Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, November 20, 2007
Financially Heavy FTSE 100 Index Trading Cycle Heading Lower Into 2008 / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Donald_W_Dony
Weakness Continues For Global Financial's: The on going downward pressure being felt by global financial's appears to have more pain ahead before stability begins to develop. The credit and mortgage crisis that started in the U.S.A has quickly expanded to financial centres around the world. The S&P Global Financial Index ETF (Symbol IXG) continues to waterfall from the May 2007 peak with no clear evidence of support. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 20, 2007
Megaforces Shaping The Greatest Global Wealth Shift of All Time / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin here with a Big-Picture reality check for all investors, For several years, observers called the U.S. a "Goldilocks" economy — blessed with low inflation, rising profits and no major disasters.
And more recently, to help keep the party going, the Fed has pumped in hundreds of billions in fresh cash, slashed its discount rate three times and cut the Fed funds rate twice.
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Tuesday, November 20, 2007
Quant Hedge Funds and the August Subprime Financial Markets Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Subprime Mortgage Risks
By: John_Mauldin
What really happened last August? There was blood in the street for many hedge funds, while others did ok. But in this week's Outside the Box, Jon Sundt from Altegris Investments (and my US partner) dives you the behind the scenes details of what was going on inside the trading rooms of various quantitative hedge funds. It makes for interesting, if not sobering, reading.
I think you will find this analysis helpful in your own efforts to analyze your investment managers. How much real risk are your managers taking? Can you tell just by the performance numbers? Jon suggest different ways to look at the risk in your portfolio.
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Monday, November 19, 2007
Three Steps To Protect Your Funds Now From the Debt and Credit Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Paul_Lamont
In A Short History of Financial Euphoria , John Kenneth Galbraith observes: “All crises have involved debt that, in one fashion or another, has become dangerously out of scale in relation to the underlying means of payment.” We have now reached this ‘ Minsky Moment .' According to Morgan Stanley, the risk is now greater than 50% that the financial system “will come to a grinding halt.”Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 19, 2007
Stock Market Correction Since October Appears to be Ending / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-yr cycle is nearing its mid-point and some of its dominant components may already be restraining the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr cycle. 2008 should see a period of intermediate term consolidation into the late summer or Fall, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - The correction to the intermediate-term trend which has been ongoing since 10/11 appears to be in the process of ending.
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Monday, November 19, 2007
How to Spot a Stock Market Mania Thats Heading For a Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
Susan C. Walker of Elliott Wave International writes: When you're caught in the middle of a bad storm, you don't really care whether it's a tropical depression or a full-strength hurricane. You just know you're hanging on for dear life. The same idea applies to financial markets. When a market is trending up strongly, it's hard to tell whether it's just a bull market or a more dangerous financial mania.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 18, 2007
P/E Ratio Global Stock Markets Analysis and Technical Outlook - Nov 07 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Price / Earnings Ratio has long been recognized as one of the most useful financial indicators for valuing both individual stocks and stock markets. However as with individual stocks, it can be misleading if not also taking into account growth prospects for a particular economy. One of the primary indicators of growth is a countries real GDP, and as with an individual stock analysis, it is the consistency of trend that is important so as to avoid one year growth spurts.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 18, 2007
Stock Market Weekly Update: Rallies to Order / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
Members and regular readers will find an important message about the future of TTC at the bottom of this update, but for now, let's simply recall a statement from last week: Now, just as some big names are calling this the end of the bull market, we're willing to go it alone and say this is probably closer to the end of the selling than the beginning, and, if that assessment is correct, we'll be seeing the market turn soon and rally hard, quite likely taking us to new highs.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 18, 2007
Global Disparities Put Crack Up Inflationary Boom At Risk / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Captain_Hook
The oil market is out of control according to OPEC, where to go along with crude prices rapidly approaching $100 , China is having to raise fuel prices because of shortages. So, what's really happening here outside of what we will dub ‘pathetic' news coverage? As observed earlier in the week , with the Fed rapidly creating monetary aggregates to bailout it's floundering economy, US trading partners are having to compensate by upping their own currency debasement rates, as was openly admitted by Hong Kong authorities just yesterday , which is fuelling global hyperinflationary conditions. And again, to paraphrase OPEC in terms of what we can expect for oil prices, ‘it's out of control'. Or, in other words ‘the sky is the limit', where irreparable damage is currently being done to long-term global growth prospects due to disparities between Western economies and emerging markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 18, 2007
Stock Markets Headed Higher in Seasonally Strong Period / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: · The market is oversold going into a seasonally strong period.
Short Term : Last Monday the market extended its decline to a fourth consecutive down day setting up for the big counter trend rally on Tuesday. After rallying on Tuesday the Russell 2000 (R2K) fell for 3 consecutive days for the first time since last August. In this calendar year the R2K has not declined for more than 3 consecutive days so a rally is due.
