Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, August 01, 2020
The Bullish Case for Stocks Isn't Over Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Paul_Rejczak
The bulls didn't seize upon Monday's stock upswing, and prices declined in what might look as a good-bye kiss to the horizontal line connecting the early June highs. Are stocks about to roll over to the downside? Despite yesterday's deterioration in the credit markets, I think it's too early to jump to such a conclusion.
Technology is holding up, semiconductors aren't weakening relatively to the sector, and the rotation into healthcare, materials, and industrials is very much on. The defensives (utilities and consumer staples) are also improving their posture. Consumer discretionaries are firm, and financials are getting better relative to the index.
Yes, going into today's Fed and especially into Thursday's aftermarket with earnings from selected tech behemoths, the market is likely to move higher if yesterday's AMD results are any indication.
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Saturday, August 01, 2020
Stock Market Technical Patterns, Future Expectations and More – Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Continuing this multi-part research article, today we are going to explore some more immediate (shorter-term) technical setups. If you missed the first part of this research article, please take a minute to review it before continuing because there is quite a bit of information and related article links that are very important for you to understand this next article. You can view it here.
In the first part of this article, we discussed how our team evaluates a proper market perspective and how we build a consolidated narrative for our subscribers. Some times, it is not easy for us to build a suitable narrative or decide on risk factors as our team may not completely agree with one another. At times like this, we’ll often decide that no action is better than taking any action at all. Generally, though, our team is able to adopt a consensus narrative related to portfolio allocation levels, general market trends and specific target trade setups for the next 5 to 10+ trading days.
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Thursday, July 30, 2020
Stock Market Technical Patterns, Future Expectations and More / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We get a lot of questions from individuals every week. Our research posts contain a lot of varied examples of Technical Analysis, Economic Data Points, Advanced Price Theory, and other more obscure analysis techniques. Yet, sometimes our readers want to know more – how do we read the tea leaves to try to adopt a consensus approach to trading, investing, and hedging the global markets at times like these?
The easiest answer is that we are a team of technical researchers and analysts. Every day we are watching our proprietary modeling systems, various market symbols, and technical/price setups that occur throughout the globe. Because we specialize in US stocks, ETFs, and Futures, our concern is how the US market will react to these impulses. Having said that, we explore ideas about how capital will flow from one asset class to another over time as various rotations in the global market take place.
Every week, we communicate different points of view and do so across different time frames which provides you with a full view of long and short term expectations and potential moves for stocks and commodities.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2020
NASDAQ Stock Market Double Top & Price Channels Suggest Pending Price Correction / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team continues to attempt to navigate the difficult market dynamics ahead as traders’ concerns related to continued global economic functions persist. We believe the US stock market has rallied well beyond sustainable levels and the recent move in the US Dollar and Precious Metals has issued a clear warning that global traders are not buying into the current valuation levels of the major indexes. The NASDAQ (NQ) has rallied to new all-time highs at a time when a majority of the US Stock Market is contracting and concerns about future earnings/revenues continue to shock investors. It is almost as if a large group of traders piled into the “Fed Recovery” message and ignored the fact that the COVID-19 virus event is vastly different than any other price correction we’ve experienced over the past 40+ years.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2020
Shopify Is Seizing an $80 Billion Pot of Gold / Stock-Markets / Investing 2020
By: Stephen_McBride
I’m about to show you the most important table in all of investing. Please look at it closely.
Below, you’ll find the world’s 10 largest publicly traded companies in 2000, 2010, and 2020.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2020
Stock Market Minor Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.
SPX Intermediate trend: We should be approaching an important high, with confirmation coming over the near term.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, July 27, 2020
Stocks Disconnect from Economy, Gold Responds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Given the current uncertainties and recent market moves, money manager Adrian Day offers some thoughts on the macroeconomic environment.
Global stock markets zooming ahead amid historic unemployment and economic contraction is surreal. Half of the U.S. has been locked down, with economies virtually shut, a second virus wave appears underway and yet the stock market is almost back to February's all-time highs.
And this is not only in the U.S.; stock markets have rallied strongly around the world. We know that central bank money creation is the primary cause, but this dichotomy cannot continue indefinitely, at least without a meaningful correction. Meanwhile, gold—for sounder reasons than stocks—has outperformed and, notwithstanding anticipated volatility, will, we think, continue to do so.
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Sunday, July 26, 2020
This Stock Market Indicator Reaches "Lowest Level in Nearly 20 Years" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
Here's what happened "the last time the 10-day put/call ratio made a lower extreme"
After a big trend reversal, it's not unusual for the correction to retrace much of the initial sell-off or rally.
Thus, many investors are fooled into believing that the old trend has resumed.
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Sunday, July 26, 2020
Stock Market Slow Grind Higher Above the Early June Stock Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Paul_Rejczak
The S&P 500 upswing extended gains, yet retreated before yesterday's closing bell. To a certain degree, the accompanying bullish signals lost their luster too. The air is getting thinner as stock prices cut into the late-Feb bearish gap. Has this been the turning point in the great bull run, or just a modest preview of more fierce battles to be fought?
I'm definitely leaning towards the latter possibility. Far from having thrown cold water on the bull run, it's a gentle test of the bulls' resolve. In today's analysis, I'll lay out quite a few good reasons why, and also discuss the signs pointing towards caution.
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Saturday, July 25, 2020
FREE Access to Premium Market Forecasts by Elliott Wave International / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: EWI
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Friday, July 24, 2020
The Prospects of S&P 500 Above the Early June Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Paul_Rejczak
The announced S&P 500 upswing is underway, and the early June highs have been overcome on a closing basis. Will the regular trading's final hour sprint carry over into today's session? Are the bulls as strong as the one-sided result of Monday's trading suggests?
