Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, November 15, 2018
Defensive Stock Sectors Outperforming, Just Like During the Dot-com Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
We’re seeing something very interesting right now. Most of our long term market studies are still bullish, but several are turning bearish. This is typically what happens in the last year of a bull market, when the market slowly starts to roll over into a bear market. (Remember that “slowly rolling over” includes plenty of up and down volatility).
Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day, week, or month.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 14, 2018
US Stocks: Whither from Here? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger muses on the forces at play on the markets and precious metals, and also mentions uranium. Back in the 1960s, from time to time, many of my elementary school classmates would have great difficulty paying attention to the teacher. It would usually take the form of doodling with a pencil, drawing prepubescent renditions of monsters or hot rods or animals. The polite term for such distraction was the "inability to stay on task." The remedy for failing to show the appropriate focus on the teacher was either a) a scolding, b) ridicule (sometimes the worst if a particularly cute girl was present), or c) a sharp crack on the knuckles with a yardstick, because in the 1960s, classrooms commanded order where corporal punishment was not only accepted, it was promoted.
Tuesday, November 13, 2018
Watch This Stock Market Indicator to Get Tipped Off to Approaching Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
You're hearing a lot of explanations as to what's going on with the stock market. Here's an explanation you won't find in the mainstream – and it's one of the most useful of all.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 13, 2018
S&P 500 Below 2,800 Again, New Downtrend or Just Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Friday's trading session was bearish, as investors were taking profits off the table following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index got back below the level of 2,800. Is this a downward reversal or just some quick downward correction within a new uptrend?
The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.7-1.7% on Friday, as investors took short-term profits off the table following the recent rally. The S&P 500 index got back below the level of 2,800. The index was 11.5% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91 on Monday two weeks ago. And now it trades 5.5% below the all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.8% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 1.7% on Friday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 13, 2018
Stock Market Counter-trend Rally Reaches .618 Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Bear market
Intermediate trend – Bear market rally
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Tuesday, November 13, 2018
Why the Stock Market Will Pullback, Rally, and Roll Into a Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 has made a 61.8% retracement and is now stalling. This is completely normal. Most 10%+ corrections have a 61.8% retracement and then a pullback or retest of the lows before heading higher.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2018
Stock Markets Around the World are Crashing. What Not to Worry About? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Financial media’s favorite headline is “here’s why you should be worried”. Blind “worrying” and “concern” is good for their business because it drives pageviews and ad $$$.
Certain markets around the world remain in a downtrend right now, namely emerging markets and oil.
Instead of “worrying”, let’s look at the facts.
Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day, week, or month.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2018
Big US Stocks Q3 Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The widely-held mega-cap stocks that dominate the US markets are just wrapping up another blockbuster earnings season. Sales and profits soared largely due to Republicans’ massive corporate tax cuts. Still these lofty stock markets are vulnerable to serious downside, as October’s brutal plunge proved. Such extreme revenue and earnings growth cannot persist, and valuations remain in dangerous bubble territory.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Required by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, these 10-Qs contain the best fundamental data available to investors and speculators. They dispel all the sentimental distortions inevitably surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing the underlying hard fundamental realities.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2018
3 Triggers That Could Push This Sell-Off into a Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: John_Mauldin
There’s very real possibility the global economy breaks down in the next six months.Anything could trigger a crisis, and it could well be something no one now foresees. But here are my three candidates.
Corporate Credit Crisis
US companies are way more leveraged now than they were ahead of the 2008 crisis.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 11, 2018
Why the Stock Market Will Pullback Before Heading Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 has reached its 61.8% retracement and is now facing short term resistance (as expected).
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 10, 2018
Stocks Breaking Higher, but Resistance Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Wednesday's trading session was very bullish, as stocks accelerated their short-term uptrend following the U.S. Elections outcome. The S&P 500 index got back above the level of 2,800. The market is at its mid-October local high. So, will it continue higher or reverse downwards here?
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 2.1-2.6% on Wednesday, breaking above the short-term consolidation, as investors' sentiment improved following the U.S. Elections. The S&P 500 index was 11.5% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91 on last week's Monday. And now it trades just 4.3% below the all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.1% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 2.6% yesterday.
