Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 09, 2008
The Falling US Dollar is No Friend to the US Financials / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Donald_W_Dony
The affects of the declining U.S. currency goes beyond simply providing inflationary pressures, stronger foreign currencies and high gold prices, it also has a direct impact on how portfolios should be weighted. Since the beginning of the waterfall drop of the world's reserve currency, funds have rotated into energy stocks and out of financials. And this action is never favourable for the S&P 500. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 08, 2008
Stock Market Trend Analysis for May 2008 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Hans_Wagner
To make money in the stock market it is important to follow the trend. It is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.
Let's start with the long term view of the S&P 500. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) seems to be a good indicator of the cyclical bull and bear markets. In addition, the 78-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) acts as support in a bull market and resistance in a bear market.
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Thursday, May 08, 2008
Euro/Dollar Topping, S&P 500 Stocks Index Bottoming? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Two very significant technical breakouts could be approaching at the moment
that will confirm a near-term top in the Euro/Dollar and an
intermediate-term bottom in the cash S&P 500.
As we speak (Wednesday, May 7) the Euro/$ is pressing towards a test of key
support at 1.5360/40, while the cash SPX appears to be poised to thrust
above its 7-month resistance line in the vicinity of 1421. Should these
breaks occur, the Euro points to 1.5000 next, while the SPX points to 1460.
Thursday, May 08, 2008
Dow Jones Bearish Wedge Time Frames Analysis- Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Today I would like to talk about charting in different time frames so that
the trader may get a different persspective on the market he or she is
trading.
The first picture is an hourly chart on the Dow Jones Industrials. On the far right it shows the reversal we had in the last week. Remember I had said that the markets were in a topping process and you asked whether I would go short on Friday? My answer was that I would go short when the market tells me.
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Thursday, May 08, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Relief Rally is Weaker than Expected / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brady_Willett
The only thing remarkable about the recent rally in U.S. equities is how unremarkable it has been. To be sure, you would think that with the ‘worst' being ‘over' stocks would be able to mount a significant bounce. This hasn't been the case, at least not yet. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 07, 2008
Your Essential Chinese Investing Toolbox / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
If you read my Money and Markets column on a regular basis, you're probably interested in the lucrative investment opportunities that can be found in Asia and particularly China.
One of the most common questions I receive from readers is HOW to research both the Asian economies and individual companies. The language barriers and lack of media coverage in the U.S. lead many investors to believe the task is daunting. But it's a lot easier than you think ... if you know where to look!
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Wednesday, May 07, 2008
Top 10 Global Investment Trends to Follow for the Next 18 Months / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: William_Patalon_III
There's an old Wall Street adage that tells us that "the trend is your friend." And there's a witty bit of wisdom we've developed here at Money Morning to help guide our readers and us that says: "Go global or go home."
Combine those two and you'll discover that you've got yourself one very strong investing strategy - if you choose the right trends, that is.
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Tuesday, May 06, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Correction Ends / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
I have very preliminary signals that the decline from Friday's high at 49.29 in the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) ended this morning at 48.14. If accurate then the Q's should NOT violate 48.14 on any ensuing weakness and instead should continue higher towards a retest of last Friday's high at 49.27 on the way to new multi-month recovery highs projected into the 50.00/40 target zone.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 05, 2008
Delusional Stock Investors and Credit Crisis Vultures / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Dr_William_R_Swagell
The actions of Central Banks over the past six weeks have helped global markets rebound from their mid-March troughs. Markets that were down 20%-40% from their peaks of last year have now rebounded 8%-10%. So are we now about to launch into a new bull market or are we merely experiencing a counter-trend rally in a bear market?
A Reuters article (28th April, 2008) ran the headline... “Feasting vultures say market may have bottomed ... The allure of rotting mortgage bonds has grown so strong that Wall Street's vultures have begun picking over the carcasses... these intrepid investors have begun betting billions on a hunch that mortgage security prices have fallen enough.”
