Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, June 08, 2008
Multifaceted Credit Crises Hitting the Financial Markets- Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Click here for Part 2 BCA Research: US Inflation – diverging from expectations
“US core consumer inflation, as measured by the PCE price index, remains near 2%. In contrast, consumer inflation expectations continue to soar, courtesy of gasoline and food prices.
“US inflation worries have intensified, as the surge in highly visible gasoline and food prices continues. Government data are not trusted because they show that core consumer price inflation has failed to rise. The build up of pipeline price pressures from rising input costs is a long-term concern, but higher core consumer inflation will only become a threat after the economy gains significant momentum, i.e. not a danger for 2008.
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Sunday, June 08, 2008
Multifaceted Credit Crises Hitting the Financial Markets- Part 1 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
After stock markets have held up bravely in the face of the credit crises and mounting economic woes, a combination of renewed concerns about the financial sector, a record-breaking spurt in the oil price, and a rotten unemployment number claimed their toll on Friday, triggering a sharp sell-off in most parts of the world.
“Today was a bona fide panic day. They threw ‘em in,” said Richard Russell, author of the Dow Theory Letters for the past 50 years. The bears were out in force, as personified by Bill King ( The King Report ): “The technicals, seasonals, fundamentals and financial system conditions are negative. And now the Fed is suggesting that it will no longer cut rates. Rallies should be viewed as a gift from the trading gods.”
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Sunday, June 08, 2008
Dow Support and Resistance Lines / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
By: Mick_Phoenix
Welcome to the Weekly Report. This week we look at some charts, re-introduce you to a way of calling market tops and have a look at what the Russians are saying.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 08, 2008
Stock Market Boom or Bust? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
Two Sides to Every Argument: From an Elliott Wave perspective, one can argue with good cause, that the Dow Jones Industrials are en-route toward retesting the depths of their 2002 bear market lows. The magnification of weekly closes from the October 2007 top, display a textbook series of impulsive declines at three degrees of trend. Case closed:
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Saturday, June 07, 2008
Stocks Healthy Correction to Continue Next Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The mid and small cap indices hit new recovery highs last Thursday.
Short Term - Aside from the lack of volume it is difficult to find anything wrong with this market. We expect to see new highs expanding in a rising market and that has been happening.
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Saturday, June 07, 2008
Colliding Bubbles, US Unemployment, the Credit Crisis and Oil Price Surge / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
- Unemployment Jumps to 5.5%, On Its Way to 6%
- What the Tax Numbers Show
- What's Up With Oil?
- When Bubbles Collide
- America on a Diet
I remember in the summer of 2006 I would face my blank computer screen on a Friday and wonder, what I could write about? The media was all Goldilocks, all the time. Today, there is such a target-rich environment. I could probably write three letters a week, there is so much happening that is worthy of our attention. The problem today is trying to decide what not to write about, which means I get emails from readers wondering why I don't mention their areas of particular interest. But at eight pages, I just have to stop. You need a break!
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Saturday, June 07, 2008
Stock Market Tanks as US Unemployment Rate Soars to 5.5% / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The unemployment rate rose from 5.0 to 5.5 percent in May, and nonfarm payroll employment continued to trend down (-49,000), the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. In May, employment continued to fall in construction, manufacturing, retail trade, and temporary help services, while health care continued to add jobs. Average hourly earnings rose by 5 cents, or 0.3 percent, over the month. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 07, 2008
Protecting the Markets From Itself- Blind Faith & Liberty / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Adrian_Ash
"The moment we face it frankly we are driven to the conclusion that the community has a right to put a price on the right to live in it..."- George Bernard Shaw, Prefaces (1934)
INVESTMENT BANKERS have a lot to answer in summer 2008. Not least letting idiot ideas about government, markets and your liberty run amok during this, a US election year.
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Friday, June 06, 2008
Stock Market Forecast for Summer 2008 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Hans_Wagner
To make money in the stock market it is important to follow the trend. I believe it is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.
Let's start with the long term view of the S&P 500. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) seems to be a good indicator of the cyclical bull and bear markets. In addition, the 78-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) acts as support in a bull market and resistance in a bear market.
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Friday, June 06, 2008
Credit Crisis Pressure Points Building as Major Banks Heading for Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Standard & Poor announced in late May it has cut or might cut debt ratings on $34 billion of securities tied to Alt-A mortgages, whose type issued in 2007 have a default rate to 6.64% for 90 days late as of end April. Massive S&P downgrades might soon force Wall Street firms to move up to $5000 billion of assets from off-balance sheet locations back onto their books. The bank sector has so far seen very little in bank failures, compared to past cycles.
