Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, August 19, 2012
Ubiquity, Complexity Theory, and Sandpiles, How Change Happens / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: John_Mauldin
"To trace something unknown back to something known is alleviating, soothing, gratifying and gives moreover a feeling of power. Danger, disquiet, anxiety attend the unknown – the first instinct is to eliminate these distressing states. First principle: any explanation is better than none… The cause-creating drive is thus conditioned and excited by the feeling of fear …"– Friedrich Nietzsche
Sunday, August 19, 2012
Powerful Stock Market Bulls, Push Market to Near Overbought / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has shifted in the past four weeks, or so, from trying to break down to actually breaking out on the Nasdaq, and it's getting very close to doing so on the S&P 500, which is a necessary confirmation for the bigger picture. The Nasdaq, as well as the rest of the key index charts, was testing time, and again, a the 200-day exponential moving averages. Four consecutive tries in a very short period of time. Each test down looked nastier than the last one with the bears feeling assured that the breakdown was finally upon us all. We saw the bears give it up all four times, with the bulls hanging in right at the breakdown, and following through with a move up of their own. Great to see repeated failures, if you're a bull, because eventually the bears ran out of steam after so many efforts, which allowed the current move up we're experiencing now.
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Saturday, August 18, 2012
Market Manipulation, What Do Stocks Get That Credit and Bonds Don’t? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Graham_Summers
I’m sick of writing about Europe. The entire situation over there is such a complete and total disaster that you could literally write a 12-volume set about it. So let’s forget about it for a while and look at something else which is only slightly less depressing… the rest of the world.
Saturday, August 18, 2012
What The MainStream Media is Hiding from Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“…Greg Page, chief executive of global grains trading giant Cargill Inc, joined a chorus of critics of biofuels by urging the U.S. government to temporarily curb its quotas to produce corn-based ethanol fuel.
“Page said on CNBC that the U.S. biofuel mandate ‘needs to be addressed’ through existing policy tools. Otherwise, the spike in U.S. corn and soybean prices to record highs will ‘ration’ demand in ways that will hurt food production too much.
“‘If all that is only on livestock or food consumers, it really makes the burden disproportionate. What we see are 3 or 4 percent declines in supply lead to 40 to 50 percent increases in prices, and I think the mandates are what drives that,’ he said.
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Saturday, August 18, 2012
Stock Market Calm Before a Storm? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
Global stock markets have been enjoying a remarkable summer rally since June, remarkable for several reasons.
For one thing, the rally has been much more substantial than typical summer rallies, which are usually brief time-wise, and average about a 5% gain by the S&P 500.
Friday, August 17, 2012
Sentiment Measure Shows No Fear of Major U.S. Stock Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: EWI
The stock market's recent rally has seemed to ignore Europe's debt crisis and the weak U.S. economy, and in turn commentators have dusted off an old Wall Street phrase: wall of worry.
Friday, August 17, 2012
The "Fear" Trade, Gold the Only True Safehaven / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Richard_Mills
Stocks and interest rates are back to late spring – pre latest European fear levels - and the Jefferies/Thomson Reuters CRB index is at a three-month high.
Risk assets are obviously back in favor with investors - possible action by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could offer an explanation why:
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Friday, August 17, 2012
Why Bill Gross is Wrong About Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: money_morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes:
I've gotten quite a few great questions from readers lately so I thought we'd take a quick peek into the mail bag today.
As always, I love answering questions from the Money Morning family so please feel free to keep the conversation going by sending your questions to: keith@moneymorning.com
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Friday, August 17, 2012
High-Frequency Trading Has the Potential to Kill the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: money_morning
Shah Gilani writes:
It's no wonder the public is scared to invest in stocks. They believe the game is rigged.
It is, and I'm going to tell you who's behind it, what's really happening, when it started, where the sinkholes are, why they're there, how you can play in the short run, and how America can get back to investing in a successful long-term future.
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Friday, August 17, 2012
Cash Is King? Swiss Bankers' New Safe Haven: Safe Deposit Boxes Full Of Banknotes / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: DK_Matai
Swiss banks have been doing an extremely brisk yet totally discreet trade with their "New Safe Haven" solution ever since the Eurozone crisis went into full swing and new bilateral tax-treaties were inked with major countries to prevent secret bank accounts in Switzerland being used for evading taxes. Those two drivers together may have inadvertently contributed to a powerful "New Safe Haven" solution.
Friday, August 17, 2012
Will Bernanke Save the Stock Markets? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Casey_Research
Vedran Vuk, Casey Research - How far is the Fed from reaching the bottom of its ammunition box?
Well, both Mario Draghi and Ben Bernanke said no to yet more monetary stimulus last week.
Wall Street unsurprisingly was disappointed.
