Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, December 01, 2007
Stock Markets Ignoring Subprime Housing Market Crash Fire Alarm / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
- The Financial Fire Trucks Are Gathering
- A Thanksgiving Fire Drill
- The Credit Markets Get Tighter
- Pushing on a String - the LIBOR Conundrum
- GDP Funny Business
- Europe, New York, and South Africa
The markets rebounded strongly this week, bouncing off a 10% drop in the previous weeks. Is it a signal of renewed economic vigor? Or is it a dead cat bounce? This week we take a look at problems at the edge of the economy which threaten to derail not only the recent robust growth (at least in the statistics) but also the markets. And we start with a personal story which I think will help us understand the current situation. Stay with me here.
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Saturday, December 01, 2007
Is This Stock Market Rally for Real? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Michael_Pento
The U.S. stock market had its biggest two-day advance in the last five years, sending the S&P 500 up 4.4% since Tuesday. The questions investors are asking: Will this trend continue, and is now a good time to get on board for an end of the year rally?Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 01, 2007
Dow Theory Sell Signal and The Run on the Florida State Bank - Fingers of Instability, Part 13 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Ty_Andros
In This Issue – 3 Fingers of Instability
- Breaking the Buck!
- Look at the Actions, Not the Words!
- Showdown at the O.K. Corral!
Friday, November 30, 2007
Investing in Japan? – Beware of the Valuation Trap / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: David_Urban
For the past year, investors have been caught in a quandary with respect to Japanese stocks. Japan has seriously lagged Hong Kong and Chinese equities with investors being forced to make hard decisions about whether to chase performance or invest for the long term. While investors are touting Japan as cheap based on a number of indicators such as PE ratios one has to take into account significant factors which are shaping the current investment climate. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 29, 2007
US Economy in Serious Trouble Whilst Asia Booms - What it Means For Your Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
The U.S. is not only sneezing, it's struggling to breathe with a bad lung infection. Failing real estate and mortgage markets might just cause the worst recession this country has ever seen.
Meanwhile, to the south in Latin America and to the east in Asia, the world is witnessing huge economic revolutions and spectacular growth.
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Thursday, November 29, 2007
Stock Market Long-Term Bull Trend Still Intact / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
This is a very interesting and important chart right about now. Let's take a closer lookŠand what we see is that this week's action (so far) represents a key upside reversal, which, if the S&P 500 sustains above 1456.70, will indicate a significant change in market direction (UP).
The fact that the recent decline plunged towards the August low (1370.60)
but managed to hold at an equally important support coordinate along the
2003-07 support line suggests strongly to me that the longer-term dominant
uptrend remains very much intact.
Thursday, November 29, 2007
Stock Markets Santa Rally? Sell the Rally! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Call today the "running of the bulls." In my youth, I visited the running of the bulls in Pamplona , Spain . It was very messy and nerve wracking, to say the least. Not to mention those who were gored or trampled. As much as participants planned ahead, the bulls would do what they wanted, so you always had to have a backup plan. Today appears to be the last hurrah for the bulls. Any advance beyond this should be considered noise.
Move over, Santa, the Grinch is coming.
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Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Japanese Stock Market Ripe for Advance / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
A 13% appreciation of the Yen (vs US$) since June, a relief rally in oil (down) approaching quickly, and a bullish intermediate-term price pattern indicate strongly to me that "Japan Inc" and the Japan iShares ETF (AMEX: EWJ) are ripe for the emergence of a powerful advance. The enclosed daily chart of the EWJ shows the upside pivot off of last week's low at 13.18, which my work indicates inaugurated a new upleg that should propel the EWJ to the top of the 18-month pattern above 14.70. Only a plunge that takes out 13.18 wrecks my current outlook.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Stock Market Discounting a Weak US Economy During 2008 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Roger_Conrad
December is almost always a great month to be holding utility stocks. Big institutions typically use the time to re-jigger their portfolios to safer fare, and those who've won big during the year will often move to safe havens to better lock in their gains.
The only really bad Decembers for utes have come in the wake of a crisis of fundamentals. One such time was in 1993, as fear and panic began to spread about prospective deregulation. December 2001 was another lousy month, as fallout from the ENRON bankruptcy gripped the industry. And though the worst of the dreadful utility bear market was over by then, December 2002 was no picnic either.
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Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Let Chinease Yuppies - Chuppies Power Your Portfolio! / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: If your family is like mine, Thanksgiving signals the beginning of the holiday season. Of course, we also have another very important way to kick off the holiday season — we attend a performance of the Nutcracker, in which my daughter Keiko dances.
