Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, August 28, 2019
U.S. Stocks: See What Can Happen After Volume Contracts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: EWI
Look at these "rare streaks" of contracting volume
Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter has noted that stock market volume is the most important indicator to watch besides price.
Market volume waxes and wanes. However, there are times when volume goes on mini-streaks, either expanding or contracting for four or five consecutive days.
Yet, six consecutive days is almost unheard of. But, it just happened, ending on Aug. 22. That's only the third time that volume has contracted six days in a row since 1987.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Stock Market ES Must Hold Above 2800 Or The Selling Will Intensify / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
First off, we were so happy to hear from all of our followers over the weekend and early today regarding their support for our incredible market predictions – specifically the call about the August 19th breakdown prediction. We stuck to our guns believing in our predictive modeling systems and our research team. We knew it would be just a matter of time before the weakness our models were showing us to actualize in a real price breakdown. We want to thank all of you who wrote to us and thanked us and our team for their hard work and dedication.
Now, we’ll highlight some recent events in the ES chart (S&P500 E-Mini Futures) and how it related to the bigger picture in the markets.
Before we get into the details of the market recovery today, we want all of you to understand that is natural for the markets to move in rotational waves as price establishes new highs or lows. In fact, it is essential and healthy for the markets to do this. When the markets move in an unnatural way by trending excessively over short periods of time, it reflects an imbalance in the fundamentals of the markets or the core elements of supply/demand economics. When the bottom falls out of a market, for example, it is usually because of some type of external news item or some other type of external factor/event. The markets themselves naturally have a way of processing expectations and price value through the process of buying and selling in an open market.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Anybody's Game in Battle Over Stock Market Week/Month-End Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ricky_Wen
Much of last week was spent completing the upside continuation pattern from the previous week's 2823 must-hold support level on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), and then bears finally fought back on Friday.
Essentially, the bulls did a great job as the 2900/2920 ‘easy money’ targets were hit, but they just could not nail in the coffin of the bears with a close above 2955 when it mattered the most. The bears fought back against the 2955 must-hold resistance, holding the ES to a top of 2939.75 on Friday before breaking it down below the 2892 intraweek must-hold level to slaughter the bulls on a lovely August Friday. The bears were fairly impressive because they were able to fulfill all extension targets by the end of the day.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Trade War Escalation Put Selling Pressure to S&P 500 (SPX) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: ElliottWaveForecast
Last week, there was anticipation of market volatility as the Fed’s Chairman Jerome Powell was scheduled to speak at Jackson Hole. President Trump and China however stole the show. China introduced fresh retaliatory tariffs on $75 billion of U.S. imports, targeting politically sensitive products. President Trump immediately responded. Trump announced in twitter the existing 25% tariffs on $250 billion Chinese goods will rise to 30% on October 1. In addition, the 10% tariffs on another $300 billion Chinese Goods will rise to 15% instead on September 1.
In a series of Tweet storm, Trump also accused Powell of a bigger enemy than China’s President Xi Jinping and issued an order to American companies to get out of China.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
S&P500 heads to 3020: Big Turn for Risk Markets as US-China Steadies to a Deal / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
A lot has changed over the weekend. - G7 has been positive for risk. Trump expressed regret over his latest escalation of trade war. - China on its part said will negotiate. - No news on Iran - No bad tweets on FED
US seems to be retreating from world stage on many accounts and this will mean big changes in world markets. Initially it will be positive as it will be led by a imminent trade deal with China which could rip the equity markets higher and go to all time highs. But reality will set in later. Either ways, it makes no difference to us as our automated system is tuned for all kinds of markets.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Stock Market Setting Up A Break Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
For the last 8 years, I have been publishing my analysis publicly. Yet, I am still amazed at how the market follows the patterns we track almost perfectly, and how news seems to fit in within those patterns.
This past week, as we were expecting a market top, Mr. Powel and President Trump certainly provided the catalysts for the decline for which the market was setting up.
