Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, December 17, 2012
Stock Market Inflection Point Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
After the FED increased QE 3 from $40 bln/month to $85 bln/month on wednesday the SPX made a new uptrend high at 1439. After that the market pulled back for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were -0.35%. Foreign markets performed better, with Asian markets gaining 1.8%, European markets gaining 1.1%, and the DJ World index rising 0.6%. Economic reports for the week again displayed positive reports outpacing negative reports. On the uptick: business/wholesale inventories, retail sales, industrial production, capacity utilization, the monetary base, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the budget/trade deficits worsened, export/import prices declined, and the CPI/PPI declined as well. Next week we get reports on Housing, PCE prices, and Q3 GDP, all during Options expiration week. Best to your holidays!
Sunday, December 16, 2012
Bernanke's Great Strategy, Need More Money? Print it! / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has spoken, and to no one’s surprise, the printing of money in America will continue and intensify under the soon-to-be newly launched “Quantitative 4” program, or “QE4.” So now we have had several Federal Reserve programs to keep the flow of money going, and now it looks like there will be more money printing.
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Sunday, December 16, 2012
What Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Plan Means for Your Investments 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes: The Federal Reserve concluded its latest meeting on Wednesday by enacting additional monetary policy measures and a historic change in the way the central bank communicates its intentions.
With “Operation Twist” ending this December, the Federal Reserve decided to continue its monetary policy program of purchasing $45.0 billion of long-term treasuries each month. This is in addition to the ongoing monetary policy program of purchasing $40.0 billion of mortgage-backed bonds per month. (Source: Press release, Federal Reserve web site, last accessed December 12, 2012.)
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Saturday, December 15, 2012
The Unlimited Debt Solution, Central Banker Santa Claus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Doug_Wakefield
“Yes Virginia, there is a Central Banker Santa Claus”
Draghi Gets ECB Backing For Unlimited Bond Buying, Reuters, Sept 6, 2012
Fed Announces Unlimited QE3: The Central Bank Could Pump Money Into the Economy Until the Job Market Improves, US News & World Report, Sept 13 ‘12
Japanese Election: The Promise of ‘Unlimited Easing’, Sparks More Yen Weakness, Money Morning, Nov 21, 2012
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Saturday, December 15, 2012
Stock Market Waiting....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Aren't we all! It's so disappointing to look at the market and wonder who will say what in order to move the market one way or the other. We all find it hard enough playing the market when things are normal. We don't need to be victims of news based on one specific topic, the fiscal cliff. One word positive or negative causes huge moves, and with no way to know who will say what and when. Anything you do carries a ridiculous amount of risk. One minute they say they're going to talk, the next minute they say they've made no progress. Up and down, down and up. Makes you sick. No way to get aggressive either way. Short too much and you get smoked. Go long too much and you get smoked.
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Saturday, December 15, 2012
Understanding Fractal Waves and Time Warp, MAP Analysis Part 6 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Marc_Horn
The use of pitchforks as cycle, or wave forks, predicatively on a small scale was proving difficult.
Having watched wave development now for a couple of years it appeared that depending on where a wave fell on the next bigger scale it behaved differently and so I wanted to filter out the noise and went back to the biggest scale in the hope of finding better fork combinations and better understanding wave characteristics.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
This is Not a Picture of a Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: EWI
What a comeback for the Dow Industrials!
From a March 9, 2009, close of 6,547, the senior index climbed to 13,610 on Oct. 5, 2012.
Moreover, the Dow achieved this feat in the face of a weak-kneed economy, and it has grinded forward now for three and a half years.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Stock Market Over the Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
(ZeroHedge) If yesterday's better than expected initial claims numbers were bad for the market (as they implied the approach of the Fed's QEnd), today's CPI should dissolve some fears of an imminent, and very unrealistic, end to easing. Because as the Fed explained, employment is only one component of the QEnd calculus, inflation is another. And with November CPI dropping 0.3% sequentially (up 1.8% Y/Y), on expectations of a -0.2% M/M, and +1.9 Y/Y, also the biggest sequential decline since 2008, there is not much to worry about on the inflation front... as long as one doesn't count other inflation "expressions" such as modern art, insurance costs, student tuition, or even the S&P and other credit funded items into account. Core CPI also missed the expected rise of 0.2%, growing at 0.1%.
Friday, December 14, 2012
Fiscal Follies – Stock Markets Live and Die by the Rumor / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
What craziness!
As you can see from Dave Fry's intra-day SPY chart, it takes only minutes to reverse half a day's drop on just the word that Boehner is heading to the White House to meet with Obama – as if that's likely to accomplish anything…
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Stock Market First a Stair-step, Next a Stumble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX is stair-stepping through its trendline support and closed at its 50-day support. The bounce fell short of a 38.2% retracement and appears to be over. In fact, the after-hours futures continued to fall beneath the 50-day moving average. There is a high risk of an overnight fall beneath the remaining supports to the Cycle Bottom at 1383.39 and 200-day moving average at 1387.00. Should that event take place, we could wake up Monday to a waterfall decline.