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Monday, May 05, 2008
Stock Market Pattern Recognition / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
By: Captain_Hook
In today's increasingly mature market environment, basing one's investment decisions on the recognition of commonly followed patterns, like a ‘head and shoulders pattern', has proven to be an expensive mistake all too many times for traders throughout the past 10-years or so. This is because when a large enough body of investors / speculators get to know something, and then act on it, what may have once proven to be a reliable ‘sell signal' becomes the opposite due to betting practices of market participants in what has morphed into more of a casino than a market. With respect to the stock market today, it's fair to say this is exactly what condition our condition is in., fuelled by runaway money supply growth also characteristic of high degree market tops that can take many years to fully mature. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 05, 2008
Stock Market Update: Turn Off the TV / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
Last week's tape is evidence of how many traders let the news get to their head, got faked out by the post-Fed selloff, and were short stocks after the meeting only to be forced to cover later in the week, sparking a rally that now has much of Wall Street bullish on stocks. But, after having pounded the table about being long above 1256, which remember was the must-hold big picture target number that had us buying the bottom during the MLK holiday hedge fund blowup and again on the retest, the widespread feelings that it's now time get into the market has us instead eyeing the exits.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 05, 2008
Financial Markets Signaling Major Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Black_Swan
Is the run towards safe-haven assets over? Major threats to financial markets certainly haven’t disappeared overnight. But it appears as though risk-appetite has returned that quickly. Of course, it can also vanish just as quickly. Either way it’s still something that needs to be monitored.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 05, 2008
Credit Crisis Worst is Over- We'll Believe It When We See It! / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Regent_Markets
"Sell in May" says the old stock market adage, but the bulls were in no mood for old wives' tales last week. Markets were in rally mode after the better than expected US jobs report, and news of more liquidity injections from the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve did what most traders were expecting them to do in cutting rates another quarter percent down to 2%.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 04, 2008
Stocks Trending Higher on Better than Expected Economic Statistics / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Election years that fall in the 8th year of the Decennial pattern call for consolidation in the early part of the year followed by a strong finish. But the 6-yr cycle which is scheduled to bottom in late Summer/early Fall could also play a restraining role, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate consolidation came to an end on 3/17. The index is now in a cautious uptrend which probably has a little farther to go.
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Sunday, May 04, 2008
Equities Over Optimistic Earnings Estimates as US Heads for Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Words from the (investment) wise - Part 1
USA Today: Warren Buffett – Economy in a recession, will be worse than feared
“Warren Buffett, the world's richest person, said Monday that the US economy is in a recession that will be more severe than most people expect.
Sunday, May 04, 2008
Investor Sentiment Improves on Worst of Credit Crisis Behind Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
“The world's favorite season is the spring. All things seem possible in May,” said Edwin Way Teal.
And so it seemed during the past week as we witnessed a further improvement in investor sentiment and risk appetite, supported by the viewpoint that the worst of the credit crisis might be behind us. The end result by Friday's close was strong gains for stock markets (with the Volatility Index at its lowest level since December), a further recovery of the US dollar, a sell-off of most commodities, and a weak undertone in government bond markets.
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Saturday, May 03, 2008
Stocks- Sell in May and Go Away? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This weeks newsletter looks at the stock markets trend during the summer months and especially in light of the "Sell in May and Go Away" adage. Meaning to sell stocks during May with a view to buying them back again some time during September. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 03, 2008
Stock Market Technical's Deteriorating Suggesting Downtrend Next Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: All of the major indices hit multi month highs last week.
Short Term - During the rally off the January lows new highs on the NYSE declined.
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Saturday, May 03, 2008
Non-Farm Payrolls- Lies, damned lies and statistics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The quote has been attributed to Benjamin Disraeli and popularized by Mark Twain. It could be applied to today's Employment Report . The press headline reads, “ Nonfarm payrolls down 20,000; unemployment rate unexpectedly falls.” Folks, these numbers have been massaged to get the “right” outcome.
For example, in April, the number of persons working part time for economic reasons increased by 306,000 to 5.2 million. This level was 849,000 higher than in April 2007. These individuals indicated that they were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job. 5.2 million workers comprise 3.8% of the alleged workforce.
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Friday, May 02, 2008
Equities Uptrend Weakened by Surging Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
In just about the past 24 hours, crude oil prices have rocketed from a corrective low of $110.30 to this AM's intraday high at $116.18 so far- just a 5% gain, that's all! So far, the rally in oil, an ETF of which is the US Oil Trust (AMEX: USO), has recovered about 60% of the prior decline from the all-time high at $119.93 to yest.'s low at $110.30. If June crude hurdles and sustains above $116.20, then I will be expecting a retest of $119.93.Read full article... Read full article...