Now, for those of you that believe that the tariff news was the “cause” the decline, I again want to remind you that the same tariff war escalation seemed to have “caused” a 9% rally in 2018. I remember how many of you who commented to my articles during that uptrend noted how it did not make sense to you.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
4 Measures of Market Risk to Keep an Eye on / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Submissions
It wasn't a big surprise that President Trump commented earlier today that trade negotiations with China have reopened. Had he not done so, it would have led to further losses in the equities markets and potentially a significant technical break in the S&P 500.
The appetite for risk is back, the question is whether it is here to stay. Based on charts of some of the commonly traded assets in times of risk aversion, I think a case can be made that a bottom is in for risk appetite, or at least, we might be close to one.
Starting with equities, the S&P 500 has traded in a range for most of the month. Friday's decline had momentum behind it. As mentioned, the absence of Trump's comment earlier today would have likely led to a downside continuation.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Is the Stock Market Bear Growling? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – We have started a correction of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, August 26, 2019
S&P 500 Stock Market Index Must Bounce Here Or Hold On Tight! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The fragility of the markets can not be underestimated for investors at this time. Our research has continued to pick apart these price swings in the US stock markets and our July predictions regarding a market top and an August 19th (or near) breakdown price move have been SPOT ON. We’ve heard from hundreds of our members and followers regarding our research and predictive analysis work – many thanking us for our dedication to helping traders/investors. Some people, although, didn’t quite understand the message that we were trying to deliver.
So, in this message, we are going to try to make it very clear for everyone. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market forecasts newsletter
First, we believe the US and Global markets are setting up for a broad price sell-off/reversion move. This means we believe the US and Global stock markets could move lower and contract by relatively large percent levels (15% to 25% or more) in the coming months.
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Monday, August 26, 2019
Huge Stock Market Rally Monday, Gold Drops? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Brad_Gudgeon
It has been a while since I have posted. I believe after the huge stock market drop on Friday that we have even a bigger move up Monday like 4%. The mining shares GDX could fall 12%.
This is quite a prediction and a bit ball-zy I know, but my system (astro,cycle,wave,technical analysis) seems quite clear to me. It may be the G7 Meeting, it may be something else, but that is what I see.
The charts below of the SPX, GDX, GLD and SLV gives my perspective for the short term into Sept 3 for the stock market and out to 2024 for GDX, Gold and Silver.
As you can see, I believe this expected stock rally Monday will be termed a bear rally as I believe we should be near SPX 2424 by Sept 3. Yes, I’m looking for a crash. The Sun/Mars conjunction due Sept 2 and the numerous trines that weekend with all the astro-planetary dealings in Virgo dealings up until August 30 with the new moon and my current e-wave look, wow.
Monday, August 26, 2019
Stock Market Melt Down. See What Elliott Waves Are Showing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: EWI
Hi Reader,
Just yesterday -- even this morning! -- it seemed that stocks were finally out of the woods.
But as I'm typing this...
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Friday, August 23, 2019
Stock Market August Breakdown Prediction and Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our August 19th breakdown prediction aligns with our other analysis tools and predictive modeling systems. The key to understanding price action lies in two modes of operational aspects for analysts. Either the analysis is going to be correct and the markets will break down as we have predicted or the analysis will be incorrect and the markets will break higher to rally to new highs. We call this the “failure to fail” mode or the “failure to succeed” mode of compliance for price. Either it will do what we expect or it won’t.
There are a few things that we, as analysts, must take into consideration with regards to future predictions of price action and direction. First, sometimes we fail to make perfect predictions. It is not easy or 100% guaranteed that our predictions will become valid or accurate on the day we suggest price should move in a certain direction.
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Thursday, August 22, 2019
KEY WEEK FOR US MARKETS, GOLD, AND OIL - Audio Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Chris Vermeulen, Founder of The Technical Traders shares his thoughts on why this week is important for the US markets, gold, and oil. All of these are near strong support or resistance levels where if a break happens could result in an extended run. We breakdown the scenario for each market and level that are most important.
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Thursday, August 22, 2019
FREE Access EWI's Financial Market Forecasting Service / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
With the recent stock market volatility, millions of investors are wondering what's next.