Keiko has been doing this since age four, and excuse me for sounding like a proud daddy, but she is one of the most talented dancers in our community. This year, she played the French Maid and one of the Flower Girls ... and she was fantastic!
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Tuesday, November 27, 2007
The Stock Market Crash - Market to Fed: Don’t fight the tape! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Greg_Silberman
Well seasoned traders know that for any trade to work, to work big, that trade needs to be in synch with primary trend of the market.
Now clearly the Fed is a not for profit enterprise but their well healed trading houses should have know better. For months we have witnessed an expanding money supply and for months we have seen a strong bid come into the markets at the most opportune times.
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Monday, November 26, 2007
Global Stock Markets to Crash in Unison / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
Susan C. Walker of Elliott Wave International writes: When you're caught in the middle of a bad storm, you don't really care whether it's a tropical depression or a full-strength hurricane. You just know you're hanging on for dear life. The same idea applies to financial markets. When a market is trending up strongly, it's hard to tell whether it's just a bull market or a more dangerous financial mania.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 25, 2007
Stock Markets To Decline Towards Tradeable Bottom During the Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: · The market is near a tradable low.
Short Term As of last Wednesday the Russell 2000 (R2K) was down for 6 consecutive days for the first time since July 2006 and for only the 4 th time in the last 5 years. This is an oversold condition that usually occurs near the beginning and end of bear markets.
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Sunday, November 25, 2007
Worsening Credit Crisis Leading to Meltdown of Financial System and Severe US Recession / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Mike_Whitney
Take a Look at Professor Roubini's Crystal Ball - Reality has finally caught up to the stock market. The American consumer is underwater, the banks are buried in dept, and the housing market is in terminal distress. The Dow is now below its 200-Day Moving Average -- the first big "sell" signal. Anything below 12,500 could trigger program-trading and crash the market. The increased volatility suggests that we are watching a "real time" meltdown.
International Business editor for the UK Telegraph, Ambrose Evans Pritchard, summed up yesterday's action in the Asian markets:
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Saturday, November 24, 2007
The Four Horsemen of the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Andy_Sutton
It's a tough market. It's tough being short because you fear the bounce. It is tough being long because you fear the fundamentals. So where do you go? You can't go into cash because you know it is losing value. It is downright foolish to hold bonds because the only thing worse than holding something that is losing value now is holding something that is likely to lose even more of its value later. Luckily, there is some stability out there, at least from a common sense perspective. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Retail Sector Stocks - Will Black Friday be Black or "in the Green" ? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
1. Its Black Friday, when retailers typically get 10% of their sales today. U.S. and Foreign markets will be closely watching what happens here today. Early this morning, Macy stores were reporting more traffic and sales than last year and they are expecting a really good day. The test for today comes around 2 PM to 3 PM when shoppers come back or drop in numbers. Watch for what happens in the markets from 3 PM to 4 PM today.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Stock Market Bounce Coming - Sucker Rally? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Brian_Bloom
The Dow Jones Industrial Index is now badly oversold from a technical perspective, and it looks more likely that the markets will bounce up than “collapse”.
Having said this, the most important chart in the array of charts seems to be the Dow Jones Industrial Index below.
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Friday, November 23, 2007
Financial Sector Crash - Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac The New Savings and Loan Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: I don't know about you, but I ate enough turkey and trimmings to last me through Christmas. That's okay — I have plenty to be thankful for, so it's worth celebrating with a big feast once a year!
But in the marbled halls of this nation's leading banks ... and the wood-paneled boardrooms of top investment firms ... it's a whole different story. These guys don't have much of anything to celebrate.
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Friday, November 23, 2007
Investing In Asia - Buy the Technology, Not the Trend / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Yiannis_G_Mostrous
Yiannis G. Mostrous and GS Early write: There are two big concepts on growth investors' minds today: Asia and green tech. And for good reason; they both reinforce one another.
India and China is each turning out 600,000 engineers and scientists a year. In comparison, the US is graduating about 50,000.
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Thursday, November 22, 2007
Stock Market Seasonality – Historical Data, Trends & Market Timing / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Joseph_Dancy
We are entering what has historically been the best season to be invested in the stock market. According to Ned Davis Research if an individual invested $1,000 in the S&P 500 index from November 1 st to April 30 th every year from 1950 to 2006 – the ‘winter season' – and held cash in their account for the remainder of each year the account would be worth an astonishing $38,700 before tax considerations.
If, over the same 56 year period, an investor had invested the $1,000 in the S&P 500 index from May 1 st to October 31 st – the ‘summer season' – and held cash in their account for the remainder of each year the account would be worth $916. During that 56 year period an investor in the stock market using this seasonality strategy would have lost money.
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