Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, July 01, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Insanity / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Paul_Lamont
As we forecast last month in our Investment Analysis Report, the regional banks have quickly brought about the next round of financial troubles. We expect a large decline in the broader stock market to be the next major issue. The Royal Bank of Scotland , Morgan Stanley , Barclays , and even the Bank of International Settlements (the central bank's central bank) have issued financial storm warnings. We referenced the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) last July in warning of the credit crunch last year . According to the Telegraph , they are now specifically warning of deflation. The BIS states:Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 01, 2008
Stocks Down, Gold and Crude Oil Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Financial markets were a sea of red numbers last week as the classic ‘Fade the Fed' trade played out. The initial reaction to Wednesday's US interest rate decision was neutral to positive, then the selling set in and hardly stopped. Thursday's mini rally did a very poor job of papering over the cracks in the global economy.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2008
Worst June for the Dow Jones Since 1930s Deflationary Depression / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: Paul_J_Nolte
With but one day left of trading to the half-way point of the year, it is becoming more clear that this will not be an ordinary year. Unless today's market rallies something fierce, this will be the worst June for the averages since the Depression. On a less ominous note, the Fed met last week and decided that inflation was more an issue for the economy than growth, however left rates unchanged and likely spurred the latest round of selling. In what could be deemed a rush to call out their brethren, brokerage firms downgraded each other citing additional capital needs in the months ahead. If that weren't enough, oil prices continued their drive higher, altering many 4th of July vacation plans (on a 3-day weekend no less).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2008
Sell, Hedge your Stock Market Investments.. or Be Prepared to Lose! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: The stock market is falling swiftly, and you don't have the luxury of time. So I'll get straight to the point:
If you haven't done so already in response to our many earlier warnings, you'd better sell or hedge your vulnerable investments now . If you don't, be prepared to suffer far deeper losses in the bear market of 2008 and beyond.
But beware: Most brokers will try to talk you out of it. They have a hidden agenda. They want to keep you as a customer; and they know that, once customers sell their stocks, they often close their brokerage accounts.
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Monday, June 30, 2008
S&P 500 Stock Market Index Potential Near-Term Double Bottom Pattern / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Earlier this AM, the SPY declined to 127.30 prior to pivoting to the upside for a rally to an intraday high so far at 128.87. Let's notice that the AM low left behind a potential near term Double Bottom type of pattern with Fri.'s low at 127.04. To trigger upside acceleration that unleashes the potential of the "mini Double Bottom," the SPYs must hurdle and sustain above129.00-- for a run at 130.00/30 thereafter. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 29, 2008
Stock Market Heading for a Successful Test of March Low / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the Market
Long-term trend - The Dow Jones Industrials are deviating from their typical decennial pattern in an election year. Important cycles going into the Fall could be the reason for this, but one also has to consider the possibility that the downward pressure from the 120-yr cycle, which is due to make its low in 2012-2014 has began to take effect and that October 2007 was the top of the bull market. This is not yet confirmed.
Sunday, June 29, 2008
Stock Markets Very Oversold Rally Expected Next Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The market is very oversold and likely to bounce.
Short Term For the 1st 3 days of last week the DJIA danced slightly above its March low. Thursday and Friday it lost nearly 4% and the NYSE recorded 492 new lows, better than the 759 new lows recorded at the March low, but still enough to make another retest likely.
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Sunday, June 29, 2008
Financial Markets Hit by Credit Market Stresses and Deteriorating Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
T.S. Eliot might have been out by a few months – it looks as though June might turn out to be the cruelest month of the year rather than April.
Renewed fears of inflation and slower growth caused by record energy costs played havoc with global stock markets last week, resulting in the Dow Jones Industrial Average being on track to record its worst June since the Great Depression. As stocks suffered, gold bullion surged and government bond yields dropped due to safe-haven buying.
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Saturday, June 28, 2008
Dow Stock Market Crash and Iran War Herald End of US Dollar Hegemony / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Alex_Wallenwein
The June 2008 Dow Crash and the coming first strike attack on Iran herald the end of dollar hegemony.
They say that pictures speak a thousand words, so let's start this with a picture: Today, the Dow crashed through its eight-year support level at 11,750. There isn't much below now to keep it from dropping all the way back down to the 7,500-range. What that will do to American investor psychology and worse, consumer confidence, and therefore spending, and therefore the economy, is only too apparent.
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Friday, June 27, 2008
Corporate Earnings Expectations Are Too High- Prepare for More Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Hans_Wagner
We are about to enter the second quarter 2008 earnings season. If you want to beat the market, it important to have a well founded perspective on earnings expectations. Understanding the importance of earnings is critical if you wish to learn to invest.
Since the U.S. is in a recession, it is normal to expect the reported earnings to reflect the slowing economy. However, a number of analysts are still forecasting a higher PE ratio. Is this realistic and a good basis to make investing decisions?
