Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Loss of Confidence in the US Markets As Credit Crunch Spreads from the Subprime to the Prime / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Mike_Whitney
America is finished, washed up, kaput. Foreign investors and central banks around the world have lost confidence in US markets and are headed for the exits. The dollar is sinking, the country is insolvent, and its leaders are barking mad. That's bad for business. Investors are voting with their feet. They've had enough. Capital is flowing to China and the Far East in a torrent. It's "sayonara" Manhattan and “Hello” Tiananmen Square. Want some advice? Learn Mandarin.
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Sunday, November 11, 2007
US Stock Markets Oversold But More Downside Expected / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: · The blue chip decline is accelerating which suggests we are approaching at least an intermediate term low.
Short Term
This year there have been 3 sharp declines, the first in late February – early March the second in Late July – early August and last week.
Saturday, November 10, 2007
Credit Crunch Grows From a $2bn to a Trillion Dollar Problem! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We seem to be entering a new phase of the credit crunch. The markets are finally catching on that the attempts at minimizing the losses at the banks are not working as the smoke clears and the real losses are becoming more apparent. Bill Gross, the chief investment officer at Pacific Investment Management, Inc. and the manager of the largest bond portfolio in the world recently stated that the sub-prime and alt-a problem exceeds $1 trillion and that he expects to see some $250 billion in defaults. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 10, 2007
Transports Trend Close to Calling Dow Theory Bear Market, Deterioration in the China Shanghai Index / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Marty_Chenard
Today we will look at the Transportation Index, and what happened in China last night.
A potential market problem we pointed out last Friday, was the Transportation index.
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Saturday, November 10, 2007
Credit Crunch to Credit Crisis - Financial Sector Crash Continues / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
- A Confidence Credit Crunch Credit Crisis
- How Much is That Dog in Your Net Capitalization?
- King Dollar Faces the Guillotine
- The Euro-Yen Cross
- The Consumer is Getting Tired
- New York, Philadelphia, Switzerland and Phoenix
Just when it felt like it was safe to get back in the water, a second and potentially much meaner version of this summer's credit crisis has reappeared. This week we look at why there are more mortgage write downs coming (in a self-fulfilling prophecy) in the financial sector, how an obscure new accounting rule is shedding light on a lot of risk in the world's banking system, how this is all tied to the consumer and is part of the reason for the fall in the dollar.
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Saturday, November 10, 2007
Risk of Full Blown Financial Crisis - Technicals at a Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Brian_Bloom
What we are now watching is no longer an intellectual game for the purpose of making money. It is real, and the stakes are far higher than just money.
In context of my most recent article a couple of days ago, the following two charts show just how critical the juncture is that we have reached:
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Thursday, November 08, 2007
S&P 500 Violates 1-Year Moving Average Support / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The big picture of the cash SPX shows that the index has violated its 1-year moving average at 1465 and has the form of an incomplete decline that points next into the 1430/25 target zone. Let's notice that the weekly RSI is pointed straight down and likely is a big warning signal to us that we should expect downside pressure to continue until a considerably oversold condition is established, which is another way of saying that we should look for the SPX to press below 1430/25 to test the powerful 2003-2007 trendline, now at 1390. Rallies from a near-term oversold condition should continue to be short-lived in the upcoming hours.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 08, 2007
US Dollar Bear Market That's Threatening Nearly Every Portfolio / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: Despite some hiccups, the broad indices have had a great run recently, pushed along by good data on jobs, personal spending and more. It's what you call a "Goldilocks market" — a time when the economic data isn't too hot and isn't too cold.
Gross domestic product is rising at a 3.9% clip, so investors feel things are just right, and they keep pushing stocks higher.
