Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, April 21, 2012
Investor Essential Knowledge for Maximizing Real Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“Since its inception in 1913, The Federal Reserve Board has been responsible for almost 95% devaluation of the U.S. Dollar. All this has been achieved through its ability to continually inflate the money supply.
And, between 1985 and 2005, the Federal Reserve Board has increased the money supply by five times. This extraordinary money creation is merely the catalyst for debt creation. In a fiat money system, money is debt…there is absolutely no way this money can ever be repaid except by continued inflation. But, now that the credit bubble is blown up, inflation is no longer an option; bankruptcy looms.”
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Saturday, April 21, 2012
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Bull Trap Warning / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Metal prices – A robot canary in the economic coal mine
Relative weakness in industrial metal prices can be a further sign of how the unravelling of the world’s major consuming economies can have a negative feedback effect on all countries down the supply chain. This includes countries supplying raw materials, through to low wage countries in the manufacturing sector – all of whom are at the mercy of market forces, corporate and government corruption and greed. Fear and greed are the mind killers. There is still plenty of greed left in the system and fear is just round the corner. Just ask the nouveau riche exporting their billions in cash out of China into Hong Kong and elsewhere. They know what’s coming and are preparing for their day of reckoning.
Friday, April 20, 2012
Real Asset Investments as a Hedge Against Inflationary QE / Stock-Markets / Inflation
Adam Waldman writes: Since the financial crisis and the “Great Recession” began in 2008, western central banks have responded in a number of different ways. The one method linking all of these central banks activities together has been the use of Quantitative Easing, or QE as it is more commonly called.
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Friday, April 20, 2012
Euro-zone Collapse, And Yet Another PIIGS Bites the Dust / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
To all those who say that deflationary collapses cannot happen in paper monetary systems, I ask you: don't the PIIGS-ies of Europe count? Because they're all falling, one right after the other, like dominoes. Today, the Spanish stock market ($SMSI) closed below its spring, 2009 lows. Here's a 5 year weekly chart through today's close:
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Friday, April 20, 2012
The Kondratieff K Wave Strikes Back, a multi-generation long wave debt cycle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The Kondratieff long wave cycle (aka The K Wave) provides the only good explanation of the current state of the global economy and financial markets. It is clear that a multi-generation long wave debt cycle has driven individual, government and corporate debt to crisis levels that are now in the process of a slow motion implosion. The debt is coming due, but central banks and governments have transferred much of the debt to innocent parties and postponed the due date. These misguided monetary and fiscal policies only bought a little time.
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Friday, April 20, 2012
Stock Market Turning Points: Has Wall Street Ever Warned You in Time? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
In the play "The Secret to Freedom," Pulitzer prize writer Archibald MacLeish had a character say this:
The only thing about a man that is a man is his mind. Everything else you can find in a pig or a horse.
MacLeish knew how to state the truth plainly.
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Friday, April 20, 2012
How to Handle an Economic Implosion, Conquer the Crash Collection / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I came across some research on the subject of worry. Here's how it was presented:
Things People Worry About:
- things that never happen - 40%
- things which did happen that worrying can't undo - 30%
- needless health worries - 12%
- petty, miscellaneous worries - 10%
- real, legitimate worries - 8%
Thursday, April 19, 2012
One of the Telltale Signs Behind Risky Stocks / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Martin Hutchinson writes: Short-term corporate thinking has been blamed for many of America's economic ills.
With little foresight beyond next year, management sometimes closes down plants and fudges accounting to make this year's earnings look better and boost the stock price.
Often, it is simply because management is excessively rewarded by short-term incentives such as stock options.
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Thursday, April 19, 2012
Why Wall Street Can’t Escape the Eurozone Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Despite all of its best hopes, Wall Street will never escape what's happening in the Eurozone.
The 1 trillion euro ($1.3 trillion) slush fund created to keep the chaos at bay is not big enough. And it never was.
Spanish banks are now up to their proverbial eyeballs in debt and the austerity everybody thinks is working so great in Greece will eventually push Spain over the edge.
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Thursday, April 19, 2012
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Bull Trap Warning in equities still holds / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Two months ago in my last posting, I warned of an impending Bull Trap in equities. As the hedge funds do their ‘thing’ during this week of expiring options, we see as in previous times, how easily they can create at will, short sharp rises in selected equities, that somehow seem to magically materialise from nowhere and often end up actually going nowhere. These are just the market plays of yet another market Bull Trap.
