Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, August 23, 2020
Stock Market Massive Dual Head-and-Shoulders Setup / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
- Dual Head-and-Shoulders patterns warn of a potentially big downside move and new highs may be a trap for bulls
- Valuation levels suggest the broader US stock market is lagging
- Precious metals continue to warn of risks
- The market “melt-up” may be nearing an end
My research team is issuing a Special Alert Warning after the NASDAQ and SPY reached new all-time highs. Our research team identified a massive Head-and-Shoulders pattern (highlighted in BLUE) that originated in 2014, set up a “head” in 2018, and is now forming a “right shoulder” spanning 2019 and 2020. Additionally, a minor Head-and-Shoulders pattern is setting up on the right side of the chart below (highlighted in MAGENTA) that peaks in early February 2020 – just before the COVID-19 price collapse. Will this dual Head-and-Shoulders pattern prompt a massive downside price move over the next few weeks and months, or will the US stock market continue to rally higher – breaking the resistance level the shorter-term “head” (near $174) and keep going?
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Thursday, August 20, 2020
A Huge Opportunity For Emerging Market Stock Investors In 2021 / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Avi_Gilburt
Back in early February of 2020, I warned those willing to listen that “Emerging Markets Look Sick,” which was actually the title of my article.
In fact, when I posted this article in early February, I was looking for a bounce off the 42 support region in EEM, with a target back up in the 44/45 region, which was expected to be a short-able bounce. You can see this outlined in the chart I presented within that article.
As you can see, the EEM struck a low just below 42, and bounced back up to a high of 44.84. This set up the big decline of which I was warning, with an ideal target of the 1.00 extension on the chart in the 31 region.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2020
Our Proprietary ADL US Markets Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our friends and followers love it when we publish and Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling chart. These are very special charts because they show us what our proprietary predictive modeling system is suggesting is a likely outcome many weeks or months into the future. We wanted to highlight the YM ADL chart, below, because we published it near the end of 2019 in a research article suggesting a deep price correction was setting up for 2020. Additionally, you should be able to follow the YELLOW ARROWS on the chart to see how and where the ADL predictive modeling system suggested the YM price would target.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2020
Five Post-Covid Trends and Gold Price / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The disruptions caused by the pandemic of Covid-19 forced people, companies, governments, and organizations to challenge their basis assumptions about their ways of life and conduct. Some of them might be trivial such as more frequent and thorough hand-washing, but others are much more important, amongst them putting more emphasis on health that came suddenly under threat and social relationships that were so missing during the quarantine. So, the key question is when the epidemic is fully contained, what will be the “new normal” – and how it will affect the gold market?Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 18, 2020
Stock Market Top Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.
SPX Intermediate trend: We should be approaching an important high, with confirmation coming over the near term.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, August 17, 2020
Stock Market Waiting For Acceleration Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Ricky_Wen
Wednesday played out as a gap-up and grind-up type of session, as the bull train remains in full control.
Wednesday closed at 3369 in the ES, near the highs of the session and also at a new closing print high for the week. The entire day’s range was 3382.5-3326.50, including overnight hours. Wednesday was also a full retracement of Tuesday's losses, indicating that the quick backtest into daily 8EMA was stick-saved by the ongoing bulls.
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Monday, August 17, 2020
Has the Stock Bulls' Strength Returned? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks have yet again approached the all-time highs, but on volume that wasn't this low in months – that's a red flag. The stimulus talks haven't really progressed, but markets there is no jittery sentiment as the put/call ratio stubbornly clinging to its lows show.
But let's look under the hood of the stock advance as that fittingly illustrates all the above.
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Saturday, August 15, 2020
Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Stock Market Peak May Be Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels. This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.
This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at least) over the next 6+ months.
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Saturday, August 15, 2020
Stock Market, Asset Price Crash Dead Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Kelsey_Williams
An All-Asset Price Crash (AAPC) might be the next “Wow! Can you believe it?”
In the meantime, whether it be stocks, bonds, gold, or oil, investors are licking their chops and counting their profits before they are booked. And, they have reason to gloat. Let’s see what all the noise is about.
STOCKS
Since the stock market lows less than five months ago, the Nasdaq Composite Index is up sixty-six percent. At its most recent intraday high of 11,126, it is nearly twelve percent higher than it was before falling by one-third this past March.
Any fears from investors about “technical damage” created by the previous price collapse have been swallowed up by the recent huge gains in the index. Here is what it looks like on a 5-year chart…
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Saturday, August 15, 2020
NASDAQ vs. DJIA: Does the Recent Divergence Matter? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
"The NASDAQ nearly doubled in the last 100 days of its rally."
This quote sounds like it's from 2020, doesn't it?
After all, since its March bottom near 6600, the NASDAQ has rallied to a new record high. Low to high, it has indeed "nearly doubled."
And yet, the quote above is not new. It's from the year 2000.
It appeared in Financial Forecast, a monthly publication by our friends at Elliott Wave International covering stocks, bonds, the dollar, gold, the economy and more.
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Friday, August 14, 2020
Stock Market Gap Fills Suggests Market Momentum May Stall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Technical Analysis teaches us that price Gaps tend to be filled by future price action. This is not something new for many of our readers, whom may be familiar with our mantra ‘Gaps always get filled!’. The big Gap created near February 24, 2020, the start of the COVID-19 market collapse, has recently been filled in the SPY and the TRAN (Transportation Index). We believe this “filling of the Gap” may be a sign that the upside market trend may begin to stall and potentially reverse.
