Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Lessons From Stock Market Crash Black Monday / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Peter_Schiff

25 years ago, on another Monday in late October, the financial world seemed to disintegrate in a heartbeat. Though the 205 point drop in the Dow last Friday (the technical anniversary of the '87 Crash) was somewhat reminiscent of its 108-point drop on Friday, October 16, 1987, the real action in '87 was on the Monday that followed. And while this Monday is not nearly as black, it is important that we use the opportunity to recall the circumstances that nearly sent the stock market into cardiac arrest.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Stock Market Bulls vs. Bears At The 50's................. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

Oversold. That's the word on the short-term charts, yet the market was threatening to break decently, or let's call it forcefully, below the 50-day exponential moving average, which sits basically right on 1430. The S&P 500 broke below with a bit of force today, but the RSI on the 60-minute short-term chart reached 22. It's hard to break an index down forcefully when you're that oversold. Not an easy chore to be sure. The bears tried, and although they didn't forcefully take the S&P 500 down below those critical 50's, it's not as if the bulls burst back above with any power of their own. A drop of the right or wrong news could tip the way this breaks. It won't take much either way. If we do lose those 50's, then the S&P 500 has a shot at testing the 1370 area in time. That would not be a death knell for the market, but it would sure create a lot more pessimism. Today was a great fight and it's not over.

Monday, October 22, 2012

MAP Analysis – Europe Collapse and Common Sense! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Marc_Horn

Everything has its time due to the fractal nature of time . I am not saying it will happen tomorrow and it will not be a single catastrophic drop. We need to unwind the mistakes of the past one step at a time. I hope as you read this you will gain a better understanding of how the future will unfold.  There always are bull and bear phases – that depends on the fractal time frame!

Following the updating of my charts an interesting picture is evident from MAP analysis I like to check the common sense approach!

Monday, October 22, 2012

Stock Market Finally Rolling Over! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX has now made a triple top, which is a bearish pattern. For confirmation of a downtrend, it will need to close below 1420 on a daily basis.

Monday, October 22, 2012

Markets Breaking Supports, Stock Market Waterfall Drop Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

-- Using the 10-week moving average as support, VIX staged a breakout above its two previous highs.  It found resistance at its 40-week moving average, which produced a brief respite late on Friday.  Once above the 40-day resistance, VIX has a shot at Cycle Top resistance at 34.07 and possibly much higher. 

Monday, October 22, 2012

Stock Market Continues to Correct / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another wild week! After we posted last weekend that the SPX/DOW appeared to be declining in a downtrend. The market promptly rallied, from monday thru thursday, to within 1% of the bull market highs. Then, suddenly, gave all of those gains back in 24 hours. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.2%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.4%. For a change, the Foreign markets did much better. Asian markets gained 1.5%, European markets gained 3.0%, and the DJ World index rose 1.3%. On the economic front positive reports outnumbered negative reports 13 to 3. On the downtick: the NY FED, existing home sales and weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, the CPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, the NAHB housing index, housing starts, building permits, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the M1 multiplier, the monetary base and the WLEI. Next week the FED meets tuesday/wednesday, plus we get the first report on Q3 GDP.

Monday, October 22, 2012

US Presidential Election Too Close to Call Causing Stock Market Uncertainty / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Christopher_Quigley

The charts below clearly show that the Dow Transport and the Dow Industrial indices continue to exhibit divergent modalities. Since November 2009 the charts indicate that the Industrials have reached higher highs but the Transports have failed this test and have been range bound for nearly all of 2012. The direction and the momentum with which the Trannies break from this range will be most significant. I believe the market is awaiting with trepidation the results of the November presidential election. As we speak the polls are indicating that either candidate can win and this is bringing a fair degree of uncertainty into price action. The major concern is the position of Mr. Romney with regard to Iran given his predisposition to quickly consider war as a policy option. A new Middle Eastern conflagration is the last thing the world economy needs right now but unfortunately he has been boxed in by powerful interests. It is hard to see how he can march himself down the hill of imminent warfare, formal or covert, should the hand of destiny finally fall upon him.

Sunday, October 21, 2012

Thoughts on the Anniversary of the Stock Market Crash of 1987 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Jesse

Friday was the anniversary of the Crash of '87. As I recall it occurred on a 'Black Monday' after a 'Blue Friday' in which the DJIA lost 100 points for the first time I believe. The markets were wobbly.

It is hard to remember exactly what happened in the market that day except in the retrospect in which I have studied it in detail. But I remember vividly how I heard about what was happening that day.

Saturday, October 20, 2012

Stock Market Correcting... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

You probably expected a much more dramatic title, but there's nothing bad going on here. The market is barely down off the recent highs, so a pullback of a few percent doesn't mean very much. Things look worse than they really are off the top. That doesn't mean things aren't about to get worse as they probably are to some degree, but it's important to make the distinction between something being bearish or just pulling back to unwind things. If you're wondering what I'm talking about, look at the charts folks. S&P 500 is 3% off the top. That's it. Yes, the Nasdaq 100 is leading down, but the majority of the market is hardly down enough worth talking about off the recent highs. We got very overbought for a long period of time. We had sentiment getting stretched out. Nearly 30% spread in the bull-bear war, now in the teens. But the numbers were up there on everything from sentiment to just about every last oscillators.

Saturday, October 20, 2012

Trumping Tricks with No Treats = Investor Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“I don’t see Silver going below $30…” David Morgan, Silver Guru

Understandably so, David Morgan.

