Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 02, 2008
What is the Hemline Theory telling us about stock markets? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Just for a bit of fun …
The length of women's skirts tells you the way the market is going to go, according to the so-called “hemline theory”.
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Monday, June 02, 2008
Nasdaq Ultrashort QID in Emerging Double Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Today's strength in the QID (weakness in the Q's) has left behind a pullback low on Friday at 37.06 that has the look of the secondary low of a potential Double Bottom with the 5/19 low at 36.84. The top of the "W" pattern resides at a Double Top of 40.93 (5/07 & 5/23), which the price structure appears to have started to travel towards this morning. Actually, I am viewing the 40.00-41.00 area either as the "upside breakout plateau" or the "ceiling" on the developing pattern. Based on my near- and intermediate-term work, by the end of the week the QID should provide us with clues about the efficacy of the emerging Double Bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 02, 2008
The Next Shoe To Drop for the Financials / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Captain_Hook
The next shoe to drop for the financials, and the larger credit crisis, will be the market's acceptance that mortgage related write-downs are nowhere near complete or close to where they are going, where presently in extreme bubble locales like California , much of the market has been halved, at a minimum. Of course this condition is not isolated to just California , and the real estate market. Soon, bond ensures, Ambac the poster child in this regard, will need to come clean with respect to what condition our condition really is, and ‘phase II' of the credit crisis will swing into gear. And based on the technical condition of Ambac shares , this shouldn't take long at all.
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Sunday, June 01, 2008
Stock Market Trend Points to Further Consolidation / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - So far, the market has followed the decennial pattern in an election year. But the 6-yr cycle which is scheduled to bottom in late Summer/early Fall could play a restraining role, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate correction came to an end on 3/17. The index is now in a cautious and tentative uptrend.
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Sunday, June 01, 2008
An Important Stock Market Juncture Approaches / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Tim_Wood
The definition of a bull or bear market can differ from person to person depending upon their particular discipline. My definition is based on the original works of the great Dow theorists, Charles H. Dow, William Peter Hamilton and Robert Rhea. When the Industrials moved above their 2000 high and was confirmed by the Transports a couple of months later in February 2007, I wrote then in an article that “things had changed.” I stated at that time that this was not signaling the dawn of a new bull market, but rather, we were still operating within the context of the long-term bull market that began in 1974. You can read more about this at www.cyclesman.com/Articles.htm and my latest article on this topic is titled Bull and Bear Market Relationships . Another related article is titled, The Dow Theory… Did it Fail? Both of these articles can be found at the link above. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 31, 2008
Stock Market Short-term Overbought / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The small cap indices hit new recovery highs last Friday.
Short Term : The market is over bought.
As of Friday all of the major indices were up for 4 consecutive days.
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Saturday, May 31, 2008
Consumer Sentiment Worst in 28 years- Market Hits Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The University of Michigan/Reuters consumer sentiment index was released on Friday, showing the worst reading since 1980. It appears that the press has adopted the language used by the Federal Reserve that deflects blame for the condition away from their policies and puts it back on the consumer. They use the words “inflation expectations” to lay the blame for higher prices on consumers. Do you mean to tell me that there is no inflation, only inflation expectations? Give me a break!Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 30, 2008
Credit Crisis Vs Savings and Loans Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mike_Shedlock
I have been talking about an expected wave of bank failures for quite some time, most recently in Too Late To Stop Bank Failures . Recently I was asked to compare the current crisis to the 1980's S&L Crisis in regards to to whether or not this crisis will be worse. By sheer number of failures the S&L crisis will dwarf what's coming hands down. Here is a chart from MarketWatch that tells the story.
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Friday, May 30, 2008
Banking Stocks Pointing to Initial stages of long-term Bottoming Process / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Global stock markets topped out on the back of the sub-prime/credit debacle in October 2007. Prices subsequently moved lower until reaching climatic bottoms in January/March this year, triggering rallies throughout the world until a few days ago. The big question investors are grappling with at this stage is whether the rise in prices has simply been a bear market rally, or whether we are back in a primary bull market. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 29, 2008
Currencies that are Certificates of Wealth Confiscation- The Crack Up Boom, Part I / Stock-Markets / Money Supply
By: Ty_Andros
Last summer, Tedbits did a series outlining the unfolding “Crack Up Boom” written about by Ludvig Von Mises. It was well received, to say the least. Now we return to it as the “Crack Up Boom” is front and center to analyzing unfolding economic and political events. The collapse of income and living standards in the G7 (trough misstated inflation) is combining with the “something for nothing” broad social trend to push the “Crack Up Boom” into a higher gear. Malinvestments are collapsing at an increasing rate and public servants and central banks are reacting predictably. They are printing the money as they always have and always will, accelerating the arrival of the global CRACK UP BOOM. They are explicitly saying they will print the money. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 28, 2008
Imminent Banking Stocks Destruction to Push Gold Back through $1,000 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Jim_Willie_CB
An important swing in the pendulum is due to manifest itself in the near future. Leverage with gold mining stocks and silver mining stocks depends upon containment of costs. Whether of energy costs (primarily diesel), or materials (like steel & lumber), or labor itself (also in shortage), even equipment (rigs in dire shortage with long waiting periods), the mining firms need to contain costs in order to make their stocks effective investments from which to exploit the rising gold & silver prices. The biggest breakout in the entire collection of commodity prices during the last two months has been in crude oil, with much attention given it. The gold price hit 1000 then pulled back. The silver price hit 21 then pulled back. Crude oil hit 100, then promptly continued its powerful march to 135. Energy prices might be on the verge of a pullback, even a powerful pullback. My forecast is for a pullback to 100 in crude oil this summer, which is soon to begin. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 28, 2008
My Favourite 7 China Stocks / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: When Martin called me for a chat the other day, I had no idea he was going to record it, put it up on the Web, and give all of our readers a chance to hear it.