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Saturday, November 17, 2007
NY Stock Exchange Contracting Margin Debt Levels Sending Bearish Message / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
Yesterday, I looked at the NYSE Margin Debt levels. On a short term basis, they don't tell you a whole lot, but from a longer term perspective they do tell a story.
Sometimes, I think of the NYSE margin levels as being similar to monetary liquidity or credit crunch conditions. When margin debt is expanding, investors are confident and expose themselves to more risk in expectation of a rising stock market.
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Saturday, November 17, 2007
Bearish Stock Market Signal - Dow Jones Transports Non-Confirmation of Industrials / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Tim_Wood
Back in August when both the Industrials and the Transports moved down below their June lows many were calling that a Dow theory sell signal. I wrote here in early August that this was not the case. It is now time for another update on Dow theory.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 17, 2007
Is the NASDAQ Bull Market Over? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Hans_Wagner
Recently, the NASDAQ has been outperforming all the other indexes including the DJIA and the S&P. However, the recent pull back in the market raises the question are we seeing another buyable low in the NASDAQ or is this the start of a more significant move down. Let's look at a couple of charts to see what they might tell us. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 16, 2007
Stocks Bull Markets Climb a Wall of Fear / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology
By: Regent_Markets
After the party comes the hangover, and of course the bigger the party, the bigger the hangover. Over the last few years, financial companies have been gorging themselves on 'foolproof' credit trades, based on sub prime debt. Now the party is over and companies are having to face up to their antics in the cold light of day, says BetOnMarkets.com's Michael Wright.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 16, 2007
Dow Jones Stock Market Index Gives On Balance Volume Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Brian_Bloom
November 19th 2007 - Revisited : The chart below is a close-up of the Dow Jones Industrial Index as at close of business in the USA on November 15th 2007 (courtesy bigcharts.com )
This looks suspiciously like an OBV sell signal to me. The primary argument of the protagonists of On-Balance-Volume (invented by Joseph Granville) is that ‘volume precedes price'. Therefore, an OBV sell signal should precede a decline in stock prices and we should expect a sell signal in price.
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Thursday, November 15, 2007
Will the Fed Continue to Inflate the Stock Market By Printing Money? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Greg_Silberman
The 100 Dollar Bill drop - In spite of money drops and liquidity injections we continue to see a volatile scary stock market. Will the Fed ultimately lose control and the stock market deflate or will the money presses continue to levitate the stocks at the expense of the Dollar?
The market got its ¼ point rate cut on Wednesday the 31 st of October and has been slaughtered ever since. Gee, thanks a lot Mr Bernanke!
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Tuesday, November 13, 2007
Peak Oil $100 to Deflate Global Stock Markets Speculative Bubble / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Gary_Dorsch
For the vast majority of Americans who usually don't follow trends in the crude oil futures market, the Global “Oil Shock” only caught their attention after gasoline prices suddenly jumped 15% at the pump this month. Last week, West Texas Sweet crude oil surged to an all-time high of $98.62 /barrel, and greased the skids under the Dow Jones Industrials for a 4% plunge to the 13,000 level, zapping the value of investors' 401k accounts. Guy Caruso, the head of the US Energy Information Administration, told reporters on Nov 12th, that the average price US consumers pay for gasoline should rise by another 20-cents a gallon over the next two to three weeks, at the pump. “We haven't seen the full pass-through of high oil prices yet,” he warned.
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Tuesday, November 13, 2007
Stock Market Mania and the Trade of a Life Time / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: EWI
Susan C. Walker of Elliott Wave International writes: When you're caught in the middle of a bad storm, you don't really care whether it's a tropical depression or a full-strength hurricane. You just know you're hanging on for dear life. The same idea applies to financial markets. When a market is trending up strongly, it's hard to tell whether it's just a bull market or a more dangerous financial mania. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
NOLTE NOTES A Volatile Period As Stock Markets Nosedive in the face of Stagflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Ok, so the stock slump we have been looking for was more along the lines of a cliff dive. Worries over the dollar, oil, sub-prime write-offs and the housing markets all conspired last week to push markets down over 4% for the week. Global warming hurt the retail industry, as consumers stayed away from buying their winter garb just yet. We're still confused as to what constitutes “good” weather for shopping. The government's official stats will be released this week and should show retail sales slowed significantly from September's pace.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2007
Nasdaq Ripe for Potent Recovery Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The Q's made yet another new reaction low this morning at 49.60, prior to reversing for a rally above 50.00. The new corrective low pierced but did not sustain below key 50% Fibonacci support at 49.80, which is a constructive sign that perhaps the vicious decline has seen its worst for now. My near-term work has turned up in a strong way, suggesting too that the Q's are ripe for a potent recovery rally period that should propel prices into the 51.50-52.00 target zone.Read full article... Read full article...