Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, November 06, 2018
Stock Market Calm Before The Storm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
With very strong US jobs data hitting the news wires this morning and an incredible upside price swing overnight because of expectations and hope of a US/China trade deal in the works, we were not surprised by the downside rotation in the US stock market this morning. As we’ve been warning for the past 3+ months, we expect the US stock markets to trade very narrowly headed into the US mid-term elections and begin a breakout upside price move sometime between November 8 and November 12.
Tuesday, November 06, 2018
Stock Market’s Short term Outlook is Slightly Bearish, But Medium term is Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The U.S. stock market’s daily volatility is high, with large intraday swings. Here’s the S&P 500.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 06, 2018
Financial Markets Are Making Faulty Assumptions about Growth & Resources / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Dr. Chris Martenson of PeakProsperity.com, and author of the book Prosper! How to Prepare for the Future and Create a World Worth Inheriting. Chris is a commentator on a range of important topics such as global economics, financial markets, governmental policy, precious metals and the importance of preparedness among other things. And it's always great to have him with us.
Chris, it's been too long, but welcome back and thanks for joining us again.
Chris Martenson: Hey Mike. Thank you so much. It's great to be back with you.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 05, 2018
A Year of Inflated Market Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Harry_Dent
So far, the 21st Century has seen one B.S. bubble after another.Even worse, these bubbles have inflated beyond any recognizable or manageable form. They’ve morphed into monsters, seemingly with minds and wills of their own.
There are, at the least, two forces at play here: central banks (the crack dealers)… and cycles. Let’s continue our discussion of the most important cycle that will impact us next year, particularly in the last half…
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 05, 2018
Stock Market Sharp Corrections and Bounces are Usually Followed by Retests / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
After a rapid drop last month, the U.S. stock market has bounced over the past 3 days. The S&P’s most likely target for this bounce is its 200 day moving average.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 03, 2018
Should You Sell Your Stocks Before Tuesday’s Big Elections? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Stephen_McBride
Are you prepared for Tuesday?
It’s going to be a crucial day for the stock market.
As you likely know from the lawn signs dotting American neighborhoods, midterm elections take place this Tuesday.
If the polls are correct, President Trump and Republicans are in big trouble…
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 02, 2018
The Stock Market’s Road Higher is Going to be Really Choppy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The U.S. stock market rallied today but faced resistance at its 38.2% retracement (38.2% retracement is the minimum requirement for a bounce).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 02, 2018
Stock Market Barometers, Thermometers, and Recency Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses recent moves in the stock market. As the month of October fades away and is replaced by the month of November, which represents the start of the "best six months of the year" for stocks, traders are all sharpening pencils, firing up slide rules and priming keyboards in anticipation of making some very bold calls on the pending "bottom" for the current market bloodbath. This weekend alone, the blogs and email inboxes are stuffed with glowing predictions of an imminent upturn and the number one reason for this is apparently the "incredible strength of the U.S. economy."
Friday, November 02, 2018
EWY South Korea ETF, Proxy for Global Tech, Probing Key Support / Stock-Markets / South Korea
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Many Street analysts consider the iShares South Korea ETF (EWY) as a proxy for the health of global technology, the semiconductor sector, the chip sector, and perhaps the retail electronics sector as well.
One look at my weekly chart of EWY shows that it has been in the grasp of a major correction or possibly even bear phase since its January all-time high at 79.07 into Tuesday's low at 56.34, a near 30% decline. This decline has retraced two-thirds of of the entire prior advance from the August 2015 low at 42.94 to the January 2018 high at 79.07. One could think that the ugly EWY performance reflected deteriorating relations with North Korea, but, ironically, relations have not been so promising since 1950!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 02, 2018
Sentiment Extremely Bearish, Setting Up the Stock market For a Nice Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
For the first day in 2 weeks, the U.S. stock market did not selloff in the final hour of trading yesterday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 02, 2018
Stock Investors Are Getting Stressed, And It Can Get Much Worse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
I am starting to see evidence of serious stress from investors based upon the tone of the some of the comments I am seeing in my articles on the market. Well, at least from those who did not heed my warnings.
