Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, November 26, 2012

Shadow Banking: The Next Financial Crisis Landmine / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The Federal Reserve Board originally led us to believe that it was necessary to expand money supply through quantitative easing to offset the contraction of bank credit. Bank credit is no longer contracting, and indeed was already expanding when QE3 was introduced. This objective is now being satisfied as illustrated in the chart below:

Monday, November 26, 2012

Stock Market Cup Pattern Similarities to the 1987 Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Dear Friends,

I have been struck with the similarities between today and the period in 1987 leading up to the crash. The oversized rally into the Friday high evoked even more correlations. We had a Cup with Handle formation in the SPX going into October, 1987. As of Friday, I believe that the current SPX also has a Cup with Handle formation.

Monday, November 26, 2012

World Stock Markets Best Week of 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Doug Short. writes: All eight of the indexes on our world market watch list closed the week with a gain. In fact, the average gain o the eight at 3.41% is the biggest weekly increase of 2012. The three EU indexes were the top performers, with France’s CAC 40 and Germany’s DAXK rising more than five percent (5.60% and 5.16% respectively). The next four indexes, lead by the FTSE 100, finished the week with gains in the top half of the three percent range. Even China’s last-place Shanghai was up a respectable 0.63%.

Monday, November 26, 2012

Stock Market Pullback Expected into End of November / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX has made a top at 1474. A mid-correction rally is underway.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Stocks, Dollar and Commodity Markets Trend Forecasts into February 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Toby_Connor

Well how was that for the start of a new intermediate cycle? While many analysts were calling for continued losses or even a market crash I repeatedly warned traders that an intermediate degree bottom was coming and that markets routinely rally violently out of those bottoms, often generating 5-8% gains in the first 12 to 15 days. This particular intermediate bottom has already gained 5% in just the first five days.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

U.S. Dollar tell us Stocks are Likely to Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The stock market is at a very critical pivot point which I feel will generate opportunities in December and for the first quarter of 2013.

Trading with the trend is not always an easy task. It is human nature to predict and jump to conclusions and usually it’s better to trade with the trend no matter what your emotions are telling you. The current trend is down and I stick with that until we are proven wrong.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Why the Stock Market and Gold Rallied on Bad News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: J_W_Jones

The amount of negative news that we have seen recently has been mind-blowing. Europe is going into recession, Greece and several other countries are on the verge of bankruptcy, the Middle East is a powder-keg, and the U.S. is facing a fiscal cliff. Shockingly for most retail traders, the past week has produced a very strong return for U.S. equity indexes as well as risk assets in general.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Stock Market Last Push Higher Before the Big Collapse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

With most of Wall Street on vacation, those few traders manning their desks are taking advantage of the low volume to push the market sharply higher. This, combined with a large move up by the Euro has pulled the entire risk trade up forcing the US Dollar lower.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Unfolding Stock Market Crash Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

-- VIX extended another zigzag into its Master Cycle low on Wednesday and appears ready to advance above its Head & Shoulders neckline near 20.00. The second zigzag confirms this formation as a Cup with Handle pattern with a potential target above 27.00. This, in turn, may set up an even larger Head & Shoulders pattern that could propel Wave III to as high as 48.00, its prior high in 2011. This is setting up well for a crash pattern in stocks in the next couple of weeks.

Saturday, November 24, 2012

Stock Market Forecasts For the Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Manas_Banerji

If markets have to face big sell-offs from big institutes then will not they come before? A good example of that is the end of the 2007 and beginning 2008 though then there were no big election like recent days. So if I consider that due to that vital US election market did not crash then this may not be a good time for that. If it has to come then that will come in market tops or at least in intermediate top levels. So, that means are we going to see more up moves in coming days!

Saturday, November 24, 2012

Stock Market Reasons to Be Bullish - At Least For A While! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Sy_Harding

After stumbling again in the summer months, the U.S. economy is clearly back on track - if politicians smarten up and prevent it from going over the fiscal cliff.

The recovery is also now being led by the housing industry, which is a particularly good omen. The two main driving forces of the economy have traditionally been the housing and auto industries. That makes sense since when those industries are healthy their good fortune pays forward to their suppliers and peripheral industries like furniture and appliance makers.

Saturday, November 24, 2012

Stock Market Friday – Be Thankful for Small Bounces / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Are we going to have a "V"?

We haven't had a good V bounce-pattern in a while – one where the entire drop is entirely reversed on the other side – as if it were some mistake that's correcting itself as quickly as possible. According to ThePatternSite:

Friday, November 23, 2012

Contrarian Sentiment Indicator Says Stock Markets Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Over the last decade, this idea has been "a perfect contrary indicator," my friend Jason Goepfert explained on Monday.

Jason runs the excellent SentimenTrader website – my go-to site for all things "sentiment."

Thursday, November 22, 2012

Fellow Investors, What I’m Thankful For… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Investment_U

Marc Lichtenfeld writes: On Thanksgiving, most of us in the United States will be with friends and family, sitting around festive tables filled with way more food than we need, sharing all of the things that we’re thankful for.

Yes, I’m thankful for my family, the abundant meal, puppies, rainbows and all of the heartwarming stuff like everyone else. But this is an investment e-letter, so here’s what I’m thankful for when it comes to the financial markets…

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Stock Market at Risk of One More Leg Down in November / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: David_Banister

The SP 500 declined a perfect 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the summer rally from the 1267 lows to the 1474 highs. In our work we examine human behavioral patterns, sentiment, and Elliott Wave patterns to help with clues on market direction. To be sure, there is no such thing as a perfect technical analysis methodology, so we do our best to mix up a home cooked recipe for assistance in getting as close as we can to calling the pivots up and down.

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Stock Market S&P - A Last-Minute Win / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Doug Short writes: Pre-market data signaled a weak open, and that’s what we got. The S&P 500 saw some minor selling in the first 15 minutes but bounced back to the opening price within an hour. The index hovered directionless until Chairman Bernanke’s luncheon speech to the New York Economic Club. The index promptly plunged to its intraday low, off 0.71%, at 1:30 PM. But the 500 apparently had a mission to book a third consecutive day of gains. It marched slowly higher, struggled for a bit at the 1,386 level but remained determined. And determination paid off with a closing gain of 0.07% in the last minute of trading, literally.

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Key Market Guideposts & Investor Wealth Shelters Faux & Real into 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Now, with the “fiscal cliff” looming at year-end, at least partially as a result of last-year’s failed deficit negotiations; and with the U.S. Treasury indicating that the next increase in the U.S. debt ceiling will be needed around year-end; deficit reduction issues (taxation and spending) will be coming to a head quickly, along with questions of renewed economic stimulus.

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Stock Market Outlook 2013, Gold Relative Strength / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

In this commentary we'll survey the intermediate-term to longer-term market terrain. This is especially important since we're about to enter a new year, which the Kress cycle outlook describes as potentially dangerous from a financial market and economic perspective.

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Stock Market, RIMM and KOL Key Trends and Reversals to Watch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The equities market technically still has another day of positive momentum behind it and with a short holiday week higher prices are favored.

This morning in the video I mentioned how oil continues to look untradible because of the sharp news related swings and lack of clear chart patterns. Yesterday it rallied over 2% and today is back down 2%… Steer clear of this beast…

Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Japanese Stocks Are Up 400 Points in Three Days... More to Come? / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Are you ready to pay money... just to keep your money in the bank?

That's what the incoming leader of Japan wants...

The head of Japan's LDP party – Shinzo Abe – says he wants Japan's central bank to print money in "unlimited" sums. And he favors "zero-to-negative interest rates" in Japan.