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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, August 06, 2007

Japanese Deflation... A Global Liquidity Wild Card / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: John_Mauldin

This week in Outside the Box we turn our eyes on Japan and as promised offer a report by macro-maven and good friend Greg Weldon. Japan is the world's second largest economy and a major source of liquidity. While China has captured the headlines in Asia, Japan is still the big economic dog and supplier of capital on the block.

Greg argues that there is the potential for another asset bubble popping in Japan at the same time as we see our housing market and subprime mortgages implode. That could have considerable implications for world wide liquidity and the yen carry trade.

While this prints out longer than usual, it is mostly charts, as Greg likes to illustrate his thinking with lots of graphs. Follow his logic and reasoning. He is pointing out a potential problem that no one else I know is paying attention to. At the end is an offer for a trial subscription to his work, which I find quite valuable... John Mauldin, Editor

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 06, 2007

MPTrader - Dow Jones Relative Strength Versus Russell 2000 Nearing Short-Term Top / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

I have been long the Dow Diamonds (AMEX: DIA) vs. short the Russell 2000 Small Caps (AMEX: IWM) in our ETF Trading Diary model portfolio since last September, when the base pattern started to mature. Looking at the weekly relative strength chart of the two indices, the powerful two-year base pattern in the DIA/IWM spread has accelerated from its breakou level of 1.6400 to a high today of 1.7775 (so far), which is nearing my secondary target price of 1.8200.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 06, 2007

Subprime Housing Market Financial Sector Crash and Jim Cramer's Sage Rage / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Brady_Willett

In what is quickly becoming one of his most popular television tirades to date (which is saying a lot), Jim Cramer completely lost it last Friday during a discussion on CNBC. Coined a "passionate plea to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to consider cutting interest rates" , the incensed Cramer said: "It is no time to be an academic... open the darn Fed window. He [Bernanke] has no idea how bad it is out there. He has no idea! He has no idea! I have talked to the heads of almost everyone single one of these firms in the last 72-hours and he has no idea what its like out there. None!!!...

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 06, 2007

Revenge of Frankenstein Finance / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Michael_J_Panzner

A chimerical force has been rampaging through global markets in recent months, wreaking widespread havoc. Cobbled together from myriad agreements, assumptions, and transactions by academics, financiers, and marketers, this labyrinthine creation was once seen as an unmitigated success of new age financial alchemy.

But now, with changing economic and financial conditions exposing the derivatives-securitization monster to the harsh light of day, the nightmare of Frankenstein finance is coming home to roost.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 06, 2007

United States Day of Reckoning! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Last week, I sent you a crash alert on Monday and then sent it to you again on Saturday. If you've seen it and you've taken the five protective steps I recommended, you should be in good shape. If not, before you start on this morning's message, I think you should go back and read my crash alert now .
— Martin Weiss

I was born in New York but raised in Brazil.

Elisabeth was born in Brazil but has spent most of her adult life in the U.S.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 05, 2007

Dow Jones Stock Market Meltdown - It's a Bloodbath! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Mike_Whitney

On Friday the Dow Jones took a 280 point nosedive on fears that that losses in the subprime market will spill over into the broader economy and cut into GDP. Ever since the two Bears Sterns hedge funds folded a couple weeks ago the stock market has been writhing like a drug-addict in a detox-cell. Yesterday's sell-off added to last week's plunge that wiped out $2.1 trillion in value from global equity markets. New York investment guru, Jim Rogers said that the real market is “one of the biggest bubbles we've ever had in credit” and that the subprime rout “has a long way to go.”

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 05, 2007

Stock Market Update: So Much for a Vacation! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Dominick

Well, Dom's going for a second take at his first vacation since starting TTC, so this is Joe filling in again. Dom's attempt at getting some time off ended when he returned early to prepare members and guide them through what turned out to be an important and profitable week. While he should have been on the beach, one of hardest working man in the business was instead at his desk pounding the table and getting members to buy the bottoms and sell the tops… again and again.


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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 04, 2007

Foot and Mouth Outbreak to Hit FTSE 100 Index / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Latest reports suggest that the Foot and Mouth virus strain to hit the UK on Thursday is one that is NOT normally found in animals and is linked to vaccines. The strain is thought to originate from the Institute for Animal Health just three miles from the outbreak farm.

The last out break of Foot and Mouth disease in the UK in 2001 cost the Economy an estimated £10 billion ($20 billion) with the agricultural and tourism sectors of the economy hit hard. The government at the time was accused of gross incompetence in the handling of the crisis which saw the destruction of more than 6 million animals and closure of much of the British countryside as well as export bans.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 04, 2007

Stock Market Crash Alert: What to Do to Protect Yourselves / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss writes: With the Dow down over 280 points yesterday and the dollar sinking fast, I just wanted to make absolutely sure you didn't miss my alert of this past Monday. So here it is again. All our signals are equally valid; all our instructions, equally urgent.

With last week delivering the worst stock market rout in nearly five years, millions of investors are in a state of paralysis.