That's not a foregone conclusion, because we've seen quite a shift from Friday's sectoral dynamics. In today's analysis, I'll dive into the internals and lay out the case why the bulls still enjoy the benefit of the doubt, regardless of the persisting bearish sentiment and double top talk.
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Thursday, July 23, 2020
US Stock Market Stalls Near A Double Peak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The US stock market stalled early this week as earnings started to hit. A number of news and other items are pending with earnings just starting to roll in. There have been some big numbers posted from JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs. Yet, the markets have reacted rather muted to these blowout revenues.
We believe this is a technical “Double Top” set up in the making. The NASDAQ has been much weaker than the S&P and the Dow Industrials. We believe the US stock market is reacting to the reality of earnings and forward guidance after the recent rally in price levels over the past 9+ weeks. If we are correct and this Double-Top pushes price levels lower, then this technical resistance level may become the price ceiling headed into Q3 and Q4 2020.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2020
This Stock Market Stinks - But Not Why You May Think / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
I have been on vacation this last week, and when I had some downtime and the family was asleep, one of the activities in which I engaged was to peruse the articles written over the last week on the market. (Yea, I know... call me a nerd if you like). And, during my reading, I came to the realization that there is certainly a lot of manure being flung around of late.
Ultimately, I am just shocked that there are so many perspectives being presented as support for a bearish or bullish position that make it so clear that the author is not burdened by the facts.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2020
Machine Intelligence Quantum AI Stocks Mega-Trend Forecast 2020 to 2035! / Stock-Markets / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the third and final article in my 3 part series of analysis that concludes in a detailed 15 year stock market trend forecast for AI stocks, including a stand alone forecast for Alphabet (Google) into 2027.
Part 1 The AI Stocks Mega-trend - Moores Law is NOT Dead!
Part 2 Tech Stocks Trending Towards the Quantum AI EXPLOSION!
However the whole of this extensive analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work - Machine Intelligence Quantum AI Stocks Mega-Trend Forecast 2020 to 2035!.
- Why Investors Should Buy Deviations against the Bull Market Highs
- The AI Mega-trend - Moores Law is NOT Dead!
- QUANTUM COMPUTERS
- The Quantum AI EXPLOSION!
- Capitalising on the AI Mega-trend
- AI Stocks Mega-trend
- Formulating a AI Stocks Mega Trend Forecast
- AI Stocks Mega-tend 15 Year Trend Forecast Conclusion
- Dow Quick Technical Take
- Getting Started with Machine Learning
- Black Lives Matter Protests To trigger 2nd Covid-19 Wave?
Monday, July 20, 2020
Stock Market Time for Caution? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.
SPX Intermediate trend: We should be approaching an important high, with confirmation coming over the next few days.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 19, 2020
Stock Market Fantasy Finance: Follow the Money / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger takes a look at the latest moves in the financial and precious metals markets, and updates his investment strategy moving into late summer.
I've only just returned from the majesty of Georgian Bay, where the first fishing derby of the season had me summarily trounced by my female partner 12 to 5, with most of her catches in the 1- to 2-pound category and mine barely larger than the lure that attracted them.
Adding to this humiliation was that, despite that I have harangued incessantly about the urgency of "setting the hook" once you get a strike, I lost four 1-pound-plus bass within three feet of the dinghy by failing to properly execute that about which I constantly lecture.
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Sunday, July 19, 2020
Did the Stock Market Bubble Just Pop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Doug_Wakefield
It has been 18 months since I closed Best Minds Inc. Today I am teaching math. I love math because even when opinions appear totally wrong, math is still based on proofs.
So let’s prove that we are in a massive financial bubble that today, may have finally popped, even with all the “help” from central planners of market manipulation.
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Sunday, July 19, 2020
Quick Souring of the S&P 500 Stock Market Mood / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Paul_Rejczak
We got that extension of Friday's rally on Monday, as I called for. Vaccine hype news. Good for bulls with tight exit orders – I managed to take a 55-points profit off the table. But big tech (think Microsoft, Amazon) suffered with talk of its bubble rising, U.S. – China tensions increased, and California sweepingly rolled back its reopening.
Spooky stuff for stocks, and they tanked. The brightening outlook I discussed after Friday's session, didn't last all that long. But is the selling over now, or we better brace for some more?
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Friday, July 17, 2020
The Bizarre Mathematics Of How Negative Interest Rates Create Stratospheric Profits / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Dan_Amerman
There is an increasingly good chance that the United States could end up following Europe and Japan, and that the Federal Reserve could use its vast powers of monetary creation to force a move to negative interest rates.
If that deeply unnatural event happens, it will invert and distort the very foundations of investment pricing, in ways that are little understood by most investors today.
It will also - for a time - create an unnatural source of profits that most investors have no idea about, because it has never happened before in the United States (and is still in the early stages in the United Kingdom).
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Thursday, July 16, 2020
Dow Stock Market Crash Watch - Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: readtheticker
Like 1929 the markets have bounced. This time it is on the back of the FED $6.5T money printing.
Previous Post: Dow 2020 Crash Watch
But can the FED blow $6T every time the market rolls down to test support.
Yes, maybe before the US 2020 elections the FED will do 'what it takes'. But post elections not so much, the year 2021 is a long way from the next election (presidential or congress) and defense of the markets may not be so supportive at $6T or $10T per market smash. The FED may hesitate, and that will be window for stocks to break lower.
The 36 month simple moving average (SMA) is a good indicator of the Dow Jones trend (36 months is three years). It has been a good indicator of Dow break outs over the last 100 years.
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