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Friday, August 17, 2012
Disconnected Stock Markets Confound Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: John_Browne
The current environment for investors is perhaps one of the most confusing that many have ever encountered. Unpredictable markets now appear to take no clue whatsoever from underlying economic data, and maxims long cherished by traditional money managers are being abandoned in favor of seemingly illogical choices. We are in a world in which apparently intelligent investors are willing to pay a premium for 10 year Treasury bonds that are almost certain to lose real value if held to maturity. While such an environment is enough to encourage many to cash out completely, we believe that investors should remain focused on the fundamentals, even if fewer others have the conviction to do so.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 16, 2012
What to Do When Every Market Is Manipulated, Hint: cut the strings / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Dr_Martenson
If you don't know who the sucker at the card table is, it's you. ~ old gambler's saying
What do the following have in common?
LIBOR, Bernie Madoff, MF Global, Peregrine Financial, zero-percent interest rates, the Social Security and Medicare entitlement funds, many state and municipal pension funds, mark-to-model asset values, quote stuffing and high frequency trading (HFT), and debt-based money?
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Wednesday, August 15, 2012
Stock Market Kiss of Death, Get Out the Popcorn, The Show is About to Begin / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Friends, you are looking at the game changer for the world markets. There are several reasons why.
The first is that this tolls the death knell for the bond carry trade that has sustained the banks for so long. In essence, they could borrow from the Fed at .25% and invest in notes and bonds at 1.8% (notes) to 2.8% (bonds) and profit from the “carry” or spread. Naturally, as notes yielded less and less, banks switched to bonds for the higher yield.
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Wednesday, August 15, 2012
The Hitch-Hiker's Guide to Markets, Inflation and Deflation Over the Next 8 Years / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: David_Petch
I could not go without writing a serious parody of the above original comedy series, so be prepared to enter this guide, which will hopefully offer a fraction of information in “the standard repository for all knowledge and wisdom”.
This planet has a problem – and has had this problem repeated throughout history – a problem that made most people living through it unhappy for pretty much all of the time...and this involved periods of inflation and deflation.
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Wednesday, August 15, 2012
Eurozone Crisis Escalates, Smuggled Cash, Gold & Silver Seizures Soar at Italy's Borders,Diamonds Are Forever? / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: DK_Matai
Panicked savers are smuggling cash from Italy resulting in 41 million euros being seized in random spot checks in the first seven months of 2012, which is almost 80 per cent up year-on-year. For each seizure by the border-control authorities and Guardia di Finanza -- Italian financial law enforcement -- it is likely that at least ten more cases slip under the radar of overworked and, in some cases, sympathetic police and border guards. Italian police are now deploying cash sniffing Labrador dogs that are trained to sniff out bank notes to counter the rising flight-of-capital from Eurozone's third largest economy. A number of seizures have been made at Leonardo da Vinci di Fiumicino airport in Rome and Malpensa airport in Milan where smugglers frequently attempt to get to the banking safe haven of Switzerland, which lies outside the clutches of the European Union and the Italian state.
Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Stock Market “E” Wave to Rally Market to Bull Cycle Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: David_Banister
In recent updates I have been projecting a series of ABCDE waves to take the Bull market to post March 2009 highs in the 1425-1445 ranges. The recent pullback was expected as what I was calling a “D wave” pullback, with an E wave to come. These final 5th waves or E waves can be extension waves or relatively benign, hence causing difficulty in forecasting the upper ranges.
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Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Jackson Hole: Make Or Break For The Markets 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Bob_Kirtley
Investors, speculators, traders and fund managers alike will be glued to their flat screens at the end of August, hanging onto every word that the Chairman Ben Bernanke utters. They will be looking for some positive action on behalf of the Fed in terms monetary stimulus or Quantitative Easing Part Three. Every angle, inference, real or perceived meaning, will be analyzed to the fullest extent with the view to positioning ones portfolio accordingly.
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Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Stock Market Complacency Hits 5 Year High, Calm Before the Storm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX declined within .01 of the March 16 low on an intraday basis. Tomorrow is the next Pivot Date for the VIX and it is probable that the VIX may gap up at the open. The VIX/SPX futures are in agreement. This has been quite a ride and changes the landscape for the decline in equities that has already begun.
Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Stock Market Holding Well..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is doing its Houdini act as it hides from the fundamental story out there globally. It seems to have tricks up its sleeves as it works its way around the mess that's out there no matter where you look save for a few spots on the map. Major headaches abound, yet the market, even if it tries to sell off, has a tough time doing so. It tried to today, but the bears couldn't really muster enough energy once they had the S&P 500 just below 1400. The bulls came in and kept the selling at a minimum. Some red arrows on the S&P 500 and Dow, but they were very small losses, while the Nasdaq 100 flashed green by a point.
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