Thursday, April 19, 2012
Stock Market April Fears Ahead of Fed, Spain and China / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Forced Liquidation or Improved Sentiment?
Recent intermittent bounces in EURUSD in the face of surging Eurozone spreads are said to be reflecting possible liquidation by European banks unloading US assets to relieve an ensuing shortage of US dollars. Other explanations were attributed to the IMF buying Irish and Portuguese bailout tranches during the late European trading hours, taking advantage of cheaper levels (lowest since Feb 15). But as long as traders find no confidence in battling the coordinated efforts of asset-buying central banks and the Fed produces no new dissenters to the ultra low rates til 2014 mantra, risk currencies may be assured to find support.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2012
Stock Market Primary Trend is Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The world’s most influential central bank wants to inflate American asset prices; thus it is conceivable that the ongoing rally on Wall Street will continue for several months. Look. The Federal Reserve has made it clear that it will keep rates on hold until at least December 2014 and it is also buying US Treasuries across the entire yield curve. Put simply, Mr. Bernanke is suppressing interest rates and he is forcing investors to search for yield.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2012
Stock Markets Short-term Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
It is not often that there is alignment as we have today!
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Tuesday, April 17, 2012
Apple, Nasdaq Pressure Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The stock market started the week off on a very soar note, particularly on the Nasdaq 100, as Apple Inc. (AAPL) pressured stocks all day and dropped a whopping 25.10 to under 600 at 580.13, just 2 points off its low and way off its high. The bottom line is that weakness in Apple and some of the other market generals, including Intel Corporation (INTC), put a lot of pressure on the NDX.
The day started out with a sharp move up quickly, followed by a hard rollover into the session lows on the NDX at 2661. The S&P 500 at that point was under 1366. They bounced, pulled back, and then bounced again to nominal new highs on Nasdaq 100, and even more so on the S&P 500, reaching 1376 from 1365, or around 11 points. In the last couple hours, though, they drifted lower in an orderly fashion, and closed near the afternoon lows on both indices, sliding substantially on the Nasdaq 100.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2012
Stock Market Beta Be Gone.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
There are many different ways for the big money to get rid of overbought sentiment. Take the market down one sector at a time, or just attack all the high beta stocks from all over the market place and knock them down at the same time. Priceline.com (PCLN), Apple Inc. (AAPL), and Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) just to name a few. The list is very, very large, indeed, and that's what we saw today. The Dow stocks were holding up very well as the market participants ran to safety, with those high dividend lower beta stocks. Sometimes you can run and hide and sometimes you can't. In a bull market, if you're lucky enough to be positioned in the right place, you can get away with the selling. If you're in the wrong place, however, it's lights out. If you were in beta today, it was a lights-out day, and not a fun day at all.
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Monday, April 16, 2012
Stock Market Lull Before the Storm? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
From a big picture perspective, let's notice that both the upper and lower Bollinger Band lines are negatively sloped now, as is the 20-day moving average. This suggests strongly that the e-mini S&P 500 is in the grasp of a period of incomplete negative price action (a corrective period) that should retest and break below the April 10 low at 1352.50, on the way to a test of more important medium term support at 1338-1334.
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Monday, April 16, 2012
More Impetus For Summer Stock Market Correction! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Another week of economic reports adds to the likelihood of a summer correction in the stock market again this year, and even to the possibility that it has already begun.After four or five months of surprisingly strong economic reports that fueled the rally off the October low, it looks like the U.S. economic recovery has reached another slippery slope that has it sliding backward again.
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Monday, April 16, 2012
Stock Markets have Entered a Very Dangerous Environment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The markets have entered a very dangerous environment in which even the usual market props (Fed Presidents calling for more easing) are being overridden by market concerns for Europe.
To whit, last week, not one, but two Fed Presidents (Yellen and Dudley), called for more easing/ QE. On the very same day (April 11), the ECB issued a similar statement regarding the potential for more easing.
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Monday, April 16, 2012
Stock Market Short-term Decline in Progress, Will Gold Follow or Not? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top may already have started to take shape.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, April 16, 2012
Spotting Stock Market Trading Opportunities Using Elliott Wave Patterns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Today we sit down with Elliott Wave International's Futures Junctures Editor and Senior Tutorial Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy to discuss his favorite wave pattern of all: the diagonal.
EWI: You say if you had to pick just ONE of all 13 known Elliott wave structures to spend the rest of your technical trading life with, it would be the diagonal. First, tell us what the diagonal is.
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