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Friday, June 27, 2008
Global Stock Markets Plunge on Soaring Crude Oil Price / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Eyes wide open - How could Wall Street brokers tell their clients that auction-rate securities were “…very safe and liquid as possible,” Yet underwriters from the same company telling issuers that demand was softening and demanded higher interest rates. At least 24 proposed class-action lawsuits have been filed against brokerages since March, and a nine-state task force is examining how the firms marketed the securities. Those burned in the meltdown see it as a case of Wall Street hiding known risks from investors, much like the dot-com scandal over former Merrill Lynch & Co. analyst Henry Blodget , who once advised buying a stock while privately calling it ``junk.'' Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 27, 2008
Stocks Bear Market- Talking Heads Speak About Buying Opportunties? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Dudley_Baker
What the heck does this mean? With the financial markets in the United States finally kicking into a full blown bear market, we know where the down is in ‘The Upside of Down'. Don't you love it when the talking heads on the financial TV channels still speak about the buying opportunities? They suggest buying the defensive stocks as they will decline less than the other sectors. What? Why would an ‘investor' want to buy something knowing it will go down, just not as much as the others? I have never understood that silly argument. The financial sector is tanking, the banks are tanking and one of ‘big three' auto companies is now selling at levels not seen since 1955.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 26, 2008
S&P 500 Stock Market Index Approaching Critical Test of March Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The relentless selling pressure that has transpired since about 3 PM ET
yesterday (Wednesday) despite some intense oversold readings and developing
momentum divergences has started to convince me that the near-term chart
work in the S&P 500, though still extremely important, may not be calling
the directional shots any longer. In fact, the developing negativity of the
very long term technical work may be the timeframe that IS CALLING -- and
will continue to call -- the directional shots for the foreseeable future.
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Thursday, June 26, 2008
Stock Markets Can Crash When Central Bankers Clash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Gary_Dorsch
Hyper-inflation in the commodities markets is rivaling the US housing collapse and the global banking crisis, as the biggest threat to the world economy. Finance ministers from the United States, Canada, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Britain, and Russia, have expressed their alarm over the doubling of agricultural, energy, and key raw material prices from a year ago, which is pushing inflation rates around the world, to their highest in three decades. Crude oil briefly touched $140 a barrel, and the price of corn, used to make ethanol, hit $8 /bushel. Chinese steelmakers agreed to pay 96% more for Iron ore from Australian miner Rio Tinto, a five-fold increase since 2003. Steel prices have soared almost 50%, this year, as coal and iron ore prices continue to climb and global demand shows little sign of abating. Dow Chemical is raising prices on a wide range of its products by 25%, due to sharply higher energy and raw material costs.
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Thursday, June 26, 2008
Banks Balance Sheet Destruction and Repair! -Crack Up Boom Part III / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Ty_Andros
Introduction: At no time in my career have I seen greater opportunities for investors who are properly informed. The AVERAGE amount of M3 central bank money and credit creation is simply astonishing. It is clocking in at an average annual rate of 23%. Yes, that's right, 23%. Using the rule of 72, that means those money supplies in one form or another are doubling on average every 3.13 years as money does an imitation of confetti.
In actuality, it is fire hoses of hot money being used to underpin the G7 financial and banking systems. Then it is combined with emerging markets throughout the world with dollar pegs and current account surpluses sterilizing their currencies so they do not ROCKET higher against the dollar. It is a powerful cocktail of stimulus for the emerging world, and an inflationary one for us all.
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Thursday, June 26, 2008
Dow Jones Stock Market Index Threatening to Break Critical Support Level / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Kurt_Kasun
Is the Party Over?For this week, access to much of Elliott Wave International's forecasts and chart work is free. Many traders and investors boldly proclaim that technical analysis, such as that provided by Elliott Wave and others, is akin to voodoo and advise investors to stick to the fundamentals. To which I reply: ignore technical indicators at your peril. Such avoidance/arrogance (you think you are so much smarter than the market) is particularly damaging to portfolios in two instances. One, when they involve macro themes which the names in your portfolio will be unable to escape. Two, when the change in trend only occurs after a long period of time: The longer the period before trend reversal or violation, the more powerful the potential effect on your investment.
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Wednesday, June 25, 2008
Wallstreet Cheerleaders Will Eventually Face Reality / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: John_Browne
When listening to the typical, television-based, Wall Street cheerleader work themselves up into a bull market frenzy, one is tempted to wonder if they ever bother to compare the movie that is rolling along in their heads to the one that is occurring in the outside world. Perhaps for those living in a media bubble, the only reality that matters is the one reflected in the camera lens.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 25, 2008
Higher Gas Prices Will Help the Chinese Economy / Stock-Markets / China Economy
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: With all the great economic strides China has made, it is sometimes easy to forget that China is still a communist country and is controlled by the Communist Party of China.
Part of that Communist control is over prices. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) controls the prices on thousands of items: Drugs, grain, edible oils, pork, noodles, milk, eggs, cigarettes, cloth, steel, train and bus fares, cement, fertilizer, college tuition ... and fuel.
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Tuesday, June 24, 2008
Exchange Controls Are Proposed For the United States / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
In a long week in which attempts to lower the oil price and talks about the $ were disappointed [G-8 meeting and the oil producer's meeting in Saudi Arabia], the threat of much higher oil prices, a weaker $ and perhaps a vicious fall in equity market in the next few months, the Joseph Lieberman the head of the Senate Banking Committeee is proposing what in effect are Exchange Control measures on commodity markets and foreign exchanges that host commodity dealing. This week we saw a glimpse of what is to be proposed and is proposing as we send this out. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 24, 2008
We May be Facing a Fall Stock Market Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Michael_Swanson
It has been almost ten full months now since the Fed first lowered interest rates. If you remember at first there was a lot excitement over the Fed cuts. The DOW and Nasdaq rallied to new 52-week highs a few weeks after the first rate cut in September. The rally and promise of more Fed intervention for the market made many big name commentators extremely optimistic about the market.
But just a few weeks later the market turned lower and has been stuck in a bear market ever since. The banking problems multiplied and inflation skyrocketed with oil rising almost double in price now from where it was a year ago. The rate cuts tasted good at first, but are no longer palatable.
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