Yesterday, we highlighted the potential for a continued upside bullish trend in the SPY pushing possibly 2% to 4% higher based on our Measured Move technique in our article entitled “President Trump Signs Additional Covid Relief – What to Expect From the Markets“. Today, with the TRAN gapping higher to fill the February 24, 2020, price Gap, we believe the upside move may be exhausting itself and nearing a period of congestion or reversal.
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Thursday, August 13, 2020
Stock Market Correction Approaching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.
SPX Intermediate trend: We should be approaching an important high, with confirmation coming over the near term.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Thursday, August 13, 2020
President Trump Signs Additional COVID Relief – What To Expect from the Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Up until the end of the last week, Republicans and Democrats were locked in heated negotiations regarding the size and scope of pending COVID-19 relief efforts. Our researchers had little hope that any negotiations would be successful given the two sides were so far away from one another in terms of wants and wishes.
On Saturday, August 8, 2020, President Trump signed a new Executive Order (and memorandums) to provide additional relief from the coronavirus that continues to spread in the US and around the world. These measures provide for as much as $400 in enhanced unemployment payments, and also offer Americans with temporary payroll tax relief, student loan deferments, and assistance to homeowners and renters.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2020
Stock Market Melt-Up Continues While Precious Metals Warn of Risks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
What a week for Metals and the markets, folks. The Transportation Index is up nearly 4% for the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up over 3% for the week. Silver is up over 14% and reached a peak near $30 (over 23%). Gold is up over 2.5% and trading above $2025 right now – with a peak price level near $2090. If you were not paying attention this week, there were some really big moves taking place.
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Monday, August 10, 2020
Stock Market Proprietary Signals Flashing Warning Signs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Ricky_Wen
Wednesday was a gap-up and hold type of session as the Emini S&P 500 (ES) could not muster enough strength after advancing for about +0.4-0.5% over the prior day’s closing print by hovering in the 3310s-3320s. Basically, the price action has been telling us the range remains confined as it needs time to digest, reset and eventually attempt higher due to the ongoing trend.
The main takeaway from Wednesday and the prior day is that is that the upside targets have finally opened up given the current breakout above 3285/3300. However, the biggest concern is that our proprietary signals have been consistently warning us this week on its sustainability issue, so we must utilize the trending support levels and judge momentum in real-time. Essentially, as long as price action remains above trending supports then it’s the same old grind. However, if trending supports get taken out, things could change quickly into either another breakdown and mean reversion attempt or a prolonged consolidation again.
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Monday, August 10, 2020
Storm Clouds Are Gathering for a Major Stock and Commodity Markets Downturn / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Clive_Maund
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts warning signs of a Fed-driven stock market downturn. There is a now widespread, universally held belief, especially among "dumb money" market participants, that the markets cannot drop because the Fed is going to keep creating money in ever greater quantities to throw at them, pumping them higher and higher.
This erroneous belief appears to be based on an assumption that the Fed cares about the economy or the welfare of the citizenry, when the reality is that the reason it exists is as a "wealth transfer engine" whose prime function is to serve as a mechanism for transferring the fruits of the labor of the population at large to the elite cadre at the top of the pyramid—and they even have a pyramid on their Federal Reserve notes.
They achieve this through "systemic inflation," with a fiat money system in place now for many years that enables them to print unlimited quantities of money, which they gift in the first instance to themselves and their crony associates and large, favored corporations, and then let the rest out into the economy, with the tab for all this being pushed onto the hapless citizenry in the form of inflation. This is why the dollar has devalued by about 97% in purchasing power since the Fed came into existence in 1913.
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Monday, August 10, 2020
A 90-Year-Old Stock Market Investment Insight That's Relevant in 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
R.N. Elliott’s work explains why stocks rallied despite Covid and other bad news
Many of you know that Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered the method of forecasting the markets that today we call Elliott wave analysis -- or, more formally, the Elliott Wave Principle.
R.N. Elliott lived from 1871 to 1948, and July 28 was his birthday.
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Monday, August 10, 2020
Debt and Dollar Collapse Leading to Potential Stock Market Melt-Up, / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Raymond_Matison
Crypto/Blockchain and Central Bank New Digital Currency Directing America’s Near-Term Future
In just a little over one hundred years people’s means of payment for trade has evolved from the original Constitutional requirement that money must consist of gold or silver, to a gold backed paper dollar currency, which at the will of the holder could be converted back into physical gold. Then came the paper dollar currency which for Americans could not be converted into physical gold, while sovereign foreign countries maintained that privilege. The last retreat from gold backing the dollar occurred in 1971, when the gold window was closed to foreign sovereigns. Most of us are only familiar with the paper currency which has no precious metal backing and simply claims that it is a Federal Reserve Note of a specific denomination.
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Thursday, August 06, 2020
Bananas for All! Keep Dancing… FOMC / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Gary_Tanashian
Keep Dancing (while the music plays)
FOMC came, FOMC delivered what we knew they would, FOMC left and the machines drove the markets down and up for a couple days, leaving the situation largely as it had been. NDX near its highs, SPX holding the support of its EMA 20 and DJIA thus far successfully testing its moving average convergence (SMA 50 & 200).
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Tuesday, August 04, 2020
Stock Market Uptrend Continues? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.
SPX Intermediate trend: We should be approaching an important high, with confirmation coming over the near term.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...