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Thursday, November 08, 2007
Wall Street Tumbles 360 As The Bear Awakes / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Wall Street suffered yet another big drop last week, with investors worried about the spreading fallout from the credit crisis at banks, and about a dollar that just keeps getting weaker. The Dow Jones industrial average fell more than 360 points on Wednesday, coincidently just about matching its post FOMC drop on Thursday November 1st says Betonmarket.com 's Michael WrightRead full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 07, 2007
Dow Jones Index Break of 13,000 Would Signal Bear Market and Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Brian_Bloom
Assuming reversion to the mean, and assuming historical earnings and dividends are maintained, the $SPX could pull back to 912 (40%) and the Dow Jones Industrials could pull back to 10018 (25%). Strictly speaking, this assumes three things:
- The mood on Wall Street turns Primarily Bearish – thereby pointing to a reassessment based on fundamentals
- Earnings remain constant
- There is a reversion to the historical mean
Wednesday, November 07, 2007
Wall Street Conventional Wisdom and Stock Market Corrections / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Steve_Selengut
During every correction, I encourage investors to avoid the destructive inertia that results from trying to determine: how low can we go; how long will this last? Investors who add to their portfolios during downturns invariably experience higher Market Values during the next advance. For just as surely as there is a Santa Claus for every five year old, there is another "value stock" rally for every fingernail biting fifty-five year old. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 07, 2007
Potential Top Formation in S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Notice the potentially massive top pattern that has formed on the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY), which is in stark contrast to the still viable uptrend pattern evidenced by the Nasdaq 100 Trust Shares (NASDAQ: QQQQ).Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 06, 2007
How to Beat the Market by Playing the Federal Reserver US Interest Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Hans_Wagner
On October 31, 2007 the Federal Reserve lowered the Fed Funds and Discount rates by 0.25%. This is the second Fed Funds Rate reduction and the third for the Discount rate. In their announcement the Fed hinted that investors should not expect another rate move at their next meeting on December 11, 2007. In the hours after the announcement the market jumped up. The next day it fell on bad news from Citigroup regarding sub-prime mortgage loan write offs. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 06, 2007
How to Play Canada's Economic and Resources Boom / Stock-Markets / Canadian Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: My trip to Canada was fantastic! Sure, I took a wrong turn and temporarily found myself in British Columbia, but I came back from Alberta with a whole new view of Canada.
I knew Canada was very similar to the U.S. in some respects such as its market-oriented economic system and its living standards. But what became increasingly clear from my travels is that the country has transformed from a rural economy into one that is primarily industrial and urban.
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Tuesday, November 06, 2007
NOLTE NOTES - Investment Models Continue to Point to Emerging Markets and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Be careful what you wish for – you just might get it. Such is the dilemma of the markets this weekend. The Fed did as expected by cutting rates by a quarter percent, the markets rallied off the news and then thought better of the idea and declined by the third largest amount this year the very next day and only a late session rally on Friday avoided a complete weekly rout. A few nagging issues continue to dog the markets, from the subprime issue (costing the Merrill chief his job and likely the Citigroup CEO) to persistently higher oil prices – soon to touch $100/bbl.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 06, 2007
How to Survive The Declining US Dollar: Free Report from Weiss Capital Management ... / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
With the U.S. Dollar Index now trading well below its previous low of all time … with its value now risking a virtual free-fall … and with the Fed's latest rate cut adding even more impetus to its decline … virtually every market in the world is being impacted: Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 06, 2007
Stock Market Subprime Mayhem and Bush's Moral Swamp / Stock-Markets / Subprime Mortgage Risks
By: Mike_Whitney
Last Wednesday, the Federal Reserve dropped its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.5% citing ongoing weakness in the housing sector. As expected, the stock market rallied and the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 137 points. Unfortunately, Bernanke's “low interest” stardust wasn't enough to buoy the markets through the rest of the week. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 05, 2007
Hyper-inflation Means Gold Is A Win – Win Proposition / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Captain_Hook
Needles to say, Friday was not a good day for stock market bulls. Media types are attributing the fall in stocks to the market finally waking up to the fact the credit crunch is worse than previously thought , and in a sense they are correct. In being more specific about the context of why stocks are actually falling however, from a technical / market internals perspective, with the supportive influence of stock indices puts to support prices having expired Friday, prices fell to better reflect dire circumstances in the economy is a better explanation of what is actually happening. But you will not hear media talking about the options related scam Wall Street is perpetuating on the investing public. This would be bad for business. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 05, 2007
The Week Ahead in the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: David_Urban
The US markets remind me specifically of the point in time where Internet stocks were beginning their runs yet not included within the major indices. There was a divergence between the returns made within the S&P 500 and DJIA and those made by groups outside the index. When they were added we entered the final blowoff phase. Expect the same with mining stocks.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 04, 2007
Major Stock Market Uptrends to Resume - China Shanghai Index Primed For a Crash / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My last analysis of the US Stock market of 7th October 2007 suggested a corrective downtrend of the uptrend from the August lows was about to begin and to last to around the 22nd of October, which was to be followed by a resumption of the uptrend towards new highs this year. However last weeks price action has changed the price pattern to imply a possible ABC correction into a lower low during November, which this analysis now evaluates the probability of. Read full article... Read full article...