500 broke below with a bit of force today, but the RSI on the 60-minute short-term chart reached 22. It's hard to break an index down forcefully when you're that oversold. Not an easy chore to be sure. The bears tried, and although they didn't forcefully take the S&P 500 down below those critical 50's, it's not as if the bulls burst back above with any power of their own. A drop of the right or wrong news could tip the way this breaks. It won't take much either way. If we do lose those 50's, then the S&P 500 has a shot at testing the 1370 area in time. That would not be a death knell for the market, but it would sure create a lot more pessimism. Today was a great fight and it's not over.
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Monday, October 22, 2012
MAP Analysis – Europe Collapse and Common Sense! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Marc_Horn
Everything has its time due to the fractal nature of time . I am not saying it will happen tomorrow and it will not be a single catastrophic drop. We need to unwind the mistakes of the past one step at a time. I hope as you read this you will gain a better understanding of how the future will unfold. There always are bull and bear phases – that depends on the fractal time frame!
Following the updating of my charts an interesting picture is evident from MAP analysis I like to check the common sense approach!
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Monday, October 22, 2012
Stock Market Finally Rolling Over! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX has now made a triple top, which is a bearish pattern. For confirmation of a downtrend, it will need to close below 1420 on a daily basis.
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Monday, October 22, 2012
Markets Breaking Supports, Stock Market Waterfall Drop Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
-- Using the 10-week moving average as support, VIX staged a breakout above its two previous highs. It found resistance at its 40-week moving average, which produced a brief respite late on Friday. Once above the 40-day resistance, VIX has a shot at Cycle Top resistance at 34.07 and possibly much higher.
Monday, October 22, 2012
Stock Market Continues to Correct / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another wild week! After we posted last weekend that the SPX/DOW appeared to be declining in a downtrend. The market promptly rallied, from monday thru thursday, to within 1% of the bull market highs. Then, suddenly, gave all of those gains back in 24 hours. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.2%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.4%. For a change, the Foreign markets did much better. Asian markets gained 1.5%, European markets gained 3.0%, and the DJ World index rose 1.3%. On the economic front positive reports outnumbered negative reports 13 to 3. On the downtick: the NY FED, existing home sales and weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, the CPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, the NAHB housing index, housing starts, building permits, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the M1 multiplier, the monetary base and the WLEI. Next week the FED meets tuesday/wednesday, plus we get the first report on Q3 GDP.
Monday, October 22, 2012
US Presidential Election Too Close to Call Causing Stock Market Uncertainty / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Christopher_Quigley
The charts below clearly show that the Dow Transport and the Dow Industrial indices continue to exhibit divergent modalities. Since November 2009 the charts indicate that the Industrials have reached higher highs but the Transports have failed this test and have been range bound for nearly all of 2012. The direction and the momentum with which the Trannies break from this range will be most significant. I believe the market is awaiting with trepidation the results of the November presidential election. As we speak the polls are indicating that either candidate can win and this is bringing a fair degree of uncertainty into price action. The major concern is the position of Mr. Romney with regard to Iran given his predisposition to quickly consider war as a policy option. A new Middle Eastern conflagration is the last thing the world economy needs right now but unfortunately he has been boxed in by powerful interests. It is hard to see how he can march himself down the hill of imminent warfare, formal or covert, should the hand of destiny finally fall upon him.