Just a week ago 3.6 Million Ounces of Physical Silver were removed from the COMEX Registered Inventory – fully 17% of the Total Registered Inventory of Silver. There are Big Buyers of Physical Silver.

Friday, October 19, 2012

Stocks Bull Market Topping / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Zeal_LLC

With the US stock markets near major multi-year highs, traders are naturally very optimistic.  Predictions abound for a continuing advance to new all-time highs.  But behind this happy facade, the secular picture is actually quite bearish.  The powerful stock bull of recent years appears to be topping in recent months.  This means the odds are ballooning that a new bear market is being born or soon will be.

Few, if any, things are more important for stock investors to understand than the bull-bear cycles.  They can only be ignored at great peril.  Investors who refuse to study them inevitably end up buying stocks at the wrong times in these cycles.  And that derails their wealth-building progress for many years.  For example, today the US stock markets remain lower than they were in March 2000 over 12 years ago!

Friday, October 19, 2012

Stock Market Crash Panic Starts Here / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

NDX has crossed its Crash Trigger at 2760 and is about to exceed its prior low. That means the crash or panic starts here with the NDX. The bears have been so beaten up that there aren’t any left, well, hardly anyone. Everyone has a bullish count for the market but virtually no one is aware of the implications of the Broadening Formations. Well, this one is triggered.

Friday, October 19, 2012

Best Stock Market Shorting Opportunity in 300 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Marc_Horn

In the previous big picture FTSE - a Rose between Two Thorns in May, MAP Analysis projected the retest of last year’s top, which has failed. Now here we are two more fractal waves scales down with 2 more retest failures!! Not good for UK which by my analysis is much further down the road of decay than Germany (for DAX analysis click here) which is one subwave ahead of the DJIA as presented in DOW Stock Market Index 2007 Retest Failure – Game Over USA  published  last week.

However we all know that even with traditional EW analysis of ABC etc that can change fast!. Those of you who are familiar with EW replace each colour scale -2 with a b and you will clearly see the nesting of b's! Not good coming off a high!

Thursday, October 18, 2012

U.S. Presidential Election Doesn’t Matter to the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory

By: Tim_Wood

As we have moved toward the election I have continued to hear talk that one candidate would be better for the market than the other.  I have also heard that the current administration is responsible for the market advance since 2009.  To say this and/or that this administration would therefore be good for the future of the market is like saying that we have had more sunny days since 2009 and that if the current administration is reelected then we will have more sunny days over the next 4 years. 

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Stock Market Thrill is Gone – Rally Tired or Just Resting? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

For anyone who's been paying attention for the last two years – that's usually not a good thing and, as we noted yesterday, it was a strong Euro and a weak Dollar that was driving our little rally.  The Dollar bottomed out at 79 and the Euro topped out at $1.314 and the Euro's strength sent the Yen back up to 79.30 to the Dollar (weaker) and that led to a 2% Nikkei rally last night.  As you can see from the chart on the right, the S&P for the week is 1% behind UK and Germany and 2.5% behind France and Italy (+4%) and Spain (+7%) – so we have a lot of catching up to do if this rally is real and sustainable. 

Thursday, October 18, 2012

QE Infinity Won't Work, What the Banks Are Really Afraid Of ... / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Dallas Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher recently offered a stunning assessment about our policymaking central bankers down in Washington.

They're winging it.

In a talk before a Harvard Club audience, Fisher presented a candid assessment about all the levers the Fed has been pulling in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. And that includes the recently announced QE3.

Thursday, October 18, 2012

IBM, INTC Disappoint... Stock Market Hangs Tough...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

I have spoken often about looking for signs about what type of market we're in. One clue is to watch how the market handles bad news that comes from just about anywhere, especially earnings. We had a disaster last night in two key places from the world of technology. International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) and Intel Corporation (INTC), two major market leaders and economic indicators, both said things were eroding. Not good news to be sure.

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Japan on a World Wide Asset Buying Spree / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: They're baaaaack. While the Chinese are busy grabbing all of the headlines, it's really the Japanese who are making the biggest moves.

So far this year, they've very quietly spent $101 billion on overseas acquisitions in a global buying spree that now dwarfs the one undertaken in the late 1980s and early 1990s according to Edward Jones of Dealogic.

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

QE3 Extreme Symptoms and Hidden Menace, Incredibly Gold Bullish / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Some competent analysts claim the United States and Western nations are stuck in the eye of the hurricane. Maybe so, but the internal stresses are so great that they will move beyond the eye into a zone of clearly apparent destruction soon. Some aware analysts believe the bond monetization plans will lift the financial markets. Maybe so, but the ensuing and continuing damage to the economies is profound from rising cost structures. Some awakening analysts no longer look to the USFed as a source of solutions. They see the central bank as increasingly desperate, pushing the same levers that accomplished nothing in the past.

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Derivative Meltdown and U.S. Dollar Collapse / Stock-Markets / Derivatives

By: BATR

The frightening prospects from a derivative meltdown, well known for years, seem to deepen with every measure to prop up a failing international financial system. The essay Greed is Good, but Derivatives are Better, characterizes the gamble game in this fashion:

"The elegance of derivatives is that the rules that defy nature are not involved in intangible swaps. The basic value in the payment from the risk is always dumped on the back of the taxpayer. Ponzi schemes are legal when government croupiers spin loaded balls on their fudged roulette tables."