Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

Stock Market Odds Favour More Declines Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into about 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The bull market which started on March 2009 at 667 appears to have ended at 1370. It is unclear if the first intermediate decline of the new bear market is over.

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

Logical Case for a 49% Stock Market Crash / Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Ciovacco

With an apparent acceleration of the debt crisis in Europe and a prolonged budget fight set to continue in the United States, we have bear market drivers in place from a fundamental perspective. On Monday, two-year Greek notes traded at 50% of face value; the yield on 10-year Italian bonds rose another 27 basis points. Angela Merkel’s party lost weekend elections in Germany, which brings into question public support for more bailouts in Europe.

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

The Stock Market Black Monday the Public Doesn’t Know About / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I hope everyone had a fantastic Labor Day weekend. I truly enjoyed myself and was able to have some creativity with my 18 month daughter. I got some new office chairs last week and I finally had time to assemble them during the rainy and windy black Monday here in Canada… Just like a child on their birthday, I tossed the chair parts aside and played with the large boxes with Mirabelle.

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

Europe and Asia Stock Markets Labor Day Sell Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: George_Maniere

           For years, Labor Day weekend was a time to take a break from work and celebrate the fruits of our labor. Sadly last weekend was a time when millions of Americans wished they had a job to take a break from.  If you were awake or remotely paying attention last Friday September 2nd The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the August 2001 jobs report and in a word - it was abysmal. The report showed that no jobs had been created in August. If this statistic was not so sad it would be laughable. What is even more telling then this report was that the prior two months had been revised down and I expect next month for the same thing to play out. The report will be revised down from zero to a negative number. There is no fudging the numbers. The jobs market is getting worse and fast.

Monday, September 05, 2011

Charts and Economic Data Point to a Bloody September for Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Capital3X

September is known to slay the mighty and yet it may just be the best opportunity of all months to make strong returns if one is able to realign portfolio to ride the momentum.

We will analyze charts from the Treasury market, S&P 500 Index, Volatility indices and AUD/USD to understand the market positioning. The data over the last couple of weeks has been negative the least to say.

Sunday, September 04, 2011

Stock Market Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

What started off as a promising week for the equity markets ends mixed in the US: SPX/DOW -0.3%, and the NDX/NAZ +0.2%. In between, the market gapped up monday morning from friday’s SPX 1177 close. Then hit SPX 1231 on wednesday only to gap down friday ending the week at SPX 1174. Economic reports continued to be slanted to the downside. On the upswing: personal income/spending, PCE prices, the Case-Shiller index, factory orders, auto sales, the m1-multiplier, and jobless claims improved. On the downswing: pending home sales, construction spending the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing, the ADP index, monthly Payrolls, the monetary base, the WLEI, and consumer confidence plunged. Asian markets gained 1.9%, European markets gained 1.7%, the Commodity equity group gained 3.7%, and the DJ World index rose 1.6%. Next week we have the FED’s Beige book, ISM services, and Consumer credit.

Sunday, September 04, 2011

No Jobs.....No Surprise... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

Even though there was supposed to be job creation near 100K, I don't think anyone should be shocked by the reality of absolutely no job creation. When we study the important economic reports that have come in recently, we see an economy that has consistently been heading lower towards recessionary numbers. The ISM Manufacturing Report stuck at 50 for the past two months. Anything below 50 is recessionary (contraction). The fact that we've spent two months at the save place after recently being as high as 61 can't be looked upon in a positive fashion. We've taken a plunge down in the past two months after stabilizing a bit, and now we seem to be on the road to further down side action economically. The saddest part being that there seems to be no way to cure what ills us all. Sure, the fed could give the economy of this country another blast of QE action, but we all know that the past two QE programs did nothing other than to create more inflation for those who simply cannot afford that type of outcome. Most of the fed governors are now totally against this type of program and have let it be known they'd vote against it if Mr. Bernanke wants it instituted.

Sunday, September 04, 2011

Why Economic Recession and Stocks Bear Market May Be Inescapable! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Sy_Harding

Note to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke:

It’s happening, Ben. Your assurances of an economic recovery in the 2nd half are in the wind, blown away by the continuing string of terrible economic reports. The next recession is probably already underway!

Friday, September 02, 2011

Gold and Portfolio Asset Allocation for Today's Financial Reality / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Nick_Barisheff

Asset allocation is one of the most crucial aspects of building a diversified and sustainable portfolio that not only preserves and grows wealth, but also weathers the twists and turns that ever-changing market conditions can throw at it. However, while the average advisor or investor spends a great deal of time carefully analyzing and picking the right stocks or sectors, the basic and primary task of asset allocation is often overlooked.