The Texas Ratio is calculated by dividing non-performing loans at a bank, including those 90 days delinquent, by their tangible equity capital plus money set aside for future loan losses. Using this ratio, IndyMac Bancorp, Sterling Financial, Corus Bankshares, Imperial Capital Bancorp, and GMAC Bank are all on the verge of busts. Look for these banks to possibly lead the list of failures, each with unique vulnerabilities.
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Thursday, June 05, 2008
The VIX, Banks, and the Shanghai China Stocks index in Trouble / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Marty_Chenard
This morning, we will look at the VIX (Volatility Index), the Banking Index, and the Shanghai index which is in peril of having a very sharp drop.
First ... let's look at the VIX vs. the S&P 500. This is its 60 minute chart going back to last September.
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Thursday, June 05, 2008
Six Reasons to Invest in India / Stock-Markets / India
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: India is one of the hottest economies on the planet and holds tremendous profit potential for investors. No doubt in my mind.
Why? India's economy is growing at a 9% rate, TEN times faster than the U.S. and only a couple of percentage points behind China.
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Tuesday, June 03, 2008
US Economy Losing Critical Strengths as Others Overcome Greatest Obstacles / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: Since 1952, when I first left the U.S. at the age of 6, I have lived many years in Latin America and Asia.
I have visited every continent except Antarctica. I have studied every major world language except Arabic. I have traveled on cargo planes, by truck, on foot and even by mule.
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Tuesday, June 03, 2008
Stock Markets Marking Time Ahead of Real State of US Economy / Stock-Markets / US Economy
By: Paul_J_Nolte
The calendar turns another page and we dive headlong into summer with the hope/expectation that the government checks that have hit our accounts over the past few weeks will save us from the deep end of the debt pool. The reports last week provided little comfort that the economy is improving, as spending and income merely matched inflation – and the income number does include the rebate “income”. So for another month, the consumer is spending what they have and trying to keep pace with an ever-faster treadmill. Housing still looked poor, with the Case-Shiller index still showing lower housing prices. Little surprise that the consumer is feeling blue, with confidence at the lowest level in nearly 16 years.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 02, 2008
What is the Hemline Theory telling us about stock markets? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Just for a bit of fun …
The length of women's skirts tells you the way the market is going to go, according to the so-called “hemline theory”.
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Monday, June 02, 2008
Nasdaq Ultrashort QID in Emerging Double Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Today's strength in the QID (weakness in the Q's) has left behind a pullback low on Friday at 37.06 that has the look of the secondary low of a potential Double Bottom with the 5/19 low at 36.84. The top of the "W" pattern resides at a Double Top of 40.93 (5/07 & 5/23), which the price structure appears to have started to travel towards this morning. Actually, I am viewing the 40.00-41.00 area either as the "upside breakout plateau" or the "ceiling" on the developing pattern. Based on my near- and intermediate-term work, by the end of the week the QID should provide us with clues about the efficacy of the emerging Double Bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 02, 2008
The Next Shoe To Drop for the Financials / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Captain_Hook
The next shoe to drop for the financials, and the larger credit crisis, will be the market's acceptance that mortgage related write-downs are nowhere near complete or close to where they are going, where presently in extreme bubble locales like California , much of the market has been halved, at a minimum. Of course this condition is not isolated to just California , and the real estate market. Soon, bond ensures, Ambac the poster child in this regard, will need to come clean with respect to what condition our condition really is, and ‘phase II' of the credit crisis will swing into gear. And based on the technical condition of Ambac shares , this shouldn't take long at all.
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Sunday, June 01, 2008
Stock Market Trend Points to Further Consolidation / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - So far, the market has followed the decennial pattern in an election year. But the 6-yr cycle which is scheduled to bottom in late Summer/early Fall could play a restraining role, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate correction came to an end on 3/17. The index is now in a cautious and tentative uptrend.
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Sunday, June 01, 2008
An Important Stock Market Juncture Approaches / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Tim_Wood
The definition of a bull or bear market can differ from person to person depending upon their particular discipline. My definition is based on the original works of the great Dow theorists, Charles H. Dow, William Peter Hamilton and Robert Rhea. When the Industrials moved above their 2000 high and was confirmed by the Transports a couple of months later in February 2007, I wrote then in an article that “things had changed.” I stated at that time that this was not signaling the dawn of a new bull market, but rather, we were still operating within the context of the long-term bull market that began in 1974. You can read more about this at www.cyclesman.com/Articles.htm and my latest article on this topic is titled Bull and Bear Market Relationships . Another related article is titled, The Dow Theory… Did it Fail? Both of these articles can be found at the link above. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 31, 2008
Stock Market Short-term Overbought / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The small cap indices hit new recovery highs last Friday.
Short Term : The market is over bought.
As of Friday all of the major indices were up for 4 consecutive days.
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