Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, April 29, 2012
Giant Sucking Sound as Demand for Credit in Europe Collapses; Pritchard Misses the Boat / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Mike_Shedlock
In a report on fixed income, David Owen, Chief European Financial Economist at Jefferies, notes that demand for credit in Europe has plunged.
Owen asks Is it the supply or demand for credit that matters?
Read full article... Read full article...25 April 2012
Perhaps the most memorable comment Mario Draghi made to the European Parliament today was the need for a euro area Growth Pact, but he did draw comfort from the results of the ECB's latest Bank Lending survey.
Sunday, April 29, 2012
U.S. Stock Market at Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
An interesting week. The market opened the week with a large gap down, the fifth gap opening in six trading days, and traded down to SPX 1359 in the first half hour. That was the low for the week. The market then recovered, somewhat, on monday and tuesday. Then AAPL’s earnings were released after tuesday’s close. On wednesday the market rallied, despite a ‘hold the course’ FOMC statement. Thursday the rally continued. Then on friday Q1 GDP was reported lower than expected, but the market still managed to end higher. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.65%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.35%. Asian markets were -0.6%, European markets were +1.0%, and the DJ World index rose 1.1%. Economic reports were mixed, with negatives outpacing positives 7 to 6. On the uptick: new/pending homes sales, FHFA, new home prices, consumer sentiment and the monetary base. On the downtick: Q1 GDP, WLEI, Case-Shiller, durable goods orders, the M1-multiplier, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we’ll get reports on monthly Payrolls, ISM, Chicago PMI and Auto sales. Best to your week!
Sunday, April 29, 2012
Savings, investment, and the Keynesian preference – a follow-up / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Alasdair_Macleod
There is a general belief that government finances are somehow immune from the financial reality faced by everyone else – an illusion fostered by bond markets and supported by the public’s wishful thinking. Look no further than the plight of the eurozone for evidence of the reality. Not only that, but history tells us that countries regularly default, yet we continue to buy government bonds in the belief they are less risky than any private sector debt. And if we begin to question the status quo, we are even told by financial regulators that government debt is less risky than anything else. Banking regulation enshrines it in Basel Committee guidelines, and modern portfolio theory – which guides securities regulation – casts it in stone.
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
Stock Market Holds Well...Lateral Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
This is what the bulls wanted to see take place; a nice unwinding in the key oscillators on the important index daily charts. They wanted to see price hold well, while MACD's, RSI's, and stochastic's rock lower. This was the result they wanted, and it's the result they have gotten thus far. There is never a guarantee that this process will continue, but the results, thus far, have been quite good, and therefore, it's likely to continue.
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
The Fed Will Come To The Rescue But Deliberately Late! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
There can be no doubt anymore that the global economic recovery is in trouble again.In the U.S. we can see it in the reversals of previously positive economic reports; unexpected declines in durable goods orders, industrial production, new home sales, existing home sales, new home starts, construction spending, new jobs creation, personal income, consumer confidence, small business confidence, and so on.
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
Stock Market S&P 500 Technical Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Submissions
Volkmar “Marc” G. Hable. Technical comment. This is an update on the technical comment regarding the S&P500 (symbol: SPX).
1. An ascending wedge has formed in the past months. This represents a fairly reliable pattern in the S&P500 as well as the German DAX large cap index. Other indices display a less reliable reaction to that pattern but may follow suite to those two leading stock indices.
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Friday, April 27, 2012
Stock Market Breadth, VIX, And Trends Give Slight Edge To Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Chris_Ciovacco
On April 26, we mentioned the chart of the VIX “Fear Index” (VXX) relative to the S&P 500 (SPY) represented a good way to monitor risk in an environment with some conflicting signals. An updated version of the chart, as of Thursday’s close, is shown below. The bulls made some progress with the blue upward-sloping trendline being violated, which shows decreasing levels of fear relative to the willingness to take on risk (see red arrow).
Friday, April 27, 2012
Final High 2012 For Stock Market and Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Clif_Droke
It's amazing sometimes how much difference a year can make on investor psychology. For most of last year investors worried incessantly about a potential "double dip" U.S. recession and the possibility of another worldwide credit crisis beginning in Europe.
Fast forward to 2012 and those worries have mostly evaporated from investors' minds. The consensus now is that the economy has improved and corporate earnings will continue to increase. The biggest worry for most investors is where they can achieve the biggest dividend yield while the Fed continues to artificially hold down bank interest rates. They further believe that the bull market that began in March 2009 will continue to achieve higher stock prices into 2013.
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Thursday, April 26, 2012
Is the U.S. Financial System Finally Stable? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: EWI
Four years after we brushed up against "financial Armageddon," did you think you'd be reading this?