In fact, even though I warned about this type of drop well before it happened, some investors were taking their anger out on me even though the market did exactly what I warned it would do. This suggests a high amount of stress being felt by many investors after only a 10% drop off the highs. Can you imagine what it will be like if we attained the full 20-30% correction that we see as a strong potential?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 01, 2018
The U.S. Stock Market is Very Volatile Right Now. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The U.S. stock market has been very volatile recently, swinging up and down more than 1% each day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 31, 2018
R.I.P. Fed-Fueled Stocks Bull Market (2009-2018)? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: MoneyMetals
The Nasdaq composite enters this week’s trading down over 10% in the month of October. For what it’s worth, market technicians consider a 10% pullback an official “correction.”
So far it’s just that – a correction. It may therefore be a bit premature to carve the stock market’s tombstone.
But investors should be prepared for further downside in share prices… and a possible longer-term (and long overdue) bear market after several years of relentless Fed-fueled price appreciation.
Wednesday, October 31, 2018
US Elections May Trigger Major Stock Market Bottom – PART II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The clock is ticking on our expected bottom formation and now is the time for skilled traders to begin to position their trades for the remainder of 2018 and early 2019. We detailed why we believe the US equities markets have already, or are currently, hammering out a price bottom after the last few weeks downside price activity. In part one of this article, we illustrated how the US elections cycles are really more of a global geopolitical event and often drive price rotation in the months prior to these elections. Please take a minute to read Part 1 of this two-part research post if you have not already done so.
In this second part of our US election research post, we are going to continue to review topics that were previously discussed as well as highlight how certain market segments appear to be setting up for a massive price reversal. So, let’s get started.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 31, 2018
Why the Stock Market Crash is Just Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Michael_Pento
Wall Street’s playbook stipulates that every down tick in the market is just another buying opportunity. While that is most often true, peak margins, a slowing global economy and the bond bubble collapse makes this time more like 2008 than just a routine selloff.
In the vanguard of this coming market crash is China, whose make-pretend growthrate slid to 6.5% in the third quarter. This is the slowest pace of growth thatthe communist government has been willing to own up tosince the last global financial crisis.Leaving one to conclude that the reality in China is farworse.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 30, 2018
US Elections May Trigger Major Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Almost like clockwork, our research team, at Technical Traders Ltd., predicted on September 17) the US stock market would turn lower and attempt a 5~8% downside move on or after September 21 headed into the US mid-term elections. Our analysis of the potential downside move was related to our price modeling systems expectations that a common predicted downside target existed between -5% and -8%. Our researchers did not believe the markets would fall much below -10% before hammering out a price bottom and finding support.
Monday, October 29, 2018
Stock Market Approaching Intermediate Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Bear market
Intermediatetrend– Approaching initial low (1585-1600).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Sunday, October 28, 2018
The Stock Market’s Volatility is Very High. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
What a week for the U.S. stock market. Conventional technical analysis would have you believe that “the world is ending” because trendline support has been broken.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 28, 2018
Kitchin Cycle Warned of Stok Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: readtheticker
Here are some names of cycle masters: Kondratieff, Dewey, Kitchin, to name just a few. Cycles are in all matters of life, including the SP500.
From Wiki
.."Joseph Kitchin (1861–1932) was a British businessman and statistician. Analyzing American and English interest rates and other data, Kitchin found evidence for a short business cycle of about 40 months.[1] His publications led to other business cycle theories by later economists such as Nikolai Kondratieff, Simon Kuznets, and Joseph Schumpeter"..
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 27, 2018
Stock Investor Batten Down The Hatches, Mates! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Get ready for some crazy price trends in the US markets as investors react to earnings, housing data and overall re-evaluations of future objectives. As we warned on September 17 with this post and on October 1 with this post, we believed the future Q3 earnings weeks and the 2~4 weeks leading into the US Mid-term elections could be very volatile. We even suggested a 5~8% price correction was expected to start after September 21~24.
What we did not expect is the Federal Reserve to raise rates, again, on September 26 – just days before the Q3 Earnings season actually started. Our price models for the Fed Funds Rates have suggested that any move above 2% FFR would put pricing pressures on homes and other assets. This research we completed was first published in 2015 here. This was the first time we illustrated our Fed Funds Rate Adaptive Learning modeling systems results. The chart within this article that shows that our model expected the US Fed to begin increasing interest rates in 2014~2015 to levels near 0.75~1.25. From that point, a gradual increase towards 2.0 was expected prior to 2018~19. Our price modeling system then expected a decrease in the FFR from 2.0% to between 1.5~1.75%.
Read full article... Read full article...