But I'm glad he did — for two reasons: First, because I'm headed for Shenzhen next week on a special new mission — to visit the company that I think will benefit more from the energy crisis than any company in Asia, and perhaps in the world. And second, because, with the latest correction, these stocks are now dirt cheap.
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Wednesday, May 28, 2008
Stock Market Lacks Institutional Support / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
This is the Institutional chart that we post on our paid subscriber sites every day.
Given that Institutions account for over 50% of the stock market's daily volume, it is critically important to monitor Institutional activity on their "core holdings".
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Tuesday, May 27, 2008
Financial Markets Impacted by Economic Realities that Continue to Favor Inflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Prior to the holiday weekend the markets learned the median price for existing home sales declined 8% from the year-earlier period. More concerning was the inventory of unsold homes climbed 11% resulting in a backlog which would take more than 11 months to clear based on the current rate of sales. While a record average gasoline price of $3.875 a gallon may have distracted many economic observers, we should not forget the prior positive economic impact related to the housing boom. Approximately 74% of all new jobs created between 2000 and 2005 were related to housing in some way (agents, brokers, construction workers, architects, etc). As of this writing, there appears to be no sector of the American economy ready to step forward and fill the void being rapidly vacated by housing. As a result, calls for an end to stimulative Fed and government policies may have been premature. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 25, 2008
Playing the Nasdaq 100 Stock Index / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Joseph_Russo
Before we illustrate our total command over the NDX of late, we wish to provide you with a brief update to our previous week's assessment of the Dow Transportation Average.
In brief, the update of the hourly Transportation average below exemplifies precisely how dynamic Elliott Wave architecture adjusts in accordance with real-time price action.
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Saturday, May 24, 2008
Stocks Oversold Expecting Rally Next Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: Last weeks decline caused little technical damage.
Short Term The market is over sold. Many of the breadth indicators are at their lowest levels since the March low.
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Saturday, May 24, 2008
US Banking System in Crisis- Why banks are Not lending? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Here's an eye opener. The attached report from the St. Louis Fed on banks' non-borrowed reserves shows that it has just gone down in flames. According to the chart, the amount of money that banks have in reserve that is non-borrowed is not only at a 50-year low, but has entered negative territory for the first time since these statistics have been kept. Does this mean our banks are now insolvent?
Frankly, I don't have an answer, but this information is very disturbing, to say the least. The FDIC is gearing up for it, too.
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Friday, May 23, 2008
Credit Crisis Money Printing Crack Up Boom Reflections / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Ty_Andros
As regular readers know, I believe the banking and credit crisis has a long way to go. We are in the 2 nd to 3 rd inning of a nine-inning ballgame. The solution the G7 public servants and central banks will propose is they WILL PRINT THE MONEY as they always have and always will. They are confronted with the reality of INFLATE or die, as to not do so invites a deflationary depression and the complete and total BANKRUPTCY of the financial and banking systems. The human emotion of SELF-preservation insures they will try to avoid the bullet that is leveled at the head of the G7 financial system. “They will duck” and let you take the bullet of inflation, the result of letting their financial systems substitute an ever growing financial and banking sector for private sector wealth generation. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 23, 2008
Oil based Stock Indexes are Top Global Performers / Stock-Markets / Crude Oil
By: Donald_W_Dony
When all of the global equity indexes are reviewed for performance in 2008, one common thread binds the top performing groups. Those countries that have increasing oil production capabilities are the clear winners. Canada's energy heavy S&P/TSX, Russia and Latin American stock indexes have rallied to new highs whereas non-commodity-based and even other types of natural resource-based indexes have remained down.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 22, 2008
The Stocks Stealth Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Last year, when the Dow was hovering near its all-time high of 14,198, I issued my forecast that the next big move in the stock market would be a sharp decline to 11,600.
On January 22 of this year, the Dow hit 11,634.82. Since then, it's been seesawing up and down, gyrating wildly, yet with an upward bias, reaching as high as 13,136.69 on May 19.
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