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said...banks need to have more capital at hand in order to ensure the financial system is stable. Bernanke said regulators were taking steps to force financial institutions to hold higher capital buffers...Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 26, 2012
AAPL...Fed....Both Are Fine.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
It was a very interesting 24 hours for the stock market as it waited to hear how Apple Inc. (AAPL) would do on their earnings report and what was on the mind of our Fed leader, Mr. Bernanke. Apple surely didn't disappoint as they came in above expectations. The stock rocked higher and carried the futures with it. Good, solid action all day in the stock.
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Wednesday, April 25, 2012
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Bull Trap warning – Precious Metals, the first casualty / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
Gold has always been a bit of a conundrum for me as I am never quite sure how this yellow metal should be classified. According to Geology.com, “Of all the minerals mined from the Earth, none is more useful than gold. Its usefulness is derived from a diversity of special properties. Gold conducts electricity, does not tarnish, is very easy to work, can be drawn into wire, can be hammered into thin sheets, alloys with many other metals, can be melted and cast into highly detailed shapes, has a wonderful colour and a brilliant lustre. Gold is a memorable metal that occupies a special place in the human mind.”Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Fed Statement To Set Market’s Tone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The markets advanced early Tuesday after a report on home sales exceeded forecasts. On the earnings front, AT&T (T) and 3M (MMM) came in above consensus. With an important Fed statement and a durable goods report coming on Wednesday, we will be monitoring our market models, support, and moving averages closely.
Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Europe Sinking...USA Holding... / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Jack_Steiman
Over the weekend, we saw some terrible news come out of the Euro-zone with regards to manufacturing and economic growth. The news was particularly bad in that the numbers weren't supposed to be any good to begin with, so when the numbers came even worse than that, the whole Euro-zone took it on the chin with losses nearing three percent across the board. Some worse than others, of course, but the average was nearly three percent. Ugly as can be. With news that bad, and with the Euro-zone getting smoked, we were unable to avoid the carnage pre-market. Our futures looked pretty bad, but nowhere near as bad as the losses being seen across Europe.
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Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Stock Market Gaps Through Crash Trigger, Seat Belts On? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX has been testing its prior highs, but has not yet broken out. The prior two weeks of consolidation have coiled up the VIX for a powerful upward move, which may be as early as tomorrow. My Cycles model suggests that VIX may have the most strength between now and Friday, since that is due to be a Primary Cycle high.
Monday, April 23, 2012
Stock Market SPX Index Still in Correction Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend – The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top is already in place.
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Monday, April 23, 2012
Stock Market Investors Taking Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Submissions
Darah Bazargan writes: I have been warning, for some time now, that investors should be prepared for an imminent correction that will ultimately wipe out all of their gains of the last several months. For those who don't believe in taking opportunities on the bearish side of the market are only kidding themselves. Now more than ever is the market in position for it's most profitable investment of the year. It just takes a little courage on your part.
Sunday, April 22, 2012
Stock Market Downtrend to Resume Shortly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
While Europe was trying to rally for most of the week US economic reports were weighing down the US markets. Reports for the week were mostly negative with 10 declining and 4 rising. On the downtick: retail sales, the NY and Philly FED, business inventories, the NAHB, housing starts, existing home sales, leading indciators, the WLEI and jobless claims rose. On the uptick: building permits, capacity utilization, the M1 multiplier and the monetary base. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.00%, while the NDX/NAZ lost 0.65%. Asian markets gained 0.5%, European markets gained 0.8%, and the DJ World index gained 0.8%. Next week FOMC meeting on tues/wed, Q1 GDP, and more Housing data.
Saturday, April 21, 2012
Going Nowhere Stock Market Continues On... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
I will say it over and over. There's nothing bullish going on. There's nothing bearish going on. What there is is a market that wants to work off incredibly overbought conditions for a while to come so it can gain momentum to move higher once again. When you're overbought on the daily oscillators for months straight, months are going to be spent to not being overbought on those oscillators. It's as simple as that folks. We are not going to get overbought again just like that.
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Saturday, April 21, 2012
Investors How to Speculate Your Way to Success / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012
By: Casey_Research
So far, 2012 has been a banner year for the stock market, which recently closed the books on its best first quarter in 14 years. But Casey Research Chairman Doug Casey insists that time is running out on the ticking time bombs. Next week when Casey Research's spring summit gets underway, Casey will open the first general session addressing the question of whether the inevitable is now imminent. In another exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Casey tells us that he foresees extreme volatility "as the titanic forces of inflation and deflation fight with each other" and a forced shift to speculation to either protect or build wealth.
Saturday, April 21, 2012
Apple Stock is Less than 5pts Away From a Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Apple Computer is only 5 points away from its 50-day moving average at 569.23. Selling could explode once it falls beneath that level. Whether it happens today or not depends on which major player pulls the trigger first. But they have to be sweating and praying that it won’t happen.