The nearest important level of resistance of the S&P 500 index is now at around 2,815-2,820, marked by mid-October local high of 2,816.94. The next resistance level is at 2,860-2,865, marked by the previous local lows. On the other hand, the support level is now at 2,780-2,800, marked by the recent resistance level. The support level is also at 2,755-2,775, marked by yesterday's daily gap up of 2,756.82-2,774.13.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 10, 2018
Stock Market Was Supposed to “Crash Like 1987” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
It seems like just yesterday when everybody on CNBC was saying “here’s why the stock market could crash like 1987”.
With that being said, the S&P has made a perfect 61.8% retracement of its current correction. We predicted over the past 2 weeks:
Read full article... Read full article...Even if this is the start of a bear market, the S&P will bounce and retrace 50-61.8% of its decline. Bear markets don’t go down in a straight line.
Friday, November 09, 2018
SPX : The Incredibull Stock Market Plays On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Rambus_Chartology
Today I would like to update some of the charts we’ve been following for some of the SPX that had a wild October to say the least. For whatever reasons October has a lot of volatility which can lead to some important lows and in a few cases a crash which is rare. This past October shaped up similar to many of the previous Octobers we’ve seen since the bull market began in 2009.
This weekly chart for the SPX shows all the Octobers since the bull market began in 2009. For the most part if you took a position in October you were generally ahead of the game the following October with a few exceptions. This past October again marked a good spot to take a position in the SPX for a possible intermediate term move.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 09, 2018
US Stocks Roar To Life After Midterm Elections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team is writing this message to alert all investors and traders of a pending rotation in the US stock market that may happen between now and November 15. The upside price breakout that is occurring on November 7, the day after the US mid-term elections, is an incredible display of global investor sentiment regarding the GOP success in the Senate and the continued business-friendly expectations originating out of Washington DC. The move, today, shows how clearly a global capital market shift is still engaged in the US markets and how much global investors are counting on the US to drive ROI and economic growth going forward.
Yet, we feel it is important to urge investors that our modeling systems are still suggesting an ultimate price bottom should be setting up near November 8~15 and that we could still see a bit of downward price rotation over the next few days before this ultimate price bottom completes. It might be too easy to get caught up in this move, today, and fail to properly understand the price rotation risks that are still active in the time/price horizon.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 09, 2018
Are We Entering a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: John_Mauldin
I’ve gotten a lot of questions lately about whether I think we are entering into a bear market. The honest answer is I don’t know.
First, looking back in history, there are two types of bear markets:
- those that happen in a recession,
- and those that don’t.
Bear markets that happen in a recession are often deeper and the recovery is much longer. Those that happen simply because the market had gone “too far, too fast” tend to be “V”-shaped recoveries. Think 1987 or 1998.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 09, 2018
The Risk of Stock Market “Buy-and-Hold” Nobody Is Talking About / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: John_Mauldin
Investment advisers say we are “investing for the long run” and diversify among low-fee funds in various asset classes and indexes.Then they trot out studies showing investors will average 8% or whatever in the long run. And those are true statements.
The problem is that most investors don’t have the 40 or 50 years those studies cover. And they have to experience the bear markets along with the bull markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 08, 2018
Is the Stock Market’s Rally “All Good To Go”? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 is just under its 200 dma.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 07, 2018
Stocks Made a Post-crash Bounce. What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 has made a correction and its bounce stalled at the 38.2% retracement.
Here’s our long term, medium term, and short term outlook for the U.S. stock market. As U.S. stock market investors and traders, our job is to separate the signal from the noise.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 07, 2018
Following The Stock Market "Heard" Can Get You Into Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
So, I heard that good news is now bad news and bad news is now good news in the market. Or was that bad news is bad news and good news is bad news? Or, was that bad news is bad news and good news is good news? To be honest, I just can’t keep up with all the convoluted ways people try to explain how to view the market based upon news. And, it changes all the time.
Last week, I heard the dollar rally was causing the market to tank. Well, by Wednesday this past week we had rallied 130 points off the lows in the S&P 500, and the dollar continued to rise along with us at the time. This is another Foghorn Leghorn market moment for analysts:
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 07, 2018
Stock Market Counter-trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Bear market
Intermediate trend – Bear market rally
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.