They're finally beginning to wake up to the enormity of the meltdown in the housing market.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 04, 2007

Volatility Delivers Wake-Up Call to Financial Sphere / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Joseph_Russo

Likely resulting from decades of imprudent financial engineering, the uncertainty-surrounding discovery as to the potential extent of collateral damage from such shenanigans remains immeasurable and unknown.

Similar to those engineers about to embark upon months of intense investigation in attempt to determine cause of the sudden bridge collapse in Minnesota - the omnipotent financial sphere is just beginning to access whether or not the minor structural fractures, (which market volatility has so blatantly revealed) could possibly morph into a sudden and total collapse of similar dimension.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 03, 2007

A Few Thoughts on the Recent Credit Crisis - Half of All Hedge Funds Gone? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: John_Mauldin

In this issue:
Inflation is Baked into the CPI Numbers
The Mortgage Pig in the Python
Housing Starts Look to Stop
A Few Thoughts on the Recent Credit Crisis
Half of All Hedge Funds Gone?
Golf, Weddings, and Europe

With the economy increasingly looking like it will slow down materially in the last half of the year, there is a drum beat for the Federal Reserve to cut rates. But how likely is a rate cut this year? We take a very different look at inflation to see if there is any room for the Fed to give a boost to the economy. We look over our shoulder at Japan and the yen carry trade and ask a heretical question: does the Fed cutting rates make any difference?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 03, 2007

It's the Fundamentals Stupid / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Peter_Schiff

Amid the recent stock market weakness, the pundits are virtually unanimous in their claims that good underlying economic fundamentals are being trumped by irrational fear. However, if investors understood just how bad the fundamentals for the U.S. economy really are, they would dump stocks even faster.  So, contrary to the rhetoric, it is not that investors are being too fearful, but that they are being too complacent.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 03, 2007

Why Financial Stocks Still Look Too Risky ... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: I don't want to pull any punches: This is the worst environment for banks, mortgage lenders, and the general U.S. financial industry that I've seen since 1998!

That's when gun-slinging hedge fund Long Term Capital Management bet billions of dollars in bond markets all over the world.

Everything went swimmingly … until Russia defaulted on its outstanding debts. That spooked global bond investors, prompting massive "flight to quality" buying in U.S. Treasuries. LTCM's bets went haywire and more than $4 billion in losses piled up.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 02, 2007

This is a Liquidity Driven Stock Market ... / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

Things have changed since Bernanke took office and M3 was discontinued. This put blinders on what the Fed was doing relative to Liquidity Injections.

Our Long Term Liquidity measurement is the closest we can get to seeing what Liquidity levels are and when they shift.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 02, 2007

Time to take out more Gold as Insurance Against a Financial Market Crash! / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry Edelson writes: The market action I've been warning you about — a sharp drop in the Dow down to at least 11,000 — has started. There should be no doubt about that now.

We've recently seen …

The worst U.S. stock market decline in almost five years. Last week marked the S&P 500's steepest weekly drop since September 2003, and it was the worst week for the Dow since March 2003. All this just after I warned you repeatedly right here in Money and Markets that the U.S. markets were headed for a sharp contraction.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 02, 2007

Dow Jones Megaphone Bearish Stock Market Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Brian_Bloom

The following chart shows a megaphone formation. It also shows a sell signal in the MACD, but the RSI is in neutral territory.

A ‘megaphone' or ‘broadening' formation is essentially one which shows higher highs and lower lows. As this defies all logic, it is also a sign of a market which is highly emotional. Typically, this is a bearish formation because it is also a sign of a market spiralling out of control.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 02, 2007

Fed Fund Interest Rate Futures and Other Financial Market Signals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Jim_Willie_CB

A quick review of signals surely can be both encouraging and confusing. They point to higher physical prices, calmer stock prices, and a continued housing crisis & mortgage debacle. The big banks and Wall Street broker dealers are breaking down very badly. The US Dollar bounce is already running out of steam, hampered by a restored expected interest rate cut. Remember: whatever is vigorously and repeatedly denied is almost surely to occur!!! Deception sells products.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

MPTrader -QID (UltraShort Q's) Not Finished on the Upside / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The ProShares UltraShort QQQQ (AMEX: QID) has climbed 16% off of its 7/19 low, but does not look complete on the upside (yet). All roads appear to point to 77.80-78.20 prior to the conclusion of the current upleg. At this juncture, only a decline that violates today's low at 45.60 will begin to compromise the projected target zone.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

Holding the Toxic Debt Bag as Credit Crunch will Shred Investment Portfolios to Ribbons / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Dr_William_R_Swagell

"Credit crunch will 'shred investment portfolios to ribbons.'

When creditors led by Merrill Lynch forced a fire-sale of assets ( of two Bear Stearns hedge funds in danger of collapsing) , they inadvertently revealed that up to $2 trillion of debt linked to the crumbling sub-prime and “Alt A” property market was falsely priced on books… The banks halted the sale before “price discovery” set off a wider chain-reaction.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

Wrestling with the Stock Market Bears / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: Is a major bear market creeping up on us? Well, if you were listening to the talking heads on CNBC last week, it sure seemed like it. Sentiment got bearish in a hurry, and good stocks were trampled down with the bad.

Then the bounce on Monday was followed by a red-ink reversal yesterday. The quandary that investors face now is whether this market is:

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