Friday, September 02, 2011

September Could Be Worse Than August for Stock Market Performance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Kerri Shannon writes: Investors beware - the dismal days of September market performance are here.

September notoriously often leaves markets in negative territory. Since the start of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896, the index has lost an average of 1.07% in September, with a 0.71% average gain for all other months.

Friday, September 02, 2011

The Panic of 1907" vs. the "Debt Crisis" of 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: EWI

Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could They Help Us Today?

If "legendary Wall Street figure" ever described anyone, it was turn-of-the-last-century financier J.P. Morgan. You can throw in "bigger than life" to boot.

Friday, September 02, 2011

Credibility Crash 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: HRA_Advisory

Things turned hard in the markets since the last issue, and not in a good way.   A lot of bad news has been priced into the market.  At this point only time will tell whether that has impacted people hard enough to tip the slow growing developed countries into recession.  Whichever way things go, it’s going to be close.

Thursday, September 01, 2011

Stock Market Traders Don’t Care About Long-Term Problems, But You Should / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Professional stock market traders manage risk very closely. In fact, stop loss levels tend to be set almost directly below entry points, meaning they are comfortable owning a position for a few minutes or a few days. If the trade does not work, they get out. Traders look at risk-reward ratios on much shorter time frames than investors. A good trading opportunity is not necessarily a good opportunity for investment.

Thursday, September 01, 2011

Stock Market Hesitation Or Black Candles After Recent Run Up..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

The market has been on quite the bullish run of late. Many factors acting in its favor from too many bears to oversold daily charts. Some very deeply depressed oscillators to say the least. This combination has seen the market go up in the face of mostly poor economic reports. Sometimes the technicals outweigh the fundamentals, but that's usually only for the very short-term. Like I just said, too many technical factors came together to provide a nice run up all the way to the 50-day exponential moving averages on the daily charts for the S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq, and other indexes. We tailed off those 50-day tests today. Nothing horrendous, but we did tail off, and what's key about it is the fact that we gapped up today off this nice run up. But after that gap up we saw on balance sellers for the rest of the day with the DIA closing on a Doji, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closing with black candles.

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

What You Need To Know About the VIX Volatility Index / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Marty_Chenard

Part 1: Why is the VIX (Volatility Index) an Important tool for Investors?

The VIX explained: Few really know what the Volatility Index is or how it is calculated. Here's are two brief explanations ... the first is a technical explanation, and the second is a description that investors can easily understand.

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Stocks Bear Market Investing, Tepid Interest in QE2 Winners Raises Questions About QE3 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Ciovacco

The Federal Reserve printed money in 2009 and bailed out the stock market. The Federal Reserve printed money in 2010 and bailed out the stock market. As the financial markets anticipate the next Fed statement due to be released on September 21, the markets are again teetering on the edge of a deflationary abyss.

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Stocks Bear Market Rally Has Begun / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Toby_Connor

I've been warning bears for a couple of weeks that the market was due for an aggressive bear market rally. That rally has clearly begun.

I have often referenced the Rubber Band theory in my nightly reports. For those not in the know, the rubber band theory is nothing more than the tendency for any market to regress to the mean. And the further a market is stretched away from the mean the more violent the snap back tends to be once the pressure is released.

Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Stock Market Sentiment...Daily Oscillators Lead To Rally... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

There are times when events take place that are predictable to some, but not at all to others. Take the stock market today, for instance. Not many understand the rally today, nor what will happen in the days to come. It's based purely on two events. The bull-bear spread, and the 21-day put/call levels, are bullish. Simply too much negative sentiment out there short-term.

Monday, August 29, 2011

Stocks, Gold, Silver and Bonds Market Analysis Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

1. Gold and silver have had a nice little bounce on Friday but are now trading at resistance. Be cautious of lower prices.
2. Crude oil continues to form a base on the daily chart and is showing some strength today with the weak dollar.
3. Bonds look as though they are about to top out and sell off meaning a TBT etf could be a great play going forward.
4. SP500 is gapped up and should find resistance at the 1200 level today or later this week which will likely be sold into.

Monday, August 29, 2011

Europe, Bearish Technicals Drag Down Longer-Term Outlook for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

With Ben Bernanke’s Jackson Hole speech in the rear-view mirror, the markets will most likely turn their attention back toward Europe. In the short-run, it is doubtful market-calming news will emerge concerning debt and slowing growth in Europe. Add in a bear-market-like technical back drop (see video below) and we have a recipe for continued stress-inducing volatility in the stock, bond, commodity, and currency markets.