Thursday, December 13, 2012
Important Factor In Determining Stock Trends and Election Outcomes / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology
By: EWI
In the wake of the Presidential election, the Social Science Research Network (SSRN) reports that the study, "Social Mood, Market Performance and U.S. Presidential Elections" has earned the #3 spot among the most-downloaded papers in the past 12 months.
Thursday, December 13, 2012
Stock Market SPX, U.S. Dollar, Natural Trading Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Yesterday’s price action was very bearish yet again and we are patiently waiting for a counter trend pullback to happen. While three are some good looking plays out there I really do not want to get long until the market clears the air with a bout or three of strong selling. Remember 3:4 stocks follow the market and the odds of picking a commodity or ETF that bucks the trend is unlikely. If you are interested in powerful stocks & ETFs the buck the trend check out my FREE Trading Ideas live Go Here: https://stockcharts.com/public/1992897
Thursday, December 13, 2012
Stock Market Santa Tries to “Sleigh” the Fiscal Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics writes: Santa Claus is trying his hardest to keep spirits bright among stock investors. But the President and the House are not playing nice and just might find a lump of coal in their stockings. Neither appears willing to give an inch, so some observers predict that we will indeed go over the fiscal cliff, at least until mid-January. Then, with across-the-board tax increases and spending cuts in place, the politicians can be seen as having restored tax cuts for most of us rather than seen as making the marginal rates on some of us go up.
Thursday, December 13, 2012
Sell Short, Stock Market Breaking Down! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX is breaking down,, to the point of violating its month-old bullish trendline. This is the spot where we should be 100% short. Tomorrow may not provide an entry, so take care to have at least a partial short position here.
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Wednesday, December 12, 2012
US Fiscal Cliff Talks Going Nowhere to be Followed by Market Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
Ever since the EU Crisis began in earnest in January 2010, EU leaders have maintained the following strategy:
1) Engage in endless meetings/ discussions, none of which resolve anything.
2) Announce that the situation is resolved.
3) Wait for the world to realize nothing has been fixed.
4) Repeat.
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Wednesday, December 12, 2012
December Stock Market Brief, Avalanche of European Debt 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Christopher_Quigley
A market giving mixed signals:
The stock market had been basically playing a waiting game since the American presidential election with a tug of war going on between buyers and sellers but now the momentum is definitely moving with the bulls. By all accounts this rally should remain, notwithstanding any shock from Congress and the fiscal negotiators from the Whitehouse. The sooner these budget issues are put to bed the better. Either way, fiscal cliff or no fiscal cliff, the end result will be the same. There has to be some budget cuts and some raising of taxes (the ratings of the American dollar demand it) so I really do wish they would get on with the job of work at hand and cool the dramatics.
Wednesday, December 12, 2012
Stock Market Strong Performance Despite the Congressional Dithering / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. The markets certainly didn’t share the dismal outlook of this morning’s NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, which posted the 10th worst level in its history. The S&P 500 surged at the open and hit its intraday high, up 1.11%, in the late morning. The index showed resilience through the early afternoon until Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid expressed his view that “it’s going to be extremely difficult to get it [an agreed budget plan] done before Christmas.” The index rolled over for about 30 minutes but the regained its poise and closed the day with a 0.65% gain. Today’s intraday high was back in the neighberhood of the November election day intraday high.
Tuesday, December 11, 2012
Credit Kills the Stocks Bear for December / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Clif_Droke
Stocks remained buoyant this week as the market believes the Fed will remain accommodative in view of the latest drop in U.S. unemployment numbers. It’s widely expected the Federal Reserve will maintain its easy money policy when it meets on Wednesday.The number of stocks making new 52-week lows has remained under 40 for the last two weeks now and the major indices are all above their rising 15-day moving averages. That shows that the market has stabilized enough to allow rising short-term internal momentum to begin to have a lifting effect on the market.
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Tuesday, December 11, 2012
Stock Market Ready For a "Take Down" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It took this morning’s ramp to 1431.62 to confirm this EW pattern. As of now, it is (nearly) finished, with a 67% retracement of Primary Wave [1]. Wave (A) consumed 64 hours. Wave (B) consumed 17 hours and Wave (C) consumed 26 hours, giving us a near-perfect fractal model for a corrective pattern.
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Tuesday, December 11, 2012
Stock Market No Drive Higher....Nor Lower....Not Yet Anyway... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The market just can't seem to get moving higher with any force. The reason is because fewer and fewer stocks are leading the way up. Many more are just sitting in long-term bases or breaking down some. It's not bad everywhere. Some sectors are trying to break out, such as the transports, although they've yet to do so. Every time it seems the market is ready for something really good, it just can't get the juice behind it. No shock as, let's face it, folks, the uncertainty of the fiscal cliff remains with us on a daily basis with the deadline getting closer and closer. The end of the year will be here before you know it, and for now the boys on opposite sides aren't trying real hard to get things done as their egos are still getting in the way.
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