And the fact that the typically wild fall season is approaching only makes it worse.
Our friends at Elliott Wave International -- who are celebrating 40 years in the business this year -- get it.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
Stocks Likely to Breakout Instead of Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Harry_Dent
The funny thing is that gold and stocks currently seem to like the same thing: more money printing.Treasury bonds keep falling in rates and we’re seeing a slowing global economy despite Trump’s tax cuts and central banks leaning towards easing. That has hurt stocks a bit, as has the recent near break-off in trade negotiations with China. Markets were fearing a currency war now that the trade war is at an impasse.
So, no surprise gold has been rallying here. But for stocks, the surprise is that they’re holding up as well as they are considering the slow growth foreshadowed by the bond markets and trade impasses.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
The Next Stock Market Breakdown And The Setup / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If you’ve been following our research long enough, you’ll remember that we often discuss Fibonacci Price Theory and how we use it to try to identify opportunities and trends in the markets. The basic premise of Fibonacci Price Theory is that price is always seeking to establish newer highs or newer lows with every rotation on the charts. The theory is rather simple to understand and learn and it helps easily identify where support, resistance, and the trend is established. Let’s take a minute to go over the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory before we continue.
This first example of Fibonacci Price Theory trend is a simple example that highlights the basic premise of the theory – price move always attempts to establish new price highs or new price lows in a trend. Therefore, in a downtrend, we would attempt to observe price in a simple structure as you see on the left side of this example – establishing new lower lows and new lower highs in a series of waves. In an uptrend, we would attempt to observe price in an opposite structure where new higher highs and new higher lows are set up. Fairly simple so far – right?
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Monday, August 19, 2019
Stock Market One Step Closer to Confirming That August Low Is In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ricky_Wen
The second week of August was pretty simple as the market followed our expectations from the previous weekend report. If you recall, the market chose to follow scenario 1 on the daily chart timeframe by backtesting into the 2858-2836 zone on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). This was the 50%-61.8% Fib retracement zone of the 2775 to 2940 V-shape recovery, creating a higher-lows setup. In addition, our must-hold level at 2823 held last Wednesday and Thursday as price stick-saved against this key level precisely and the bulls did their job in terms of the two massive feedback loop squeeze setups.
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Monday, August 19, 2019
The Stock Market Has Gone Nowhere In The Last Twelve Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
So, as the bulls pat themselves on the back for holding all the way down last year for a 20% draw down so that they can “enjoy” the rally we got in 2019, I hope they don’t hurt their arms and shoulders from all their back-patting. But, they may be in for a dose of realism when they realize that the market has now been completely flat for the last twelve months.
Allow me to show you a simple fact that should make bulls feel like they have exerted a lot of energy and worry, only to be completely flat over the last year. (And, yes, I am going to use a date from the middle of this past week for a reason). On August 14th of 2018, the SPX closed at 2839.96. And, now, one year later, on August 14th, 2019, the SPX closed at 2840.60.
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Monday, August 19, 2019
Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – We have started a correction of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 18, 2019
The State of the Financial Union / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold makes available the first two chapters of his most recent book that delve into the current state of the economy. After being bugged unmercifully by a couple of my so-called friends, I finally sat down in early January to write a tome about investing in resource stocks. It took me sixteen days to write. And another four weeks to get the cover and layout right. I had some important charts in it that couldn't be shrunk and still understood.
A couple of days ago I was reaching for a quote that I thought I remembered from the book so I picked up one of my test copies.
I read through the first two chapters and thought to myself, "Damn, this guy got it exactly right." That was before I realized I was the person who wrote it eight months ago.
One of the great advantages of getting old, other than just getting old, after all the alternative is far worse… One of the benefits of getting old is that you get to hide your own Easter eggs. That is if you can still remember when Easter is.
I never did find the quote. But I did realize that what I wrote in January could have been written twenty minutes ago and not be more timely. So I thought it would be a nice idea to share it with you. This isn't a sale pitch. If you have read the book you, too, will have already read it but have forgotten. If you haven't and think it might be worth finishing, you are just going to have to figure out how to buy it by yourself.
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